Violence in the news: 77 reports in the week to Oct 18, 2026 · ×0.8 · against the three weeks before; GDELT, not verified
Protests in the news: 4 reports in the week to Oct 18, 2026 · ×0.3 · against the three weeks before; GDELT, not verified
Model estimate for September 2026: 1–29 deaths (UCDP, the month before: 8). An estimate from the news, not a count. How the model works →
Level, last 60 days
Deaths 30 d
6
UCDP up to 2026-08-31
Per million 90 d
0.4
last 90 days
Civilians
75%
last 90 days
Incidents 30 d
6
Population
28.5 M
World Bank
Plants near violence
5 / 8
near violence / total; 0 nuclear
Why this level6
- +2UK FCDO advises against all travel to parts of the countryUK FCDO travel advice
- +16 deaths in organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP dataUCDP GED Candidate
- +1Confirmed internet outages in 5 places in 24 hoursIODA, Georgia Tech
- +12.8 million people in crisis-level food insecurity or worse (IPC 3+)FEWS NET
- +11.6 million refugees and asylum-seekers have fled the countryUNHCR
- +1Compound crisis: organised violence, internet outages, food insecurity, mass displacement at the same timeARMSMA situation watch
Source: ARMSMA situation watch
Every monitored signal
The last 60 days, each on its own scale.
Violence deaths, 30 days
6
Violence incidents, 30 days
6
Confirmed outages, places, 24 h
5
Travel advice level (FCDO)
3
People in food crisis (IPC 3+)
2 750 000
Refugees who fled
1 598 166
Power plants near violence
5
Natural hazards, 7 days
1
Source: ARMSMA situation watch
Deaths in organised violence, per week
Venezuela, UCDP best estimates. The red bar is the latest week.
The latest week may be incomplete.
Source: UCDP GED Candidate, Uppsala University (CC BY 4.0), data up to 2026-08-31
Who the violence is between
Deaths by kind of violence, last 90 days of data.
- State-based conflict · 8%
- Non-state conflict · 33%
- Against civilians · 58%
Source: UCDP GED Candidate (CC BY 4.0)
Food, displacement, sanctions
- People in food crisis (IPC 3+)
- 2.8 M
- 2026-09
- Share in food crisis
- 10%
- 2026-09
- Undernourishment
- 5.3%
- 2024
- Refugees who fled
- 1,598,166
- 2025
- Refugees hosted
- 15,910
- 2025
- Internally displaced
- –
- 2025
- Sanctions designations
- 463
- 2026-10-19
- GDP per person
- $3,495
- 2025
FEWS NET · World Bank / FAO · UNHCR · OpenSanctions
People in crisis-level food insecurity
IPC Phase 3 or worse, month by month (FEWS NET current-situation estimates, midpoint of the published range).
FEWS NET – IPC-compatible analysis
Latest incidents of organised violence25
| Date | Place | Sides | Deaths | Civilians | Reported by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | El Yabo sector of La Vela de Coro, Colina municipality of Falcón state. | Unidentified armed group (Venezuela) – Civilians | 1 | 1 | Últimas Noticias |
| 2026-08-11 | Las Torres de La Vega sector in Caracas. | Government of Venezuela – Civilians | 1 | 1 | El Pitazo |
| 2026-08-10 | San Francisco municipality of Zulia state. | Unidentified armed group (Venezuela) – Civilians | 1 | 1 | El Pitazo |
| 2026-08-05 | Road to La Concepción, west of the Zulian capital. | Unidentified armed group (Venezuela) – Civilians | 1 | 1 | El Pitazo, Últimas Noticias |
