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Back to ARMSMACountry levels of Oct 20 · source times vary

Thailand

Nothing unusualScore 1Open the map

Violence in the news: 81 reports in the week to Oct 19, 2026 · ×1.6 · against the three weeks before; GDELT, not verified

Protests in the news: 13 reports in the week to Oct 19, 2026 · ×3 · against the three weeks before; GDELT, not verified

Model estimate for September 2026: 0–18 deaths (UCDP, the month before: 4). An estimate from the news, not a count. How the model works →

Level, last 60 days

  • Deaths 30 d

    4

    UCDP up to 2026-08-31

  • Per million 90 d

    0.2

    last 90 days

  • Civilians

    0%

    last 90 days

  • Incidents 30 d

    2

  • Population

    71.6 M

    World Bank

  • Plants near violence

    0 / 13

    near violence / total; 0 nuclear

Why this level1

  • +14 deaths in organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP dataUCDP GED Candidate

Source: ARMSMA situation watch

Every monitored signal

The last 60 days, each on its own scale.

  • Travel advice level (FCDO)

    1

  • Confirmed outages, places, 24 h

    32

  • Refugees who fled

    2 983

  • Severe weather warnings in force

    1

  • Extreme weather warnings in force

    0

  • Natural hazards, 7 days

    1

  • Violence deaths, 30 days

    4

  • Violence incidents, 30 days

    2

Source: ARMSMA situation watch

Deaths in organised violence, per week

Thailand, UCDP best estimates. The red bar is the latest week.

The latest week may be incomplete.

Source: UCDP GED Candidate, Uppsala University (CC BY 4.0), data up to 2026-08-31

Who the violence is between

Deaths by kind of violence, last 90 days of data.

  • State-based conflict · 100%
  • Non-state conflict · 0%
  • Against civilians · 0%

Source: UCDP GED Candidate (CC BY 4.0)

Food, displacement, sanctions

People in food crisis (IPC 3+)
–
2026-09
Share in food crisis
–
2026-09
Undernourishment
5.4%
2024
Refugees who fled
2,983
2025
Refugees hosted
86,897
2025
Internally displaced
–
2025
Sanctions designations
369
2026-10-20
GDP per person
$8,057
2025

FEWS NET · World Bank / FAO · UNHCR · OpenSanctions

People in crisis-level food insecurity

FEWS NET does not cover this country.

Latest incidents of organised violence25

DatePlaceSidesDeathsCiviliansReported by
2026-08-05in Sukhirin district - NARATHIWATGovernment of Thailand – Patani insurgents20Bangkok Post, Amnesty International
2026-08-02Praiwan subdistrict of Tak Bai districtGovernment of Thailand – Patani insurgents20Bangkok Post, The Thaiger, Amnesty Internationl
2026-07-23Bannang SataPatani insurgents – Civilians00Crisis Watch
2026-07-22Bukeh Sami checkpoint in tambon Tanyong Mat, Rangae districtGovernment of Thailand – Patani insurgents50Reuters News, Crisis Watch, Bangkok Post
2026-07-15Bannang Sata districtGovernment of Thailand – Patani insurgents10Crisis Watch
2026-07-13Bannang Sata districtPatani insurgents – Civilians00Crisis Watch
2026-06-28village road in Moo 4 of tambon Mo MawiGovernment of Thailand – Patani insurgents10Bangkok Post
2026-06-26Yarang, pattaniGovernment of Thailand – Patani insurgents10Crisis Watch
2026-06-04Sungai Padi districtGovernment of Thailand – Patani insurgents10Crisis Watch
2026-06-04Khok Pho districtGovernment of Thailand – Patani insurgents20Crisis Watch
2026-06-01Ban Ruepoh village, tambon Dusongyor, Chanae district, NARATHIWATGovernment of Thailand – Patani insurgents10Crisis Watch, Bangkok Post
2026-05-25sedan near a school in Phong Sata, Yarang, Pattani // Outside Prasanwittayamulniti SchoolGovernment of Thailand – Patani insurgents22Crisis Watch, Bangkok Post, Bangkok Post
2026-05-22Saiburi district, PataniGovernment of Thailand – Patani insurgents10Crisis Watch, Bangkok Post
2026-05-11Waeng district, Narathiwat provinceGovernment of Thailand – Patani insurgents10Crisis Watch
2026-05-04Yaring districtGovernment of Thailand – Patani insurgents10Bangkok Post
2026-05-04Pattani’s Mayo districtGovernment of Thailand – Patani insurgents10Crisis Watch
2026-05-04Pattani’s Mayo districtGovernment of Thailand – Patani insurgents10Crisis Watch, Bangkok Post
2026-04-20PattaniGovernment of Thailand – Patani insurgents10Bangkok Post
2026-04-03Pattani, Panare districtGovernment of Thailand – Patani insurgents11Crisis Watch, Bangkok Post
2026-04-01Pattani, Sai Buri district / Bango Yuering villageGovernment of Thailand – Patani insurgents10Crisis Watch, Bangkok Post
2026-04-01Narathiwat’s Chanae districtGovernment of Thailand – Patani insurgents20Crisis Watch, Bangkok Post
2026-03-31Kapho district, Pattani provinceGovernment of Thailand – Patani insurgents10Crisis Watch
2026-03-20Muang district, YalaGovernment of Thailand – Patani insurgents10Crisis Watch
2026-03-16 – 2026-03-18Nong Chik district, PattaniGovernment of Thailand – Patani insurgents10The Thaiger
2026-03-15 – 2026-03-16Pattani’s Nong Chik district /// Ban Ta Thong and Ban Paka Luesong villages in tambon Tuyong, Nong Chik district, PattaniGovernment of Thailand – Patani insurgents20Crisis Watch, nationthailand.com, nationthailand.com

