Violence in the news: 130 reports in the week to Oct 18, 2026 · ×1 · against the three weeks before; GDELT, not verified
Protests in the news: 10 reports in the week to Oct 18, 2026 · ×3 · against the three weeks before; GDELT, not verified
Model estimate for September 2026: 68–435 deaths (UCDP, the month before: 214). An estimate from the news, not a count. How the model works →
Level, last 60 days
Deaths 30 d
207
UCDP up to 2026-08-31
Per million 90 d
4.0
last 90 days
Civilians
8%
last 90 days
Incidents 30 d
173
Population
131.9 M
World Bank
Plants near violence
2 / 13
near violence / total; 1 nuclear
Why this level2
- +3207 deaths in organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP dataUCDP GED Candidate
- +1173 incidents of organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP dataUCDP GED Candidate
Source: ARMSMA situation watch
Every monitored signal
The last 60 days, each on its own scale.
Violence deaths, 30 days
207
Natural hazards, 7 days
1
Violence incidents, 30 days
173
Travel advice level (FCDO)
1
Power plants near violence
2
Refugees who fled
278 117
Severe weather warnings in force
1
Extreme weather warnings in force
0
Confirmed outages, places, 24 h
16
Source: ARMSMA situation watch
Deaths in organised violence, per week
Mexico, UCDP best estimates. The red bar is the latest week.
The latest week may be incomplete.
Source: UCDP GED Candidate, Uppsala University (CC BY 4.0), data up to 2026-08-31
Who the violence is between
Deaths by kind of violence, last 90 days of data.
- State-based conflict · 3%
- Non-state conflict · 90%
- Against civilians · 6%
Source: UCDP GED Candidate (CC BY 4.0)
Food, displacement, sanctions
- People in food crisis (IPC 3+)
- –
- 2026-09
- Share in food crisis
- –
- 2026-09
- Undernourishment
- 3.1%
- 2024
- Refugees who fled
- 278,117
- 2025
- Refugees hosted
- 325,534
- 2025
- Internally displaced
- 262,411
- 2025
- Sanctions designations
- 1,307
- 2026-10-19
- GDP per person
- $13,889
- 2025
FEWS NET · World Bank / FAO · UNHCR · OpenSanctions
People in crisis-level food insecurity
FEWS NET does not cover this country.
Latest incidents of organised violence25
| Date | Place | Sides | Deaths | Civilians | Reported by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Celaya, in the community of El Sauz de Villaseñor | Jalisco Cartel New Generation – Santa Rosa de Lima Cartel | 0 | 0 | El Sol del Bajío |
| 2026-08-31 | at an intersection on Mariano J. García Avenue in the southern part of Irapuato. | Jalisco Cartel New Generation – Santa Rosa de Lima Cartel | 0 | 0 | El Sol de Irapuato |
| 2026-08-31 | Kitty establishment | Sinaloa Cartel – Civilians | 1 | 1 | El Sol de Sinaloa |
| 2026-08-31 | Emiliano Zapata neighborhood | Unidentified armed group (Mexico) – Unidentified armed group (Mexico) | 1 | 0 | El Sol de Acapulco |
| 2026-08-31 | Minatitlán Avenue | Unidentified armed group (Mexico) – Unidentified armed group (Mexico) | 1 | 0 | El Heraldo de Juarez |
| 2026-08-30 – 2026-09-01 | Villa Unión | Jalisco Cartel New Generation, Sinaloa Cartel - Los Chapitos – Sinaloa Cartel - Los Mayos | 1 | 0 | Vivo En Marte on X |
| 2026-08-30 | Los Alamitos neighborhood | Jalisco Cartel New Generation, Sinaloa Cartel - Los Chapitos – Sinaloa Cartel - Los Mayos | 1 | 0 | El Sol de Sinaloa |
| 2026-08-30 | in the Las Heras neighborhood | Jalisco Cartel New Generation – Santa Rosa de Lima Cartel | 0 | 0 | El Sol de Irapuato |
| 2026-08-30 | on Jalisco Street in the Infonavit neighborhood | Jalisco Cartel New Generation – Santa Rosa de Lima Cartel | 0 | 0 | El Sol de Irapuato |