| 2026-08-03 – 2026-08-11 | Rafael Linares neighborhood, Guerrera Ana Soto parish of Barquisimeto, Lara state. | Unidentified armed group (Venezuela) – Civilians | 1 | 1 | El Nacional |
| 2026-08-02 – 2026-08-11 | Bolívar | Unidentified armed group (Venezuela) – Civilians | 1 | 1 | El Nacional |
| 2026-08-01 | Caroní River, between the Macagua and Caruachi , in the Caroní municipality of Bolívar state. | Unidentified armed group (Venezuela) – Unidentified armed group (Venezuela) | 2 | 2 | El Pitazo |
| 2026-07-22 | El Guayabo sector of the La Concepción parish, Jesús Enrique Lossada municipality, Zulia state | Unidentified armed group (Venezuela) – Civilians | 1 | 1 | El Pitazo |
| 2026-06-18 | Casigua, El Cubo, Jesús María Semprún municipality | Government of Venezuela – ELN | 1 | 0 | El Nacional |
| 2026-06-08 | city of Coro, Falcón state family entertainment center | Unidentified armed group (Venezuela) – Unidentified armed group (Venezuela) | 2 | 0 | Ultimas Noticias |
| 2026-05-29 | Punta Palmita sector, main avenue, Mariara (Carabobo). | Unidentified armed group (Venezuela) – Unidentified armed group (Venezuela) | 1 | 0 | Últimas noticias |
| 2026-05-15 | in front of his residence located in the 4 Esquinas sector, Francisco Javier Pulgar municipality in the state of Zulia | Los Potes de Pólvora – Civilians | 1 | 1 | Últimas noticias |
| 2026-05-10 | municipality of Jesús María Semprún in Zulia state area known as La Pica 2 | Unidentified armed group (Venezuela) – Unidentified armed group (Venezuela) | 5 | 0 | El Nacional |
| 2026-04-21 | Carabobo Los Lanceros sector of Puerto Cabello | Unidentified armed group (Venezuela) – Unidentified armed group (Venezuela) | 1 | 0 | Ultimas Noticias |
| 2026-04-18 | Carabobo state Valles de Mirandita sector of the Miguel Peña parish in Valencia | Unidentified armed group (Venezuela) – Unidentified armed group (Venezuela) | 1 | 0 | Ultimas Noticias |
| 2026-04-09 | Nirgua, Yaracuy | Unidentified armed group (Venezuela) – Unidentified armed group (Venezuela) | 1 | 0 | Ultimas Noticias |
| 2026-04-01 | hamlet of Las Tinajas, at the confluence of the Guárico municipalities of Juan José Rondón (Las Mercedes del Llano), Julián Mellado (El Sombrero), and Francisco de Miranda (Calabozo). | Unidentified armed group (Venezuela) – Unidentified armed group (Venezuela) | 9 | 0 | Ultimas Noticias |
| 2026-03-26 | Isaías Medina Angarita neighborhood, El Capitán sector, Caracas | Unidentified armed group (Venezuela) – Unidentified armed group (Venezuela) | 1 | 0 | Ultimas Noticias |
| 2026-03-14 | La Mirandita sector, south of Valencia, Carabobo state | Unidentified armed group (Venezuela) – Civilians | 1 | 1 | El Nacional |
| 2026-03-12 | La Mirandina sector, south of Valencia, Carabobo state | Unidentified armed group (Venezuela) – Unidentified armed group (Venezuela) | 1 | 0 | Ultimas Noticias |
| 2026-02-06 | On the banks of the Chaguaramas–Memo national highway, Samanito sector, in the state of Guárico | Tren del Llano – Civilians | 1 | 1 | El Pitazo, El Pitazo, El Nacional |
| 2026-01-30 | At the Tancol camp in Amazonas, Caname sector, Atabapo municipality | Unidentified armed group (Venezuela) – Unidentified armed group (Venezuela) | 1 | 0 | Ultimas Noticias |
