Violence in the news: 460 reports in the week to Oct 19, 2026 · ×0.9 · against the three weeks before; GDELT, not verified
Protests in the news: 34 reports in the week to Oct 19, 2026 · ×0.7 · against the three weeks before; GDELT, not verified
Model estimate for September 2026: 201–1,279 deaths (UCDP, the month before: 551). An estimate from the news, not a count. How the model works →
Level, last 60 days
Deaths 30 d
547
UCDP up to 2026-08-31
Per million 90 d
6.9
last 90 days
Civilians
8%
last 90 days
Incidents 30 d
150
Population
255.2 M
World Bank
Plants near violence
8 / 10
near violence / total; 2 nuclear
Why this level5
- +3547 deaths in organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP dataUCDP GED Candidate
- +2UK FCDO advises against all travel to parts of the countryUK FCDO travel advice
- +216.5 million people in crisis-level food insecurity or worse (IPC 3+)FEWS NET
- +1150 incidents of organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP dataUCDP GED Candidate
- +12 nuclear power plants within 50 km of organised violence in the latest 90 days of UCDP dataWRI Global Power Plant Database · UCDP
Source: ARMSMA situation watch
Every monitored signal
The last 60 days, each on its own scale.
Violence deaths, 30 days
547
Violence incidents, 30 days
150
Travel advice level (FCDO)
3
Power plants near violence
8
Confirmed outages, places, 24 h
2
People in food crisis (IPC 3+)
16 500 000
Refugees who fled
155 563
Nuclear plants near violence
2
Source: ARMSMA situation watch
Deaths in organised violence, per week
Pakistan, UCDP best estimates. The red bar is the latest week.
The latest week may be incomplete.
Source: UCDP GED Candidate, Uppsala University (CC BY 4.0), data up to 2026-08-31
Who the violence is between
Deaths by kind of violence, last 90 days of data.
- State-based conflict · 94%
- Non-state conflict · 0%
- Against civilians · 6%
Source: UCDP GED Candidate (CC BY 4.0)
Food, displacement, sanctions
- People in food crisis (IPC 3+)
- 16.5 M
- 2026-09
- Share in food crisis
- 6%
- 2026-09
- Undernourishment
- 16.1%
- 2024
- Refugees who fled
- 155,563
- 2025
- Refugees hosted
- 1,278,540
- 2025
- Internally displaced
- –
- 2025
- Sanctions designations
- 5,646
- 2026-10-20
- GDP per person
- $1,596
- 2025
FEWS NET · World Bank / FAO · UNHCR · OpenSanctions
People in crisis-level food insecurity
IPC Phase 3 or worse, month by month (FEWS NET current-situation estimates, midpoint of the published range).
FEWS NET – IPC-compatible analysis
Latest incidents of organised violence25
| Date | Place | Sides | Deaths | Civilians | Reported by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Awaran District of Balochistan | Government of Pakistan – BRAS | 4 | 0 | SATP |
| 2026-08-31 | Mashkel town (Mashkel District) of Balochistan | Government of Pakistan – BRAS | 8 | 0 | SATP |
| 2026-08-31 | Nokcha area of Chagai District in Balochistan | Government of Pakistan – BRAS | 11 | 0 | SATP |
| 2026-08-31 | Dalbandin area of Chaghi District in Balochistan | Government of Pakistan – BRAS | 12 | 0 | SATP |
| 2026-08-31 | Shadi Kaur area of Pasni tehsil (revenue unit) in Gwadar District of Balochistan | Government of Pakistan – BRAS | 1 | 0 | SATP |
| 2026-08-31 – 2026-09-01 | North Waziristan, a district in the country’s northwestern Khyber Pakhtunkhwa province, Ghulam Khan sector | Government of Pakistan – TTP | 15 | 0 | SATP, Kabul Now |
| 2026-08-31 | mountainous area of Katlang in Mardan District of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa | Government of Pakistan – TTP | 2 | 0 | SATP |
| 2026-08-31 | Shah Hassan Khel area of Lakki Marwat District in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa | Government of Pakistan – TTP | 2 | 0 | SATP |
