Weekly brief

• Ethiopia Elevated → Severe

  272 deaths in organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP data · UK FCDO advises against all travel to parts of the country · 8.5 million people in crisis-level food insecurity or worse (IPC 3+)

• Nigeria Elevated → Severe

  999 deaths in organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP data · UK FCDO advises against all travel to parts of the country · 19.5 million people in crisis-level food insecurity or worse (IPC 3+)

• Yemen Elevated → Severe

  1,367 deaths in organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP data · UK FCDO advises against all travel to the whole country · 16.5 million people in crisis-level food insecurity or worse (IPC 3+)

• Afghanistan High → Severe

  UK FCDO advises against all travel to the whole country · 56 deaths in organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP data · 6.5 million people in crisis-level food insecurity or worse (IPC 3+)

• Democratic Republic of the Congo High → Severe

  170 deaths in organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP data · UK FCDO advises against all travel to parts of the country · 17.5 million people in crisis-level food insecurity or worse (IPC 3+)

• Pakistan High → Severe

  547 deaths in organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP data · UK FCDO advises against all travel to parts of the country · 16.5 million people in crisis-level food insecurity or worse (IPC 3+)

• Sudan High → Severe

  270 deaths in organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP data · UK FCDO advises against all travel to parts of the country · 22.5 million people in crisis-level food insecurity or worse (IPC 3+)

• Somalia High → Severe

  147 deaths in organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP data · UK FCDO advises against all travel to parts of the country · 5.5 million people in crisis-level food insecurity or worse (IPC 3+)

• South Sudan High → Severe

  109 deaths in organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP data · UK FCDO advises against all travel to the whole country · 8.5 million people in crisis-level food insecurity or worse (IPC 3+)

• Ukraine High → Severe

  612 deaths in organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP data · UK FCDO advises against all travel to parts of the country · 287 incidents of organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP data

• Colombia Watch → High

  245 deaths in organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP data · 193 incidents of organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP data · 6 extreme weather warnings in force from the national weather service

• Iran Watch → High

  UK FCDO advises against all travel to the whole country · 15 deaths in organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP data · Confirmed internet outages in 17 places in 24 hours

• Myanmar Watch → High

  115 deaths in organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP data · UK FCDO advises against all travel to parts of the country · 1.6 million refugees and asylum-seekers have fled the country

• Mozambique Watch → High

  UK FCDO advises against all travel to parts of the country · 10 natural-hazard events in the last 7 days · Natural hazards, 7 days: 10, 2.9× its 30-day average

• Russia Watch → High

  UK FCDO advises against all travel to the whole country · 54 deaths in organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP data · Violence deaths, 30 days: 54, 2.5× the 30 days of UCDP data before

• Burkina Faso Elevated → High

  171 deaths in organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP data · UK FCDO advises against all travel to the whole country · 1.3 million people in crisis-level food insecurity or worse (IPC 3+)

• Haiti Elevated → High

  UK FCDO advises against all travel to the whole country · 47 deaths in organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP data · 3.3 million people in crisis-level food insecurity or worse (IPC 3+)

• Mali Elevated → High

  UK FCDO advises against all travel to the whole country · 90 deaths in organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP data · 55 incidents of organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP data

• Niger Elevated → High

  UK FCDO advises against all travel to the whole country · 42 deaths in organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP data · 2.8 million people in crisis-level food insecurity or worse (IPC 3+)

• Brazil Nothing unusual → Elevated

  11 natural-hazard events in the last 7 days · 22 deaths in organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP data · Confirmed internet outages in 6 places in 24 hours

• Mexico Nothing unusual → Elevated

  206 deaths in organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP data · 172 incidents of organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP data · 2 extreme weather warnings in force from the national weather service

• Central African Republic Watch → Elevated

  UK FCDO advises against all travel to parts of the country · 11 deaths in organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP data · Violence deaths, 30 days: 11, 2.2× the 30 days of UCDP data before

