Violence in the news: 11 reports in the week to Oct 18, 2026 · ×0.5 · against the three weeks before; GDELT, not verified
Model estimate for September 2026: 23–154 deaths (UCDP, the month before: 42). An estimate from the news, not a count. How the model works →
Level, last 60 days
Deaths 30 d
42
UCDP up to 2026-08-31
Per million 90 d
15
last 90 days
Civilians
11%
last 90 days
Incidents 30 d
11
Population
27.9 M
World Bank
Plants near violence
0 / 0
near violence / total; 0 nuclear
Why this level3
- +3UK FCDO advises against all travel to the whole countryUK FCDO travel advice
- +242 deaths in organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP dataUCDP GED Candidate
- +12.8 million people in crisis-level food insecurity or worse (IPC 3+)FEWS NET
Source: ARMSMA situation watch
Every monitored signal
The last 60 days, each on its own scale.
Violence deaths, 30 days
42
Violence incidents, 30 days
11
Confirmed outages, places, 24 h
2
Travel advice level (FCDO)
4
People in food crisis (IPC 3+)
2 750 000
Refugees who fled
107 253
Source: ARMSMA situation watch
Deaths in organised violence, per week
Niger, UCDP best estimates. The red bar is the latest week.
The latest week may be incomplete.
Source: UCDP GED Candidate, Uppsala University (CC BY 4.0), data up to 2026-08-31
Who the violence is between
Deaths by kind of violence, last 90 days of data.
- State-based conflict · 78%
- Non-state conflict · 5%
- Against civilians · 16%
Source: UCDP GED Candidate (CC BY 4.0)
Food, displacement, sanctions
- People in food crisis (IPC 3+)
- 2.8 M
- 2026-09
- Share in food crisis
- 10%
- 2026-09
- Undernourishment
- 12.9%
- 2024
- Refugees who fled
- 107,253
- 2025
- Refugees hosted
- 435,990
- 2025
- Internally displaced
- 459,585
- 2025
- Sanctions designations
- 5
- 2026-10-19
- GDP per person
- $775
- 2025
FEWS NET · World Bank / FAO · UNHCR · OpenSanctions
People in crisis-level food insecurity
IPC Phase 3 or worse, month by month (FEWS NET current-situation estimates, midpoint of the published range).
FEWS NET – IPC-compatible analysis
Latest incidents of organised violence25
| Date | Place | Sides | Deaths | Civilians | Reported by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Niamey | Unidentified armed group (Niger) – Unidentified armed group (Niger) | 6 | 0 | Agence France Presse, The Pioneer, @Wamaps_news |
| 2026-08-23 | Kabobi (Maradi region) --- Kabobi, in the Madarounfa department (Maradi Region) | Unidentified armed group (Niger) – Civilians | 6 | 6 | @Wamaps_news, @hamid_gade |
| 2026-08-23 | Boulakana (Diffa region) | IS – Civilians | 5 | 5 | @Wamaps_news, @hamid_gade |
| 2026-08-22 | N'Guel Kolo village | IS – Civilians | 4 | 4 | @Wamaps_news |
| 2026-08-21 | Tessa, a rural commune in Dosso Region, near the Niger-Nigeria border | Government of Niger – IS | 18 | 0 | Agence France Presse, @ZagazOlaMakama, @Wamaps_news |
| 2026-08-15 | town of Siguidim/Seguédine, Agadez region | Government of Niger – MPLJ | 3 | 0 | Crisis Watch, @Wamaps_news, BBC Monitoring News Alert |
| 2026-08-06 | Gaya-Malgorou axis and in the surrounding sectors | Unidentified armed group (Niger) – Unidentified armed group (Niger) | 0 | 0 | Aïr-Info Agadez Facbook |
| 2026-08-06 | Bazazaga | Unidentified armed group (Niger) – Unidentified armed group (Niger) | 0 | 0 | Aïr-Info Agadez Facbook |
| 2026-08-06 | Tamou-Say axis --- west of Mossipaga | Unidentified armed group (Niger) – Unidentified armed group (Niger) | 0 | 0 | Aïr-Info Agadez Facbook |
| 2026-08-05 | Gaigarou | Unidentified armed group (Niger) – Unidentified armed group (Niger) | 0 | 0 | Aïr-Info Agadez Facbook |
| 2026-08-04 | southeast of Garey Garey, near Samira | Unidentified armed group (Niger) – Unidentified armed group (Niger) | 0 | 0 | Aïr-Info Agadez Facbook |
| 2026-07-31 | Dankassari, Dosso region in southwestern Niger | Government of Niger – IS | 21 | 0 | Zagazola, @BrantPhilip_, @hamid_gade |
