Violence in the news: 402 reports in the week to Oct 19, 2026 · ×1.3 · against the three weeks before; GDELT, not verified
Protests in the news: 3 reports in the week to Oct 19, 2026 · ×0.9 · against the three weeks before; GDELT, not verified
Model estimate for September 2026: 123–786 deaths (UCDP, the month before: 1,380). An estimate from the news, not a count. How the model works →
Level, last 60 days
Deaths 30 d
1,400
UCDP up to 2026-08-31
Per million 90 d
39
last 90 days
Civilians
6%
last 90 days
Incidents 30 d
115
Population
41.8 M
World Bank
Plants near violence
0 / 0
near violence / total; 0 nuclear
Why this level6
- +31,400 deaths in organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP dataUCDP GED Candidate
- +3UK FCDO advises against all travel to the whole countryUK FCDO travel advice
- +216.5 million people in crisis-level food insecurity or worse (IPC 3+)FEWS NET
- +1115 incidents of organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP dataUCDP GED Candidate
- +1Violence incidents, 30 days: 115, 2.4× the 30 days of UCDP data beforeUCDP GED Candidate
- +1Violence deaths, 30 days: 1400, 7.1× the 30 days of UCDP data beforeUCDP GED Candidate
Source: ARMSMA situation watch
Every monitored signal
The last 60 days, each on its own scale.
Violence deaths, 30 days
1 400
Violence incidents, 30 days
115
Travel advice level (FCDO)
4
People in food crisis (IPC 3+)
16 500 000
Refugees who fled
83 187
Source: ARMSMA situation watch
Deaths in organised violence, per week
Yemen, UCDP best estimates. The red bar is the latest week.
The latest week may be incomplete.
Source: UCDP GED Candidate, Uppsala University (CC BY 4.0), data up to 2026-08-31
Who the violence is between
Deaths by kind of violence, last 90 days of data.
- State-based conflict · 97%
- Non-state conflict · 2%
- Against civilians · 1%
Source: UCDP GED Candidate (CC BY 4.0)
Food, displacement, sanctions
- People in food crisis (IPC 3+)
- 16.5 M
- 2026-09
- Share in food crisis
- 39%
- 2026-09
- Undernourishment
- –
- 2024
- Refugees who fled
- 83,187
- 2025
- Refugees hosted
- 63,749
- 2025
- Internally displaced
- 4,795,983
- 2025
- Sanctions designations
- 195
- 2026-10-20
- GDP per person
- $634
- 2025
FEWS NET · World Bank / FAO · UNHCR · OpenSanctions
People in crisis-level food insecurity
IPC Phase 3 or worse, month by month (FEWS NET current-situation estimates, midpoint of the published range).
FEWS NET – IPC-compatible analysis
Latest incidents of organised violence25
| Date | Place | Sides | Deaths | Civilians | Reported by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | al-Hawta neighborhood, Seiyun, a city in Yemen's southeastern Hadramout province, | IS – Forces of the Presidential Leadership Council | 2 | 0 | Xinhua News Agency, al sahil |
| 2026-08-31 | Hays district. | Government of Yemen (North Yemen) – Forces of the Presidential Leadership Council | 2 | 0 | Barran Press |
| 2026-08-31 | Al-Bayda fronts adjacent to Lahj Governorate | Government of Yemen (North Yemen) – Forces of the Presidential Leadership Council | 2 | 0 | Barran Press |
| 2026-08-31 | Al-Kuraifat front, east of the city. | Government of Yemen (North Yemen) – Forces of the Presidential Leadership Council | 2 | 0 | al sahil |
| 2026-08-31 – 2026-09-01 | Jabal al-Ahtoub front in the Maqbana district, west of Taiz | Government of Yemen (North Yemen) – Forces of the Presidential Leadership Council | 2 | 0 | al sahil |
| 2026-08-30 – 2026-09-01 | NRF naval forces | Government of Yemen (North Yemen) – Forces of the Presidential Leadership Council | 4 | 0 | Anadolu Agency |
| 2026-08-30 | Al Jibanah in Shadaa. | Government of Yemen (North Yemen) – Forces of the Presidential Leadership Council | 1 | 1 | CIMP |
| 2026-08-30 – 2026-09-01 | Marib | Government of Yemen (North Yemen) – Forces of the Presidential Leadership Council | 2 | 0 | al sahil |
| 2026-08-29 | Al Urf in Maqbanah. / Al-Araf village, Al-Habiba district, Maqbana Directorate, Taiz Governorate | Government of Yemen (North Yemen) – Forces of the Presidential Leadership Council | 2 | 2 | CIMP, Yemen News Agency (SABA) |
| 2026-08-29 | Al Kadrah in Qadas of Al Mawasit. | Government of Yemen (North Yemen) – Forces of the Presidential Leadership Council | 1 | 1 | CIMP |
| 2026-08-29 | Al-Bayda fronts bordering Lahj Governorate | Government of Yemen (North Yemen) – Forces of the Presidential Leadership Council | 3 | 0 | Barran Press |