| 2026-08-31 | Khudadad Colony area of Karachi, the provincial capital of Sindh | Government of Pakistan – TTP | 1 | 0 | SATP |
| 2026-08-31 | Customs House in Ziarat Cross. Pishin District in Balochistan | Government of Pakistan – TTP | 16 | 0 | SATP |
| 2026-08-31 | Lakki Marwat District of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa | Government of Pakistan – TTP | 1 | 0 | SATP |
| 2026-08-31 | Ghol Dam area of Karak District in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa | Government of Pakistan – TTP | 1 | 0 | SATP |
| 2026-08-30 | Killi Bakhtiar Khan area of Luni tehsil (revenue unit) in Duki District of Balochistan | BRAS – Civilians | 3 | 3 | SATP |
| 2026-08-30 | Palantak area of Washuk District in Balochistan | Government of Pakistan – BRAS | 2 | 0 | SATP |
| 2026-08-30 | Sharifabad area of Khadkocha in Mastung District of Balochistan | Government of Pakistan – BRAS | 1 | 1 | SATP |
| 2026-08-30 | Zubaida Jalal Road heading toward Mand in the Hairabad area of Turbat tehsil (revenue unit) in Kech District of Balochistan | Government of Pakistan – BRAS | 1 | 0 | SATP |
| 2026-08-30 | near Shago Chowk in Mamund tehsil (revenue unit) of Bajaur District in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa | IS – Civilians | 1 | 1 | SATP |
| 2026-08-30 | Mohmand District of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa | Government of Pakistan – TTP | 1 | 0 | SATP |
| 2026-08-28 | Bolan District of Balochistan | Government of Pakistan – BRAS | 3 | 0 | SATP |
| 2026-08-28 | Kari Haider area of Tank District in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa | TTP – Civilians | 1 | 1 | SATP |
| 2026-08-28 | Makeen Bazaar of South Waziristan District in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa o | TTP – Civilians | 0 | 0 | SATP |
| 2026-08-28 | Shago Mamond Chowk in Mamond Tehsil, Bajaur district, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa. | IS – Civilians | 1 | 1 | Afghan Analyst on Twitter (X) |
| 2026-08-28 | Jani Khel and Nasri Khel areas of Bannu District in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa | Government of Pakistan – TTP | 2 | 0 | SATP |
| 2026-08-28 | Dera Ismail Khan District of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, travelling from Kulachi toward Maddi | Government of Pakistan – TTP | 4 | 0 | SATP |
| 2026-08-27 | a mountainous area of Awaran District in Balochistan | Government of Pakistan – BRAS | 5 | 0 | SATP |
Source: UCDP GED Candidate, Uppsala University (CC BY 4.0), data up to 2026-08-31
Conflicts, 90 days8
- Pakistan: Government819
- Pakistan: Balochistan575
- Unidentified armed group (Pakistan)243
- BRAS - Civilians35
- Unidentified armed group (Pakistan) - Civilians27
- TTP - Civilians23
- IS - Civilians10
- Afghanistan: Islamic State5
Source: UCDP GED Candidate (CC BY 4.0)
Natural hazards, 30 days0
None in the last 30 days.
GDACS · USGS · NASA EONET
Warnings and notices
UK FCDO · WMO · WHO · Copernicus EMS
Power plants near danger8
Bin Qasim · Oil · 1,260 MW
5 incidents within 50 km in 90 days, nearest 23 km
Chasnupp · Nuclear · 1,330 MW
3 incidents within 50 km in 90 days, nearest 38 km
Ghazi Barotha · Hydro · 1,450 MW
2 incidents within 50 km in 90 days, nearest 31 km
Hub Power Project · Oil · 1,292 MW
3 incidents within 50 km in 90 days, nearest 32 km
Kanupp · Nuclear · 137 MW
4 incidents within 50 km in 90 days, nearest 22 km
Mangla · Hydro · 1,000 MW
1 incidents within 50 km in 90 days, nearest 49 km
Port Qasim EPC power station · Coal · 1,320 MW
5 incidents within 50 km in 90 days, nearest 22 km
Tarbela · Hydro · 3,478 MW
1 incidents within 50 km in 90 days, nearest 43 km
Distance only: this does not mean a plant was affected.
