Nocton
What changed this week, assembled automatically from the situation watch and the feeds. Every line links to its source.
Week Oct 19 to Oct 25 · week in progress
7 countries moved up a level and 5 moved down. 28 countries are elevated or worse, against 29 before the week. No earthquake with a PAGER impact alert, no GDACS red alert, 1 Copernicus mapping activation.
Moved up7
Chad Elevated → Severe
UK FCDO advises against all travel to parts of the country · Nationwide internet connectivity drop, confirmed by two signals · 16 deaths in organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP data
Burundi Watch → Elevated
UK FCDO advises against all travel to parts of the country · Nationwide internet connectivity drop, confirmed by two signals · 4 deaths in organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP data
Comoros Nothing unusual → Watch
Nationwide internet connectivity drop, confirmed by two signals
The Gambia Nothing unusual → Watch
Nationwide internet connectivity drop, confirmed by two signals · Confirmed internet outages in 3 places in 24 hours
Grenada Nothing unusual → Watch
Nationwide internet connectivity drop, confirmed by two signals
Panama Nothing unusual → Watch
Confirmed internet outages in 3 places in 24 hours · 1 Copernicus satellite-mapping activation for a disaster in the last 30 days
East Timor Nothing unusual → Watch
Nationwide internet connectivity drop, confirmed by two signals
Moved down5
- Philippines High → Watch
- Iraq Elevated → Watch
- Brazil Watch → Nothing unusual
- United States of America Watch → Nothing unusual
- United Kingdom Watch → Nothing unusual
Where violence was worst
UCDP publishes with a lag: its last 30 days of data (up to 2026-08-31) against the 30 before.
| Country | Last 30 days | 30 days before |
|---|---|---|
| Ukraine | 5,467 | 4,702 |
| Yemen | 1,400 | 196 |
| Nigeria | 1,006 | 536 |
| Pakistan | 547 | 733 |
| Ethiopia | 283 | 268 |
| Sudan | 270 | 306 |
| Colombia | 246 | 242 |
| Mexico | 207 | 157 |
Disasters1
Extreme weather warnings in force6
- Kazakhstan 19 extreme of 77
- Colombia 11 extreme of 23
- Saudi Arabia 5 extreme of 12
- Italy 3 extreme of 15
- People's Republic of China 1 extreme of 3
- Botswana 1 extreme of 1
Disease outbreak notices0
Nothing this week.
Compound crises6
- Democratic Republic of the Congo – Compound crisis: organised violence, disease outbreaks, food insecurity, mass displacement at the same time
- Colombia – Compound crisis: organised violence, natural hazards, food insecurity at the same time
- South Sudan – Compound crisis: organised violence, internet outages, food insecurity, mass displacement at the same time
- Syria – Compound crisis: organised violence, internet outages, food insecurity, mass displacement at the same time
- Chad – Compound crisis: organised violence, internet outages, food insecurity at the same time
- Venezuela – Compound crisis: organised violence, internet outages, food insecurity, mass displacement at the same time
Built by the situation watch every few hours during the week; a finished week keeps its last version. Nothing here is written by hand or generated by a language model. It is the data, arranged.