Violence in the news: 15 reports in the week to Oct 18, 2026 · ×0.5 · against the three weeks before; GDELT, not verified
Protests in the news: 3 reports in the week to Oct 18, 2026 · against the three weeks before; GDELT, not verified
Model estimate for September 2026: 43–280 deaths (UCDP, the month before: 122). An estimate from the news, not a count. How the model works →
Level, last 60 days
Deaths 30 d
121
UCDP up to 2026-08-31
Per million 90 d
5.8
last 90 days
Civilians
79%
last 90 days
Incidents 30 d
46
Population
54.9 M
World Bank
Plants near violence
0 / 0
near violence / total; 0 nuclear
Why this level3
- +3121 deaths in organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP dataUCDP GED Candidate
- +2UK FCDO advises against all travel to parts of the countryUK FCDO travel advice
- +11.6 million refugees and asylum-seekers have fled the countryUNHCR
Source: ARMSMA situation watch
Every monitored signal
The last 60 days, each on its own scale.
Violence deaths, 30 days
121
Violence incidents, 30 days
46
Travel advice level (FCDO)
3
Confirmed outages, places, 24 h
1
Refugees who fled
1 592 202
Natural hazards, 7 days
1
Source: ARMSMA situation watch
Deaths in organised violence, per week
Myanmar, UCDP best estimates. The red bar is the latest week.
The latest week may be incomplete.
Source: UCDP GED Candidate, Uppsala University (CC BY 4.0), data up to 2026-08-31
Who the violence is between
Deaths by kind of violence, last 90 days of data.
- State-based conflict · 85%
- Non-state conflict · 0%
- Against civilians · 15%
Source: UCDP GED Candidate (CC BY 4.0)
Food, displacement, sanctions
- People in food crisis (IPC 3+)
- –
- 2026-09
- Share in food crisis
- –
- 2026-09
- Undernourishment
- 4.6%
- 2024
- Refugees who fled
- 1,592,202
- 2025
- Refugees hosted
- –
- 2025
- Internally displaced
- 3,628,840
- 2025
- Sanctions designations
- 382
- 2026-10-19
- GDP per person
- $1,489
- 2025
FEWS NET · World Bank / FAO · UNHCR · OpenSanctions
People in crisis-level food insecurity
FEWS NET does not cover this country.
Latest incidents of organised violence25
| Date | Place | Sides | Deaths | Civilians | Reported by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Vumkhum village in Mindat Township | Government of Myanmar (Burma) – CPU | 0 | 0 | Khonumthung News |
| 2026-08-26 | Meezar Village, Paletwa Township | Government of Myanmar (Burma) – ULA | 2 | 2 | Development Media Group |
| 2026-08-25 | near Ekarat village in Waw Township | Government of Myanmar (Burma) – SCEF | 3 | 0 | Mizzima News |
| 2026-08-24 | Sein Nyin Wa Village, Paletwa Township | Government of Myanmar (Burma) – ULA | 5 | 5 | AAPP |
| 2026-08-23 | near Shwegu’s Palaungtaung Village | Government of Myanmar (Burma) – SCEF | 1 | 1 | Kachin News Group |
| 2026-08-23 – 2026-08-24 | Kyuntaw, a riverside village near Shwegu Town | Government of Myanmar (Burma) – SCEF | 4 | 4 | Network Media Group |
| 2026-08-22 | Kan Hpyu Village in Wetlet Township | Government of Myanmar (Burma) – SCEF | 1 | 1 | AAPP |
| 2026-08-21 | a monastery hall in Swea Lwe Oh Village, Myaung Township | Government of Myanmar (Burma) – SCEF | 15 | 15 | Associated Press Newswires, Mizzima News, Network Media Group |
| 2026-08-21 – 2026-08-27 | a monastery chapel in Shwegu’s Sithaw village | Government of Myanmar (Burma) – SCEF | 1 | 1 | Network Media Group |
| 2026-08-21 | across Thandwe Township | Government of Myanmar (Burma) – ULA | 0 | 0 | Development Media Group |
| 2026-08-20 | Tha Pyay Thar Village, Kanbalu Township | Government of Myanmar (Burma) – SCEF | 2 | 1 | AAPP |
| 2026-08-19 | Hlaytinu village | Government of Myanmar (Burma) – SCEF | 2 | 2 | Network Media Group, AAPP |
| 2026-08-19 | Zee Pyaung Village in Kyaikto Township | Government of Myanmar (Burma) – SCEF | 1 | 1 | AAPP |
| 2026-08-19 – 2026-08-20 | near Gok Gyi village, along the Ann–Padan highway | Government of Myanmar (Burma) – ULA | 1 | 0 | Narinjara |
| 2026-08-18 | a gold mining site near Maing Tone Tar Gyi Village, Pinlebu Township | Government of Myanmar (Burma) – SCEF | 6 | 6 | AAPP |