| 2026-08-29 – 2026-09-01 | Jabal Ras front on the western coast | Government of Yemen (North Yemen) – Forces of the Presidential Leadership Council | 29 | 0 | al sahil |
| 2026-08-28 | Al-Bayda front bordering Lahj Governorate. | Government of Yemen (North Yemen) – Forces of the Presidential Leadership Council | 2 | 0 | Barran Press, al sahil |
| 2026-08-28 | Al-Firdous building at the southern entrance to the city of Damt in Al-Dhale’ Governorate . | Government of Yemen (North Yemen) – Forces of the Presidential Leadership Council | 5 | 0 | Barran Press, al sahil |
| 2026-08-28 – 2026-08-29 | province of Al-Bayda | Government of Yemen (North Yemen) – Forces of the Presidential Leadership Council | 2 | 0 | BBC Monitoring Report |
| 2026-08-27 | central reformatory square in Taiz Governorate, Al-Muzaffar District | Forces of the Presidential Leadership Council – Civilians | 1 | 1 | Barran Press |
| 2026-08-27 | Wadi Abidah | Government of Yemen (North Yemen) – Forces of the Presidential Leadership Council | 1 | 1 | CIMP |
| 2026-08-27 | Dimnat Khadir | Government of Yemen (North Yemen) – Forces of the Presidential Leadership Council | 1 | 1 | CIMP |
| 2026-08-27 | Hanish island off the coast of Al Khawkhah | Government of Yemen (North Yemen) – Forces of the Presidential Leadership Council | 6 | 6 | CIMP |
| 2026-08-26 | Ahamah in Al Musaymir. | Government of Yemen (North Yemen) – Forces of the Presidential Leadership Council | 1 | 1 | CIMP |
| 2026-08-25 | Al Abr | Forces of the Presidential Leadership Council – Civilians | 1 | 1 | CIMP |
| 2026-08-25 | south of Hodeidah Governorate. | Government of Yemen (North Yemen) – Forces of the Presidential Leadership Council | 17 | 0 | Xinhua News Agency, Anadolu Agency, Anadolu Agency |
| 2026-08-25 | Al-Safa area of the Kalabah front northeast of Taiz city [inside the city] | Government of Yemen (North Yemen) – Forces of the Presidential Leadership Council | 9 | 0 | Anadolu Agency, Barran Press, al sahil |
| 2026-08-25 | Al-Kanais | Government of Yemen (North Yemen) – Forces of the Presidential Leadership Council | 1 | 0 | Sheba Intelligence |
| 2026-08-25 | Al-Abr and Al-Wadea | Government of Yemen (North Yemen) – Forces of the Presidential Leadership Council | 2 | 1 | Sheba Intelligence |
Source: UCDP GED Candidate, Uppsala University (CC BY 4.0), data up to 2026-08-31
Conflicts, 90 days8
- Yemen (North Yemen): Government1,596
- Unidentified armed groups (Yemen (North Yemen))14
- AQAP - Forces of the Presidential Leadership Council11
- Forces of the Presidential Leadership Council - Civilians8
- Government of Yemen (North Yemen) - Civilians7
- Unidentified armed group (Yemen (North Yemen))2
- Akki - Haydarah2
- IS - Forces of the Presidential Leadership Council2
Source: UCDP GED Candidate (CC BY 4.0)
Natural hazards, 30 days0
None in the last 30 days.
GDACS · USGS · NASA EONET
Warnings and notices
UK FCDO · WMO · WHO · Copernicus EMS
Next 7 days in Aden
| Day | °C | Rain | Gusts | Watch |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, Oct 20 | 25…32 | 0.0 mm | 39 km/h | |
| Wed, Oct 21 | 25…33 | 0.0 mm | 33 km/h | |
| Thu, Oct 22 | 25…33 | 0.4 mm | 44 km/h | |
| Fri, Oct 23 | 27…29 | 8.4 mm | 54 km/h | thunderstorm |
| Sat, Oct 24 | 27…30 | 3.7 mm | 44 km/h | |
| Sun, Oct 25 | 26…30 | 4.5 mm | 37 km/h | |
| Mon, Oct 26 | 24…31 | 0.0 mm | 39 km/h |
Forecast for the capital only; marks: heat ≥38 °C, frost ≤−20 °C, rain ≥50 mm, gusts ≥75 km/h, thunderstorms. Official warnings are above.
Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0)
Food prices in markets14
| Item | Price | USD | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wheat / KG | 850 YER | 3.59 | +13% |
| Wheat flour / KG | 916.67 YER | 3.88 | +7% |
| Potatoes / KG | 1,200 YER | 5.07 | -9% |
| Salt / KG | 400 YER | 1.69 | 0% |
| Beans (kidney red) / KG | 2,900 YER | 12.26 | 0% |
| Onions / KG | 2,450 YER | 10.36 | +163% |
| Fuel (petrol-gasoline) / L | 1,550 YER | 6.55 | +48% |
| Exchange rate (unofficial) / USD/LCU | 1,557 YER | 6.58 | -4% |
| Wage (non-qualified labour) / Day | 15,250 YER | 64.48 | +3% |
| Rice (imported) / KG | 2,416.67 YER | 10.22 | -3% |
| Sugar / KG | 1,333.34 YER | 5.64 | -5% |
| Oil (vegetable) / L | 2,866.67 YER | 12.12 | +19% |
| Tomatoes / KG | 1,250 YER | 5.29 | +25% |
| Beans (white) / KG | 2,550 YER | 10.78 | -1% |
Median retail price across markets in the latest month reported (2026-09); change against the same month a year before.
WFP · HDX (CC BY-IGO)
Disasters since 20001
GDACS (orange and red alerts since 2000)