| 2026-08-30 | community of Tlalayo, Axochiapan | Unidentified armed group (Mexico) – Unidentified armed group (Mexico) | 1 | 0 | El Universal |
| 2026-08-30 | Tres de Mayo neighborhood in Emiliano Zapata | Unidentified armed group (Mexico) – Unidentified armed group (Mexico) | 1 | 0 | El Universal |
| 2026-08-30 | Antonio Barona neighborhood of Cuernavaca | Unidentified armed group (Mexico) – Unidentified armed group (Mexico) | 1 | 0 | El Universal |
| 2026-08-29 – 2026-08-31 | – | Jalisco Cartel New Generation, Sinaloa Cartel - Los Chapitos – Sinaloa Cartel - Los Mayos | 1 | 0 | Cartel Insider |
| 2026-08-29 | División del Norte neighborhood | Unidentified armed group (Mexico) – Unidentified armed group (Mexico) | 1 | 0 | El Heraldo de Juarez |
| 2026-08-29 | Pavo Real and Faisán streets | Unidentified armed group (Mexico) – Unidentified armed group (Mexico) | 1 | 0 | El Heraldo de Juarez |
| 2026-08-29 | intersection of Xochimilcas and Cholultecas streets | Unidentified armed group (Mexico) – Unidentified armed group (Mexico) | 2 | 0 | El Heraldo de Juarez |
| 2026-08-29 | Rene Gonzalez Justo Boulevard in the municipality of Marquelia | Unidentified armed group (Mexico) – Unidentified armed group (Mexico) | 1 | 0 | El Sol de Acapulco |
| 2026-08-29 | Axochiapan | Unidentified armed group (Mexico) – Unidentified armed group (Mexico) | 1 | 0 | El Universal |
| 2026-08-29 | Jiutepec | Unidentified armed group (Mexico) – Unidentified armed group (Mexico) | 2 | 0 | El Universal |
| 2026-08-28 | Proyecto Alfa neighborhood of Culiacán. | Jalisco Cartel New Generation, Sinaloa Cartel - Los Chapitos – Sinaloa Cartel - Los Mayos | 1 | 0 | El Sol de Sinaloa |
| 2026-08-28 | Acámbaro, on Melchor Ocampo Street | Jalisco Cartel New Generation – Santa Rosa de Lima Cartel | 0 | 0 | El Sol del Bajío |
| 2026-08-28 | Tetillas neighborhood, in the municipality of Yautepec | Unidentified armed group (Mexico) – Unidentified armed group (Mexico) | 2 | 0 | El Universal |
| 2026-08-27 | Lázaro Cárdenas neighborhood , south of Culiacán. | Jalisco Cartel New Generation, Sinaloa Cartel - Los Chapitos – Sinaloa Cartel - Los Mayos | 1 | 0 | El Sol de Sinaloa |
| 2026-08-27 | López Mateos neighborhood | Jalisco Cartel New Generation, Sinaloa Cartel - Los Chapitos – Sinaloa Cartel - Los Mayos | 2 | 1 | El Sol de Sinaloa |
| 2026-08-27 | Tacámbaro, Michoacán | Jalisco Cartel New Generation – Los Caballeros Templarios | 1 | 0 | Milenio |
Source: UCDP GED Candidate, Uppsala University (CC BY 4.0), data up to 2026-08-31
Conflicts, 90 days8
- Unidentified armed groups (Mexico)294
- Jalisco Cartel New Generation, Sinaloa Cartel - Los Chapitos - Sinaloa Cartel - Los Mayos133
- Jalisco Cartel New Generation - Santa Rosa de Lima Cartel34
- Unidentified armed group (Mexico) - Civilians25
- Unidentified armed group (Mexico)17
- Jalisco Cartel New Generation - Sinaloa Cartel10
- Sinaloa Cartel - Civilians9
- Jalisco Cartel New Generation - Los Caballeros Templarios4
Source: UCDP GED Candidate (CC BY 4.0)
Natural hazards, 30 days5
- Tropical cycloneTWENTY-ONE-E-26 · Oct 13, 2026
- Tropical cycloneTWENTY-E-26 · Oct 7, 2026
- FloodFlood in Mexico · Oct 5, 2026
- Tropical cycloneEIGHTEEN-E-26 · Sep 27, 2026
- Tropical cyclonePOLO-26 · Sep 21, 2026
GDACS · USGS · NASA EONET
Warnings and notices
UK FCDO · WMO · WHO · Copernicus EMS
Power plants near danger2
Francisco Pérez Ríos (Tula) · Oil · 1,606 MW
1 incidents within 50 km in 90 days, nearest 47 km
Manuel Álvarez Moreno (Manzanillo) · Oil · 1,300 MW
5 incidents within 50 km in 90 days, nearest 10 km
Distance only: this does not mean a plant was affected.