• Cameroon Watch → Elevated

  31 deaths in organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP data · UK FCDO advises against all travel to parts of the country · 1.3 million people in crisis-level food insecurity or worse (IPC 3+)

• India Watch → Elevated

  UK FCDO advises against all travel to parts of the country · 16 deaths in organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP data · Violence deaths, 30 days: 16, 2.0× the 30 days of UCDP data before

• Iraq Watch → Elevated

  UK FCDO advises against all travel to parts of the country · 2 deaths in organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP data

• Israel Watch → Elevated

  94 deaths in organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP data · UK FCDO advises against all travel to parts of the country · 55 incidents of organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP data

• Lebanon Watch → Elevated

  UK FCDO advises against all travel to parts of the country · 22 deaths in organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP data · 1.3 million people in crisis-level food insecurity or worse (IPC 3+)

• Chad Watch → Elevated

  UK FCDO advises against all travel to parts of the country · 16 deaths in organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP data · Violence deaths, 30 days: 16, 8.0× the 30 days of UCDP data before

• Bangladesh Nothing unusual → Watch

  5 deaths in organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP data · Confirmed internet outages in 6 places in 24 hours · Confirmed outages, places, 24 h: 6, 2.2× its 30-day average

• Spain Nothing unusual → Watch

  3 deaths in organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP data · 1 Copernicus satellite-mapping activation for a disaster in the last 30 days

• Guatemala Nothing unusual → Watch

  5 deaths in organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP data · 2.3 million people in crisis-level food insecurity or worse (IPC 3+)

• Sri Lanka Nothing unusual → Watch

  3 deaths in organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP data · 1.3 million people in crisis-level food insecurity or worse (IPC 3+)

• Panama Nothing unusual → Watch

  1 Copernicus satellite-mapping activation for a disaster in the last 30 days

• Thailand Nothing unusual → Watch

  4 deaths in organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP data · 1 extreme weather warning in force from the national weather service

• Uganda Nothing unusual → Watch

  2 deaths in organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP data · 2.3 million people in crisis-level food insecurity or worse (IPC 3+)

• United States of America Nothing unusual → Watch

  2 deaths in organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP data · 9 extreme weather warnings in force from the national weather service

• South Africa Nothing unusual → Watch

  36 deaths in organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP data · 1 nuclear power plant within 50 km of organised violence in the latest 90 days of UCDP data

• Ecuador Watch → Nothing unusual

UCDP publishes with a lag: its last 30 days of data (up to 2026-08-31) against the 30 before.

• PAGERM6.0 — 7 km N of La Tronosa, Panama · Oct 10
• PAGERM6.6 — 14 km W of Río Grande, Panama · Oct 9
• PAGERM5.8 — 1 km S of El Cacao, Panama · Oct 9
• PAGERM7.7 — 12 km WSW of Pitaloza Arriba, Panama · Oct 9
• EMSEarthquake in Los Santos, Panama · Oct 9

• Saudi Arabia 10 extreme of 30
• Kazakhstan 9 extreme of 26
• Colombia 7 extreme of 22
• Mexico 2 extreme of 3
• Ecuador 2 extreme of 4

• Ebola disease caused by Bundibugyo virus — Democratic Republic of the Congo · Oct 8

• Brazil – Compound crisis: natural hazards, organised violence, internet outages at the same time
• Democratic Republic of the Congo – Compound crisis: organised violence, disease outbreaks, internet outages, food insecurity, mass displacement at the same time
• Colombia – Compound crisis: organised violence, natural hazards, food insecurity at the same time
• Mozambique – Compound crisis: natural hazards, organised violence, food insecurity at the same time
• Ukraine – Compound crisis: organised violence, internet outages, food insecurity, mass displacement at the same time
• Venezuela – Compound crisis: organised violence, internet outages, food insecurity, mass displacement at the same time