Nocton
What changed this week, assembled automatically from the situation watch and the feeds. Every line links to its source.
Week Sep 28 to Oct 4 · week in progress
1 country moved up a level and 18 moved down. 16 countries are elevated or worse, against 21 before the week. No earthquake with a PAGER impact alert, no GDACS red alert, 1 Copernicus mapping activation.
Moved up1
Ecuador Nothing unusual → Watch
Confirmed internet outages in 6 places in 24 hours · 2 extreme weather warnings in force from the national weather service
Moved down18
- Afghanistan Severe → High
- Democratic Republic of the Congo Severe → High
- Nigeria Severe → Elevated
- Pakistan Severe → High
- South Sudan Severe → High
- Ukraine Severe → High
- Yemen Severe → Elevated
- Burkina Faso High → Elevated
- Ethiopia High → Elevated
- Iran High → Watch
- Mali High → Elevated
- Niger High → Elevated
- Cameroon Elevated → Watch
- Colombia Elevated → Watch
- Russia Elevated → Watch
- Uganda Elevated → Nothing unusual
- Nepal Watch → Nothing unusual
- Angola Watch → Nothing unusual
Where violence was worst
UCDP publishes with a lag: its last 30 days of data (up to 2026-08-31) against the 30 before. The current UCDP release does not reach back to the 30 days before, so there is no comparison (shown as a dash).
| Country | Last 30 days | 30 days before |
|---|---|---|
| Ukraine | 5,467 | – |
| Yemen | 1,400 | – |
| Nigeria | 1,006 | – |
| Pakistan | 547 | – |
| Ethiopia | 283 | – |
| Sudan | 270 | – |
| Colombia | 246 | – |
| Mexico | 207 | – |
Disasters1
Extreme weather warnings in force5
- Kazakhstan 49 extreme of 134
- Saudi Arabia 2 extreme of 17
- Ecuador 2 extreme of 6
- People's Republic of China 1 extreme of 31
- Paraguay 1 extreme of 3
Disease outbreak notices0
Nothing this week.
Compound crises9
- Afghanistan – Compound crisis: official travel advice, food insecurity, mass displacement at the same time
- Democratic Republic of the Congo – Compound crisis: official travel advice, disease outbreaks, food insecurity, mass displacement at the same time
- Pakistan – Compound crisis: official travel advice, food insecurity, organised violence at the same time
- Sudan – Compound crisis: official travel advice, food insecurity, mass displacement at the same time
- Somalia – Compound crisis: official travel advice, food insecurity, mass displacement at the same time
- South Sudan – Compound crisis: official travel advice, food insecurity, mass displacement at the same time
- Syria – Compound crisis: official travel advice, internet outages, food insecurity, mass displacement at the same time
- Ukraine – Compound crisis: official travel advice, internet outages, food insecurity, mass displacement, organised violence at the same time
- Venezuela – Compound crisis: official travel advice, internet outages, food insecurity, mass displacement at the same time
Built by the situation watch every few hours during the week; a finished week keeps its last version. Nothing here is written by hand or generated by a language model. It is the data, arranged.