WRI Global Power Plant Database; UCDP; GDACS · USGS
Next 7 days in Mexico City
| Day | °C | Rain | Gusts | Watch |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon, Oct 19 | 13…22 | 5.3 mm | 26 km/h | thunderstorm |
| Tue, Oct 20 | 10…23 | 15.4 mm | 34 km/h | thunderstorm |
| Wed, Oct 21 | 14…22 | 6.7 mm | 40 km/h | |
| Thu, Oct 22 | 14…22 | 3.0 mm | 26 km/h | |
| Fri, Oct 23 | 14…22 | 10.8 mm | 26 km/h | |
| Sat, Oct 24 | 14…23 | 0.9 mm | 29 km/h | |
| Sun, Oct 25 | 13…19 | 1.8 mm | 24 km/h |
Forecast for the capital only; marks: heat ≥38 °C, frost ≤−20 °C, rain ≥50 mm, gusts ≥75 km/h, thunderstorms. Official warnings are above.
Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0)
Food prices in markets1
| Item | Price | USD | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tortilla / KG | 20 MXN | 0.99 | +25% |
Median retail price across markets in the latest month reported (2022-06); change against the same month a year before.
WFP · HDX (CC BY-IGO)
Disasters since 200032
Tropical cyclonesDroughtsEarthquakesFloods
- Tropical Cyclone SIMON-26 · Oct 7, 2026 · Tropical Depression (maximum wind speed of 250 km/h)
- Tropical Cyclone POLO-26 · Sep 21, 2026 · Tropical Depression (maximum wind speed of 287 km/h)
- Drought in The Bahamas, Belize, Costa Rica, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Guatemala, Honduras, Haiti, Mexico, Nicaragua, El Salvador · Apr 21, 2026 · Medium impact for agricultural drought in 884209 km2
- Tropical Cyclone ERICK-25 · Jun 16, 2025 · Tropical Depression (maximum wind speed of 231 km/h)
- Tropical Cyclone NADINE-24 · Oct 18, 2024 · Tropical Depression (maximum wind speed of 83 km/h)
- Tropical Cyclone MILTON-24 · Oct 5, 2024 · Tropical Storm (maximum wind speed of 287 km/h)
- Tropical Cyclone HELENE-24 · Sep 23, 2024 · Tropical Depression (maximum wind speed of 222 km/h)
- Tropical Cyclone JOHN-24 · Sep 22, 2024 · Tropical Depression (maximum wind speed of 194 km/h)
- Tropical Cyclone BERYL-24 · Jun 28, 2024 · Tropical Depression (maximum wind speed of 269 km/h)
- Tropical Cyclone ALBERTO-24 · Jun 17, 2024 · Tropical Depression (maximum wind speed of 83 km/h)
- Tropical Cyclone OTIS-23 · Oct 22, 2023 · Tropical Depression (maximum wind speed of 259 km/h)
- Tropical Cyclone NORMA-23 · Oct 17, 2023 · Tropical Depression (maximum wind speed of 213 km/h)
- Tropical Cyclone LIDIA-23 · Oct 3, 2023 · Tropical Depression (maximum wind speed of 204 km/h)
- Tropical Cyclone HILARY-23 · Aug 16, 2023 · Tropical Depression (maximum wind speed of 231 km/h)
- Tropical Cyclone ROSLYN-22 · Oct 20, 2022 · Tropical Depression (maximum wind speed of 213 km/h)
- Tropical Cyclone ORLENE-22 · Sep 29, 2022 · Tropical Depression (maximum wind speed of 213 km/h)
GDACS (orange and red alerts since 2000)
Next elections1
- June 6, 2027 – Chamber of Deputies
Wikipedia – national electoral calendar (CC BY-SA)