Violence in the news: 579 reports in the week to Oct 18, 2026 · ×1.1 · against the three weeks before; GDELT, not verified
Protests in the news: 14 reports in the week to Oct 18, 2026 · ×1.2 · against the three weeks before; GDELT, not verified
Model estimate for September 2026: 15–98 deaths (UCDP, the month before: 54). An estimate from the news, not a count. How the model works →
Level, last 60 days
Deaths 30 d
54
UCDP up to 2026-08-31
Per million 90 d
0.8
last 90 days
Civilians
5%
last 90 days
Incidents 30 d
20
Population
143.5 M
World Bank
Plants near violence
2 / 64
near violence / total; 10 nuclear
Why this level4
- +3UK FCDO advises against all travel to the whole countryUK FCDO travel advice
- +254 deaths in organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP dataUCDP GED Candidate
- +1Violence deaths, 30 days: 54, 2.5× the 30 days of UCDP data beforeUCDP GED Candidate
- +1Confirmed internet outages in 5 places in 24 hoursIODA, Georgia Tech
Source: ARMSMA situation watch
Every monitored signal
The last 60 days, each on its own scale.
Violence deaths, 30 days
54
Natural hazards, 7 days
1
Violence incidents, 30 days
20
Confirmed outages, places, 24 h
5
Travel advice level (FCDO)
4
Power plants near violence
2
Refugees who fled
187 670
Severe weather warnings in force
13
Source: ARMSMA situation watch
Deaths in organised violence, per week
Russia, UCDP best estimates. The red bar is the latest week.
The latest week may be incomplete.
Source: UCDP GED Candidate, Uppsala University (CC BY 4.0), data up to 2026-08-31
Who the violence is between
Deaths by kind of violence, last 90 days of data.
- State-based conflict · 100%
- Non-state conflict · 0%
- Against civilians · 0%
Source: UCDP GED Candidate (CC BY 4.0)
Food, displacement, sanctions
- People in food crisis (IPC 3+)
- –
- 2026-09
- Share in food crisis
- –
- 2026-09
- Undernourishment
- 2.5%
- 2024
- Refugees who fled
- 187,670
- 2025
- Refugees hosted
- 12,787
- 2025
- Internally displaced
- –
- 2025
- Sanctions designations
- 23,338
- 2026-10-19
- GDP per person
- $17,547
- 2025
FEWS NET · World Bank / FAO · UNHCR · OpenSanctions
People in crisis-level food insecurity
FEWS NET does not cover this country.
Latest incidents of organised violence25
| Date | Place | Sides | Deaths | Civilians | Reported by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Saint Petersburg | Government of Russia (Soviet Union) – Government of Ukraine | 2 | 0 | Russo-Ukrainian Warspotting |
| 2026-08-31 | Chaltyr, Myasnikov raion | Government of Russia (Soviet Union) – Government of Ukraine | 2 | 0 | Russo-Ukrainian Warspotting |
| 2026-08-30 | Kursk oblast | Government of Russia (Soviet Union) – Government of Ukraine | 1 | 0 | Russo-Ukrainian Warspotting |
| 2026-08-30 | Yeysk airbase | Government of Russia (Soviet Union) – Government of Ukraine | 2 | 0 | Russo-Ukrainian Warspotting |
| 2026-08-25 | Shebekino raion | Government of Russia (Soviet Union) – Government of Ukraine | 1 | 0 | Russo-Ukrainian Warspotting |
| 2026-08-24 | Kursk oblast | Government of Russia (Soviet Union) – Government of Ukraine | 1 | 0 | Russo-Ukrainian Warspotting |
| 2026-08-24 – 2026-08-25 | several municipalities in the Belgorod Region | Government of Russia (Soviet Union) – Government of Ukraine | 1 | 1 | Единая новостная лента, Единая новостная лента |
| 2026-08-23 – 2026-08-24 | In Krasnodar | Government of Russia (Soviet Union) – Government of Ukraine | 3 | 3 | Единая новостная лента, Единая новостная лента, Единая новостная лента |
| 2026-08-23 – 2026-08-24 | In the Belgorod district in the village of Otradny | Government of Russia (Soviet Union) – Government of Ukraine | 1 | 1 | Единая новостная лента, Единая новостная лента, Единая новостная лента |
| 2026-08-22 | Belgorod oblast | Government of Russia (Soviet Union) – Government of Ukraine | 2 | 0 | Russo-Ukrainian Warspotting |
| 2026-08-21 | Nizhnemakhovo, Sudzha raion | Government of Russia (Soviet Union) – Government of Ukraine | 3 | 0 | Russo-Ukrainian Warspotting |
| 2026-08-19 | Goncharovka, Sudzha raion | Government of Russia (Soviet Union) – Government of Ukraine | 3 | 0 | Russo-Ukrainian Warspotting |
