Weekly brief

• Mali High → Severe

  195 deaths in organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP data · UK FCDO advises against all travel to the whole country · 78 incidents of organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP data

• Saudi Arabia Watch → High

  25 deaths in organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP data · UK FCDO advises against all travel to parts of the country · Violence deaths, 30 days: 25, 50.0× the 30 days of UCDP data before

• Cameroon Elevated → High

  55 deaths in organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP data · UK FCDO advises against all travel to parts of the country · Violence incidents, 30 days: 28, 2.0× the 30 days of UCDP data before

• Iran Elevated → High

  UK FCDO advises against all travel to the whole country · 47 deaths in organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP data · Violence deaths, 30 days: 47, 2.8× the 30 days of UCDP data before

• Israel Elevated → High

  130 deaths in organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP data · UK FCDO advises against all travel to parts of the country · 97 incidents of organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP data

• Mozambique Elevated → High

  UK FCDO advises against all travel to parts of the country · Violence incidents, 30 days: 14, 4.7× the 30 days of UCDP data before · 20 deaths in organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP data

• Kenya Watch → Elevated

  UK FCDO advises against all travel to parts of the country · 3 deaths in organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP data · 3.8 million people in crisis-level food insecurity or worse (IPC 3+)

• Anguilla Nothing unusual → Watch

  Nationwide internet connectivity drop, confirmed by two signals

• Australia Nothing unusual → Watch

  43 natural-hazard events in the last 7 days · Natural hazards, 7 days: 43, 2.3× its 30-day average

• Botswana Nothing unusual → Watch

  5 natural-hazard events in the last 7 days · Natural hazards, 7 days: 5, 2.7× its 30-day average · 1 extreme weather warning in force from the national weather service

• Cook Islands Nothing unusual → Watch

  Nationwide internet connectivity drop, confirmed by two signals

• Ecuador Nothing unusual → Watch

  71 deaths in organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP data · 50 incidents of organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP data

• Federated States of Micronesia Nothing unusual → Watch

  Nationwide internet connectivity drop, confirmed by two signals

• Equatorial Guinea Nothing unusual → Watch

• Guam Nothing unusual → Watch

  Nationwide internet connectivity drop, confirmed by two signals

• Italy Nothing unusual → Watch

  Confirmed internet outages in 42 places in 24 hours · Confirmed outages, places, 24 h: 42, 3.5× its 30-day average · 4 extreme weather warnings in force from the national weather service

• Kosovo (UNSCR 1244) Nothing unusual → Watch

• Kuwait Nothing unusual → Watch

  Nationwide internet connectivity drop, confirmed by two signals

• Saint Lucia Nothing unusual → Watch

  Nationwide internet connectivity drop, confirmed by two signals

• Lesotho Nothing unusual → Watch

  Nationwide internet connectivity drop, confirmed by two signals

• Palau Nothing unusual → Watch

  Nationwide internet connectivity drop, confirmed by two signals

• Papua New Guinea Nothing unusual → Watch

  12 deaths in organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP data · Violence deaths, 30 days: 12, 12.0× the 30 days of UCDP data before

• North Korea Nothing unusual → Watch

  Nationwide internet connectivity drop, confirmed by two signals · UK FCDO advises against all but essential travel

• Sierra Leone Nothing unusual → Watch

  Nationwide internet connectivity drop, confirmed by two signals

• Zambia Nothing unusual → Watch

  5 natural-hazard events in the last 7 days · Natural hazards, 7 days: 5, 2.6× its 30-day average

• Philippines High → Watch
• Venezuela High → Elevated
• Iraq Elevated → Watch
• Thailand Watch → Nothing unusual
• United Kingdom Watch → Nothing unusual
• United States of America Watch → Nothing unusual

UCDP publishes with a lag: its last 30 days of data (up to 2026-09-30) against the 30 before.

• EMSFlood in Alicante-Valencia Regions, Spain · Oct 19

• Colombia 14 extreme of 28
• People's Republic of China 5 extreme of 14
• Kazakhstan 5 extreme of 41
• Saudi Arabia 4 extreme of 14
• Italy 4 extreme of 21
• Botswana 1 extreme of 1

Nothing this week.

• Democratic Republic of the Congo – Compound crisis: organised violence, disease outbreaks, internet outages, food insecurity, mass displacement at the same time
• Colombia – Compound crisis: organised violence, natural hazards, food insecurity at the same time
• Nigeria – Compound crisis: organised violence, internet outages, food insecurity at the same time
• South Sudan – Compound crisis: organised violence, internet outages, food insecurity, mass displacement at the same time
• Ukraine – Compound crisis: organised violence, internet outages, food insecurity, mass displacement at the same time