| 2026-08-18 | near Segyi Monastery in Ku Kaung Village in Wetlet Township | Government of Myanmar (Burma) – SCEF | 1 | 1 | AAPP |
| 2026-08-17 | Thaung Pu Village, Kyaukkyi Township | Government of Myanmar (Burma) – SCEF | 1 | 0 | AAPP |
| 2026-08-16 | Kinpan Village in the Pinlebu Township | Government of Myanmar (Burma) – SCEF | 2 | 0 | Kachin News Group |
| 2026-08-16 | Shwe Ba Yet Village in Singu Township | Government of Myanmar (Burma) – SCEF | 1 | 0 | AAPP |
| 2026-08-16 | near the coastal city of Thandwe | Government of Myanmar (Burma) – ULA | 2 | 2 | Network Media Group, AAPP |
| 2026-08-16 – 2026-08-18 | Pan Kone Pin Village in Nyaung-U Township | Government of Myanmar (Burma) – Civilians | 3 | 3 | AAPP |
| 2026-08-15 | Saw Township | Government of Myanmar (Burma) – SCEF | 3 | 3 | AAPP |
| 2026-08-15 | near Gotegyi Village, along Ann-Padan Road | Government of Myanmar (Burma) – ULA | 0 | 0 | Development Media Group, Narinjara |
| 2026-08-14 | Sin Thay Village in Singu Township | Government of Myanmar (Burma) – SCEF | 1 | 1 | AAPP |
| 2026-08-14 | Ngape Township | Unidentified armed group (Myanmar (Burma)) – Unidentified armed group (Myanmar (Burma)) | 3 | 0 | Mizzima News |
Source: UCDP GED Candidate, Uppsala University (CC BY 4.0), data up to 2026-08-31
Conflicts, 90 days5
- Myanmar (Burma): Government183
- Myanmar (Burma): Arakan80
- Government of Myanmar (Burma) - Civilians43
- SCEF - Civilians5
- Unidentified armed group (Myanmar (Burma))5
Source: UCDP GED Candidate (CC BY 4.0)
Natural hazards, 30 days1
- EarthquakeEarthquake in Myanmar · Oct 2, 2026
GDACS · USGS · NASA EONET
Warnings and notices
UK FCDO · WMO · WHO · Copernicus EMS
Next 7 days in Naypyidaw
| Day | °C | Rain | Gusts | Watch |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, Oct 20 | 24…33 | 7.0 mm | 25 km/h | thunderstorm |
| Wed, Oct 21 | 24…33 | 0.2 mm | 17 km/h | |
| Thu, Oct 22 | 24…32 | 3.6 mm | 23 km/h | thunderstorm |
| Fri, Oct 23 | 24…32 | 2.4 mm | 18 km/h | |
| Sat, Oct 24 | 24…32 | 5.7 mm | 20 km/h | |
| Sun, Oct 25 | 24…32 | 1.5 mm | 20 km/h | |
| Mon, Oct 26 | 24…32 | 16.8 mm | 25 km/h | thunderstorm |
Forecast for the capital only; marks: heat ≥38 °C, frost ≤−20 °C, rain ≥50 mm, gusts ≥75 km/h, thunderstorms. Official warnings are above.
Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0)
Food prices in markets6
| Item | Price | USD | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pulses / KG | 5,712 MMK | 2.73 | +22% |
| Rice (low quality) / KG | 2,682.5 MMK | 1.28 | +15% |
| Salt / KG | 1,916.5 MMK | 0.92 | +57% |
| Oil (palm) / L | 11,016 MMK | 5.26 | +38% |
| Onions (local) / KG | 4,896 MMK | 2.34 | +210% |
| Tomatoes (local) / KG | 3,060 MMK | 1.46 | +25% |
Median retail price across markets in the latest month reported (2026-09); change against the same month a year before.
WFP · HDX (CC BY-IGO)
Disasters since 200015
EarthquakesTropical cyclonesFloods
- Earthquake in Myanmar · Jul 18, 2025 · Magnitude 5.4M, Depth:10km
- Earthquake in Myanmar · Apr 13, 2025 · Magnitude 5.5M, Depth:7.673km
- Earthquake in Myanmar · Mar 28, 2025 · Magnitude 6.7M, Depth:10km
- Earthquake in Myanmar · Nov 17, 2023 · Magnitude 5.7M, Depth:10.398km
- Tropical Cyclone HAMOON-23 · Oct 23, 2023 · Hurricane/Typhoon > 74 mph (maximum wind speed of 148 km/h)
- Tropical Cyclone FOUR-23 · Jul 31, 2023 · Tropical Storm (maximum wind speed of 74 km/h)
- Flood in Bangladesh, India, Myanmar · May 13, 2023 · Magnitude 0
- Tropical Cyclone MOCHA-23 · May 11, 2023 · Hurricane/Typhoon > 74 mph (maximum wind speed of 259 km/h)
- Tropical Cyclone SITRANG-22 · Oct 23, 2022 · Tropical Storm (maximum wind speed of 83 km/h)
- Earthquake in Myanmar · Jul 29, 2021 · Magnitude 5.5M, Depth:10km
- Flood in Myanmar · Jul 2, 2020 · Magnitude 0
- Earthquake in Myanmar · Apr 16, 2020 · Magnitude 5.9M, Depth:10km
- Tropical Cyclone MATMO-19/BULBUL-19 · Oct 29, 2019 · Tropical Storm (maximum wind speed of 157 km/h)
- Tropical Cyclone PODUL-19 · Aug 26, 2019 · Tropical Depression (maximum wind speed of 65 km/h)
- Flood in Myanmar · Jul 14, 2019 · Magnitude 0
GDACS (orange and red alerts since 2000)