WRI Global Power Plant Database; UCDP; GDACS · USGS
Next 7 days in Rawalpindi
| Day | °C | Rain | Gusts | Watch |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, Oct 20 | 17…28 | 0.0 mm | 17 km/h | |
| Wed, Oct 21 | 16…28 | 0.0 mm | 19 km/h | |
| Thu, Oct 22 | 16…29 | 0.0 mm | 23 km/h | |
| Fri, Oct 23 | 16…28 | 0.0 mm | 13 km/h | |
| Sat, Oct 24 | 16…28 | 0.0 mm | 15 km/h | |
| Sun, Oct 25 | 15…28 | 0.0 mm | 20 km/h | |
| Mon, Oct 26 | 15…29 | 0.0 mm | 22 km/h |
Forecast for the capital only; marks: heat ≥38 °C, frost ≤−20 °C, rain ≥50 mm, gusts ≥75 km/h, thunderstorms. Official warnings are above.
Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0)
Food prices in markets13
| Item | Price | USD | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wheat flour / KG | 138 PKR | 0.50 | +74% |
| Rice (coarse) / KG | 154 PKR | 0.55 | 0% |
| Wheat / KG | 125 PKR | 0.45 | +73% |
| Oil (cooking) / L | 613 PKR | 2.21 | +7% |
| Ghee (artificial) / KG | 627 PKR | 2.26 | +7% |
| Fuel (diesel) / L | 377 PKR | 1.36 | +34% |
| Beans(mash) / KG | 465 PKR | 1.68 | +4% |
| Milk / L | 220 PKR | 0.79 | +11% |
| Fuel (petrol-gasoline) / L | 336 PKR | 1.21 | +27% |
| Lentils (gram) / KG | 265 PKR | 0.95 | – |
| Sugar / KG | 149.5 PKR | 0.54 | -18% |
| Lentils (masur) / KG | 269 PKR | 0.97 | -14% |
| Lentils (moong) / KG | 365.5 PKR | 1.31 | -5% |
Median retail price across markets in the latest month reported (2026-08); change against the same month a year before.
WFP · HDX (CC BY-IGO)
Disasters since 200011
FloodsTropical cyclonesEarthquakes
- Flood in Pakistan · Aug 14, 2025 · Magnitude 0
- Flood in Pakistan · Jul 14, 2025 · Magnitude 0
- Tropical Cyclone ASNA-24 · Aug 30, 2024 · Tropical Storm (maximum wind speed of 83 km/h)
- Flood in Pakistan · Aug 16, 2023 · Magnitude 0
- Flood in India, Pakistan · Jun 14, 2023 · Magnitude 0
- Tropical Cyclone BIPARJOY-23 · Jun 6, 2023 · Tropical Storm (maximum wind speed of 194 km/h)
- Flood in Pakistan · Jun 14, 2022 · Magnitude 0
- Tropical Cyclone TAUKTAE-21 · May 14, 2021 · Hurricane/Typhoon > 74 mph (maximum wind speed of 222 km/h)
- Earthquake in Pakistan · Sep 24, 2019 · Magnitude 5.6M, Depth:10km
- Flood in Pakistan · Jul 14, 2019 · Magnitude 0
- Tropical Cyclone VAYU-19 · Jun 10, 2019 · Tropical Storm (maximum wind speed of 176 km/h)
GDACS (orange and red alerts since 2000)