| 2026-01-22 | Near the El Corozo sector in San Felipe, Yaracuy state | Unidentified armed group (Venezuela) – Unidentified armed group (Venezuela) | 1 | 0 | Ultimas Noticias, El Pitazo |
| 2026-01-20 | In the vicinity of Cayo Sombrero, within the Morrocoy National Park , jurisdiction of the Monseñor Iturriza municipality, Falcón state | Unidentified armed group (Venezuela) – Unidentified armed group (Venezuela) | 1 | 1 | Ultimas Noticias, El Nacional |
| 2026-01-05 | Fort Tiuna, Caracas | Government of United States of America – Government of Venezuela | 81 | 4 | Ultimas Noticias, Ultimas Noticias, El Pitazo |
Source: UCDP GED Candidate, Uppsala University (CC BY 4.0), data up to 2026-08-31
Conflicts, 90 days4
- Unidentified armed group (Venezuela) - Civilians6
- Unidentified armed groups (Venezuela)4
- Unidentified armed group (Venezuela)1
- Government of Venezuela - Civilians1
Source: UCDP GED Candidate (CC BY 4.0)
Natural hazards, 30 days1
- FloodFlood in Venezuela · Oct 7, 2026
GDACS · USGS · NASA EONET
Warnings and notices
UK FCDO · WMO · WHO · Copernicus EMS
Power plants near danger5
Antonio Jose de Sucre (Macagua) · Hydro · 2,930 MW
1 incidents within 50 km in 90 days, nearest 6 km
Fransisco de Miranda (Caruachi) · Hydro · 2,196 MW
1 incidents within 50 km in 90 days, nearest 28 km
Josefa Joaquina Sanchez · Gas · 1,586 MW
2 incidents within 50 km in 90 days, nearest 8 km
Ricardo Zuloaga (Tacoa) Thermal Power Plant Venezuela · Gas · 1,720 MW
1 incidents within 50 km in 90 days, nearest 25 km
Termozulia · Gas · 1,300 MW
2 incidents within 50 km in 90 days, nearest 8 km
Distance only: this does not mean a plant was affected.
WRI Global Power Plant Database; UCDP; GDACS · USGS
Next 7 days in Caracas
| Day | °C | Rain | Gusts | Watch |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon, Oct 19 | 17…29 | 2.3 mm | 27 km/h | |
| Tue, Oct 20 | 19…28 | 2.5 mm | 33 km/h | |
| Wed, Oct 21 | 20…27 | 2.6 mm | 44 km/h | |
| Thu, Oct 22 | 21…29 | 0.4 mm | 41 km/h | |
| Fri, Oct 23 | 20…29 | 0.3 mm | 45 km/h | |
| Sat, Oct 24 | 20…29 | 1.5 mm | 31 km/h | |
| Sun, Oct 25 | 19…28 | 3.0 mm | 23 km/h |
Forecast for the capital only; marks: heat ≥38 °C, frost ≤−20 °C, rain ≥50 mm, gusts ≥75 km/h, thunderstorms. Official warnings are above.
Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0)
Food prices in markets14
| Item | Price | USD | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Maize flour / KG | 1.03 USD | 1.03 | +5% |
| Pasta / 0.5 KG | 0.73 USD | 0.73 | +4% |
| Rice (white) / KG | 1.38 USD | 1.38 | +7% |
| Margarine / 0.5 KG | 2.61 USD | 2.60 | +10% |
| Oil (vegetable) / 850 ML | 3.61 USD | 3.61 | +48% |
| Salt / KG | 0.44 USD | 0.43 | +32% |
| Potatoes / KG | 1.42 USD | 1.42 | -14% |
| Tomatoes / KG | 1.61 USD | 1.60 | -4% |
| Cheese (white) / KG | 6.4 USD | 6.40 | -1% |
| Carrots / KG | 1.01 USD | 1.01 | +15% |
| Onions / KG | 1.25 USD | 1.25 | +2% |
| Lentils / 900 G | 3.76 USD | 3.76 | +38% |
| Sugar / KG | 1.48 USD | 1.48 | +12% |
| Bananas / KG | 0.76 USD | 0.76 | +3% |
Median retail price across markets in the latest month reported (2025-05); change against the same month a year before.
WFP · HDX (CC BY-IGO)
Disasters since 20004
EarthquakesTropical cyclones
GDACS (orange and red alerts since 2000)