| 2026-08-16 | Cherkasskaya Konopelka, Sudzha raion | Government of Russia (Soviet Union) – Government of Ukraine | 1 | 0 | Russo-Ukrainian Warspotting |
| 2026-08-14 | Stroitel, Yakovlevo raion | Government of Russia (Soviet Union) – Government of Ukraine | 1 | 0 | Russo-Ukrainian Warspotting |
| 2026-08-08 | Grafovka, Shebekino raion | Government of Russia (Soviet Union) – Government of Ukraine | 6 | 0 | Russo-Ukrainian Warspotting |
| 2026-08-08 | Gelendzhik, Gelendzhik okrug | Government of Russia (Soviet Union) – Government of Ukraine | 4 | 0 | Russo-Ukrainian Warspotting |
| 2026-08-08 | Kursk oblast | Government of Russia (Soviet Union) – Government of Ukraine | 8 | 0 | Russo-Ukrainian Warspotting |
| 2026-08-08 | Vnezapnoe, Korenevo raion | Government of Russia (Soviet Union) – Government of Ukraine | 6 | 0 | Russo-Ukrainian Warspotting |
| 2026-08-07 | Kursk oblast | Government of Russia (Soviet Union) – Government of Ukraine | 3 | 0 | Russo-Ukrainian Warspotting |
| 2026-08-03 | Mirnyi, Sudzha raion | Government of Russia (Soviet Union) – Government of Ukraine | 3 | 0 | Russo-Ukrainian Warspotting |
| 2026-07-31 | Belgorod oblast | Government of Russia (Soviet Union) – Government of Ukraine | 1 | 0 | Russo-Ukrainian Warspotting |
| 2026-07-29 | Belgorod oblast | Government of Russia (Soviet Union) – Government of Ukraine | 1 | 0 | Russo-Ukrainian Warspotting |
| 2026-07-28 | Belgorod oblast | Government of Russia (Soviet Union) – Government of Ukraine | 1 | 0 | Russo-Ukrainian Warspotting |
| 2026-07-27 | Belgorod oblast | Government of Russia (Soviet Union) – Government of Ukraine | 1 | 0 | Russo-Ukrainian Warspotting |
| 2026-07-25 | Caspian Sea | Government of Russia (Soviet Union) – Government of Ukraine | 1 | 0 | Reuters News, Al Jazeera English |
Source: UCDP GED Candidate, Uppsala University (CC BY 4.0), data up to 2026-08-31
Conflicts, 90 days1
- Russia - Ukraine110
Source: UCDP GED Candidate (CC BY 4.0)
Natural hazards, 30 days5
- WildfireForest fires in Russian Federation · Oct 9, 2026
- WildfireForest fires in Russian Federation · Oct 8, 2026
- WildfireForest fires in Russian Federation · Oct 7, 2026
- EarthquakeEarthquake in Russian Federation · Oct 2, 2026
- VolcanoChikurachki · Sep 21, 2026
GDACS · USGS · NASA EONET
Warnings and notices
UK FCDO · WMO · WHO · Copernicus EMS
Power plants near danger2
Krasnodar TPP · Gas · 1,120 MW
1 incidents within 50 km in 90 days, nearest 6 km
Yuzhnaya Tets · Gas · 1,207 MW
1 incidents within 50 km in 90 days, nearest 13 km
Distance only: this does not mean a plant was affected.
WRI Global Power Plant Database; UCDP; GDACS · USGS
Next 7 days in Moscow
| Day | °C | Rain | Gusts | Watch |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, Oct 20 | 0…10 | 0.0 mm | 19 km/h | |
| Wed, Oct 21 | 2…11 | 0.0 mm | 18 km/h | |
| Thu, Oct 22 | 3…10 | 0.0 mm | 18 km/h | |
| Fri, Oct 23 | 4…10 | 0.0 mm | 18 km/h | |
| Sat, Oct 24 | 3…12 | 0.0 mm | 19 km/h | |
| Sun, Oct 25 | 2…11 | 0.0 mm | 26 km/h | |
| Mon, Oct 26 | 1…9 | 0.0 mm | 33 km/h |
Forecast for the capital only; marks: heat ≥38 °C, frost ≤−20 °C, rain ≥50 mm, gusts ≥75 km/h, thunderstorms. Official warnings are above.
Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0)
Disasters since 20005
DroughtsEarthquakes
- Drought in Austria, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Belgium, Belarus, Switzerland, Czech Republic, Germany, Denmark, Spain, France, Croatia, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Liechtenstein, Luxembourg, Moldova, Montenegro, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Romania, Serbia, Russia, Sweden, Slovenia, Slovakia, San Marino, Ukraine, · Dec 21, 2025 · Medium impact for agricultural drought in 1759971 km2
- Earthquake in Russia · Sep 18, 2025 · Magnitude 7.8M, Depth:19.5km
- Earthquake in Russia · Jul 29, 2025 · Magnitude 8.8M, Depth:35km
- Earthquake in Russia · Aug 17, 2024 · Magnitude 7M, Depth:29km
- Drought in Kazakhstan, Russia, Uzbekistan · Apr 21, 2021 · Medium impact for agricultural drought in 979473 km2
GDACS (orange and red alerts since 2000)