Source: UCDP GED Candidate, Uppsala University (CC BY 4.0), data up to 2026-08-31

Conflicts, 90 days2

  • Thailand: Patani15
  • Patani insurgents - Civilians0

Source: UCDP GED Candidate (CC BY 4.0)

Natural hazards, 30 days1

  • FloodFlood in Thailand · Oct 5, 2026

GDACS · USGS · NASA EONET

Warnings and notices

UK FCDO: Thailand: Avoid all but essential travel to parts

Thailand: 1 severe weather warning

• Heavy Rain – Severe

UK FCDO · WMO · WHO · Copernicus EMS

Next 7 days in Bangkok

Day°CRainGustsWatch
Tue, Oct 2026…323.7 mm44 km/hthunderstorm
Wed, Oct 2126…324.8 mm20 km/h
Thu, Oct 2224…322.1 mm23 km/hthunderstorm
Fri, Oct 2325…334.7 mm20 km/h
Sat, Oct 2424…323.9 mm18 km/h
Sun, Oct 2524…322.4 mm26 km/hthunderstorm
Mon, Oct 2623…3112.5 mm26 km/hthunderstorm

Forecast for the capital only; marks: heat ≥38 °C, frost ≤−20 °C, rain ≥50 mm, gusts ≥75 km/h, thunderstorms. Official warnings are above.

Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0)

Disasters since 200010

042000: 020002001: 02002: 02003: 02004: 02005: 020052006: 02007: 02008: 02009: 02010: 020102011: 02012: 02013: 02014: 02015: 020152016: 02017: 02018: 02019: Tropical cyclones 22020: Tropical cyclones 420202021: 02022: 02023: 02024: 02025: Floods 3, Tropical cyclones 120252026: 02026

FloodsTropical cyclones

  • Flood in Malaysia, Thailand · Dec 12, 2025 · Magnitude 0
  • Flood in Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand · Dec 3, 2025 · Magnitude 0
  • Flood in Thailand · Nov 17, 2025 · Magnitude 0
  • Tropical Cyclone FENGSHEN-25 · Oct 18, 2025 · Tropical Depression (maximum wind speed of 93 km/h)
  • Tropical Cyclone MOLAVE-20 · Oct 24, 2020 · Hurricane/Typhoon > 74 mph (maximum wind speed of 204 km/h)
  • Tropical Cyclone NANGKA-20 · Oct 11, 2020 · Tropical Storm (maximum wind speed of 93 km/h)
  • Tropical Cyclone NOUL-20 · Sep 15, 2020 · Tropical Storm (maximum wind speed of 93 km/h)
  • Tropical Cyclone SINLAKU-20 · Aug 1, 2020 · Tropical Storm (maximum wind speed of 65 km/h)
  • Tropical Cyclone MATMO-19/BULBUL-19 · Oct 29, 2019 · Tropical Storm (maximum wind speed of 157 km/h)
  • Tropical Cyclone PODUL-19 · Aug 26, 2019 · Tropical Depression (maximum wind speed of 65 km/h)

GDACS (orange and red alerts since 2000)