| 2026-07-31 | N’Guigmi, Diffa region | Government of Nigeria – JAS | 19 | 0 | Agence France Presse, @VincentFoucher, Zagazola |
| 2026-07-24 | Chinagodrar village, Tillaberi region | Government of Niger – IS | 7 | 7 | RFI.fr, BBC Monitoring News Alert, @hamid_gade |
| 2026-07-23 | Sakoira | Unidentified armed group (Niger) – Civilians | 3 | 3 | @hamid_gade |
| 2026-07-17 | between Tera and Bankilaré, Tillaberi region --- near Doungouro village | Government of Niger – IS | 31 | 0 | Agence France Presse, Crisis Watch, @Wamaps_news |
| 2026-07-17 | Dorodji Koira Béri, Dorodji Sékou Koira, and Dorodji Koira Zéno villages in Dorodji , in the Dosso region /// Dorosi Zeno, Dorosi Tégui and Kouro villages | IS – Civilians | 33 | 0 | @Wamaps_news, sahel-intelligence.com |
| 2026-07-11 – 2026-07-12 | Yassoukounga village in the rural commune of Tounouga, Gaya Department of Dosso Region in the Republic of Niger | JNIM – Civilians | 1 | 1 | @ZagazOlaMakama |
| 2026-07-09 | Tinfagatt area near Tabaraybarey in the Tillaberi Region | Government of Niger – JNIM | 0 | 0 | BBC Monitoring News Alert |
| 2026-06-30 | Diagourou, Tillaberi region | Government of Niger – JNIM | 46 | 0 | Zagazola, @Wamaps_news, @ighazer |
| 2026-06-30 | Torodi | Government of Niger – JNIM | 20 | 0 | Zagazola, Zagazola, @ighazer |
| 2026-06-21 | Tanda in the Gaya department, Dosso region | IS – Civilians | 6 | 6 | @Intelligency225 |
| 2026-06-19 | Madama, in northern Niger | Unidentified armed group (Niger) – Unidentified armed group (Niger) | 4 | 0 | @ZagazOlaMakama, @ighazer, @ighazer |
| 2026-06-18 | Diori Hamani International Airport complex in Niamey | Government of Niger – JNIM | 35 | 2 | Reuters News, Agence France Presse, @MimiMefoInfo |
| 2026-06-18 | in the area between the villages of Mehanna and Zané | Unidentified armed group (Niger) – Unidentified armed group (Niger) | 11 | 0 | @SimNasr, @Intelligency225, @ighazer |
Source: UCDP GED Candidate, Uppsala University (CC BY 4.0), data up to 2026-08-31
Conflicts, 90 days8
- Niger: Islamic State186
- Niger: Government104
- IS - Civilians57
- Unidentified armed groups (Niger)21
- Nigeria: Government19
- Unidentified armed group (Niger)10
- Unidentified armed group (Niger) - Civilians9
- JNIM - Civilians1
Source: UCDP GED Candidate (CC BY 4.0)
Natural hazards, 30 days7
- WildfireForest fires in Nigeria · Oct 16, 2026
- WildfireForest fires in Nigeria · Oct 13, 2026
- WildfireForest fires in Nigeria · Oct 7, 2026
- WildfireForest fires in Nigeria · Oct 7, 2026
- WildfireForest fires in Nigeria · Oct 7, 2026
- WildfireForest fires in Nigeria · Oct 4, 2026
- FloodFlood in Nigeria · Sep 21, 2026
GDACS · USGS · NASA EONET
Warnings and notices
UK FCDO · WMO · WHO · Copernicus EMS
Next 7 days in Niamey
| Day | °C | Rain | Gusts | Watch |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon, Oct 19 | 26…39 | 0.0 mm | 31 km/h | heat |
| Tue, Oct 20 | 26…39 | 0.0 mm | 39 km/h | heat |
| Wed, Oct 21 | 24…39 | 0.0 mm | 42 km/h | heat |
| Thu, Oct 22 | 24…39 | 0.0 mm | 41 km/h | heat |
| Fri, Oct 23 | 22…38 | 0.0 mm | 41 km/h | heat |
| Sat, Oct 24 | 23…39 | 0.0 mm | 32 km/h | heat |
| Sun, Oct 25 | 23…38 | 0.0 mm | 29 km/h | heat |
Forecast for the capital only; marks: heat ≥38 °C, frost ≤−20 °C, rain ≥50 mm, gusts ≥75 km/h, thunderstorms. Official warnings are above.
Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0)
Food prices in markets8
| Item | Price | USD | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Salt / KG | 260 XOF | 0.46 | -5% |
| Rice (imported) / KG | 500 XOF | 0.88 | -9% |
| Beans (niebe) / KG | 379.5 XOF | 0.67 | +19% |
| Maize / KG | 197 XOF | 0.34 | -14% |
| Sorghum / KG | 235 XOF | 0.41 | +0% |
| Oil (vegetable) / L | 1,188 XOF | 2.09 | -1% |
| Millet / KG | 257 XOF | 0.45 | +7% |
| Rice (local) / KG | 475 XOF | 0.84 | -6% |
Median retail price across markets in the latest month reported (2026-09); change against the same month a year before.
WFP · HDX (CC BY-IGO)
Disasters since 20001
Droughts
GDACS (orange and red alerts since 2000)