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Madagascar

Nothing unusualScore 1Open the map

Protests in the news: 1 reports in the week to Oct 19, 2026 · against the three weeks before; GDELT, not verified

Level, last 60 days

  • Deaths 30 d

    0

    UCDP up to 2026-08-31

  • Per million 90 d

    –

    last 90 days

  • Civilians

    –

    last 90 days

  • Incidents 30 d

    0

  • Population

    32.7 M

    World Bank

  • Plants near violence

    0 / 0

    near violence / total; 0 nuclear

Why this level1

  • +11.3 million people in crisis-level food insecurity or worse (IPC 3+)FEWS NET

Source: ARMSMA situation watch

Every monitored signal

The last 60 days, each on its own scale.

  • People in food crisis (IPC 3+)

    1 250 000

  • Refugees who fled

    999

  • Extreme weather warnings in force

    0

  • Severe weather warnings in force

    1

  • Natural hazards, 7 days

    1

  • Confirmed outages, places, 24 h

    1

    –

Source: ARMSMA situation watch

Deaths in organised violence, per week

Madagascar, UCDP best estimates. The red bar is the latest week.

The latest week may be incomplete.

Source: UCDP GED Candidate, Uppsala University (CC BY 4.0), data up to 2026-08-31

Who the violence is between

Deaths by kind of violence, last 90 days of data.

  • State-based conflict · 0%
  • Non-state conflict · 0%
  • Against civilians · 0%

Source: UCDP GED Candidate (CC BY 4.0)

Food, displacement, sanctions

People in food crisis (IPC 3+)
1.3 M
2026-09
Share in food crisis
4%
2026-09
Undernourishment
41.8%
2024
Refugees who fled
999
2025
Refugees hosted
1,366
2025
Internally displaced
–
2025
Sanctions designations
1
2026-10-20
GDP per person
$599
2025

FEWS NET · World Bank / FAO · UNHCR · OpenSanctions

People in crisis-level food insecurity

IPC Phase 3 or worse, month by month (FEWS NET current-situation estimates, midpoint of the published range).

FEWS NET – IPC-compatible analysis

Latest incidents of organised violence0

No organised violence recorded in the current data.

Source: UCDP GED Candidate, Uppsala University (CC BY 4.0), data up to 2026-08-31

Conflicts, 90 days0

No organised violence recorded in the current data.

Source: UCDP GED Candidate (CC BY 4.0)

Natural hazards, 30 days2

  • WildfireForest fires in Madagascar · Oct 12, 2026
  • WildfireForest fires in Madagascar · Oct 7, 2026

GDACS · USGS · NASA EONET

Warnings and notices

UK FCDO: Madagascar: No specific restriction

No severe weather warning in force.

UK FCDO · WMO · WHO · Copernicus EMS

Next 7 days in Antananarivo

Day°CRainGustsWatch
Tue, Oct 2012…300.9 mm44 km/h
Wed, Oct 2116…311.1 mm45 km/h
Thu, Oct 2217…310.4 mm40 km/h
Fri, Oct 2318…315.7 mm34 km/h
Sat, Oct 2417…311.5 mm46 km/h
Sun, Oct 2515…240.0 mm46 km/h
Mon, Oct 2614…250.0 mm38 km/h

Forecast for the capital only; marks: heat ≥38 °C, frost ≤−20 °C, rain ≥50 mm, gusts ≥75 km/h, thunderstorms. Official warnings are above.

Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0)

Food prices in markets7

ItemPriceUSDYear
Rice (local) / KG2,800 MGA0.65-4%
Rice (imported) / KG2,642.5 MGA0.61-9%
Beans (pois de cap) / KG4,266.67 MGA0.99-24%
Groundnuts (Bambara) / KG4,333.34 MGA1.00+3%
Cassava (dry) / KG2,000 MGA0.46+31%
Cassava (fresh) / KG1,625 MGA0.38+4%
Maize (crushed) / KG2,450 MGA0.57-19%

Median retail price across markets in the latest month reported (2026-08); change against the same month a year before.

WFP · HDX (CC BY-IGO)

Disasters since 200017

052000: 020002001: 02002: 02003: 02004: 02005: 020052006: 02007: 02008: 02009: 02010: 020102011: 02012: 02013: 02014: 02015: 020152016: 02017: 02018: 02019: 02020: Droughts 120202021: Floods 1, Tropical cyclones 12022: Tropical cyclones 4, Floods 12023: Tropical cyclones 12024: Tropical cyclones 32025: Tropical cyclones 320252026: Tropical cyclones 22026

Tropical cyclonesFloodsDroughts

  • Tropical Cyclone GEZANI-26 · Feb 6, 2026 · Post-tropical Depression (maximum wind speed of 211 km/h)
  • Tropical Cyclone FYTIA-26 · Jan 29, 2026 · Remnant Low (maximum wind speed of 179 km/h)
  • Tropical Cyclone JUDE-25 · Mar 8, 2025 · Post-tropical Depression (maximum wind speed of 148 km/h)
  • Tropical Cyclone HONDE-25 · Feb 25, 2025 · Post-tropical Depression (maximum wind speed of 137 km/h)
  • Tropical Cyclone DIKELEDI-25 · Jan 8, 2025 · Post-tropical Depression (maximum wind speed of 201 km/h)
  • Tropical Cyclone CHIDO-25 · Dec 9, 2024 · Inland (maximum wind speed of 243 km/h)
  • Tropical Cyclone GAMANE-24 · Mar 25, 2024 · Inland (maximum wind speed of 169 km/h)
  • Tropical Cyclone BELAL-24 · Jan 12, 2024 · Remnant Low (maximum wind speed of 158 km/h)
  • Tropical Cyclone FREDDY-23 · Feb 6, 2023 · Hurricane/Typhoon > 74 mph (maximum wind speed of 250 km/h)
  • Tropical Cyclone GOMBE-22 · Mar 7, 2022 · Tropical Depression (maximum wind speed of 185 km/h)
  • Tropical Cyclone EMNATI-22 · Feb 16, 2022 · Tropical Storm (maximum wind speed of 204 km/h)
  • Flood in France, Madagascar, Mauritius · Feb 1, 2022 · Magnitude 0
  • Tropical Cyclone BATSIRAI-22 · Jan 27, 2022 · Tropical Storm (maximum wind speed of 231 km/h)
  • Tropical Cyclone ANA-22 · Jan 23, 2022 · Tropical Storm (maximum wind speed of 83 km/h)
  • Flood in Eswatini, Madagascar, Mozambique, South Africa, Zimbabwe · Jan 19, 2021 · Magnitude 0
  • Tropical Cyclone ELOISE-21 · Jan 17, 2021 · Hurricane/Typhoon > 74 mph (maximum wind speed of 139 km/h)

GDACS (orange and red alerts since 2000)