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Back to ARMSMACountry levels of Oct 20 · source times vary

Lebanon

ElevatedScore 4Open the map

Violence in the news: 57 reports in the week to Oct 19, 2026 · ×0.9 · against the three weeks before; GDELT, not verified

Protests in the news: 4 reports in the week to Oct 19, 2026 · ×1.3 · against the three weeks before; GDELT, not verified

Model estimate for October 2026: 14–96 deaths (UCDP, the month before: 41). An estimate from the news, not a count. How the model works →

Level, last 60 days

  • Deaths 30 d

    41

    UCDP up to 2026-09-30

  • Per million 90 d

    91

    last 90 days

  • Civilians

    4%

    last 90 days

  • Incidents 30 d

    17

  • Population

    5.8 M

    World Bank

  • Plants near violence

    0 / 0

    near violence / total; 0 nuclear

Why this level3

  • +2UK FCDO advises against all travel to parts of the countryUK FCDO travel advice
  • +122 deaths in organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP dataUCDP GED Candidate
  • +11.3 million people in crisis-level food insecurity or worse (IPC 3+)FEWS NET

Source: ARMSMA situation watch

Every monitored signal

The last 60 days, each on its own scale.

  • Violence deaths, 30 days

    22

  • Violence incidents, 30 days

    9

  • Travel advice level (FCDO)

    3

  • Refugees who fled

    18 366

  • People in food crisis (IPC 3+)

    1 250 000

  • Confirmed outages, places, 24 h

    2

Source: ARMSMA situation watch

Deaths in organised violence, per week

Lebanon, UCDP best estimates. The red bar is the latest week.

The latest week may be incomplete.

Source: UCDP GED Candidate, Uppsala University (CC BY 4.0), data up to 2026-09-30

Who the violence is between

Deaths by kind of violence, last 90 days of data.

  • State-based conflict · 100%
  • Non-state conflict · 0%
  • Against civilians · 0%

Source: UCDP GED Candidate (CC BY 4.0)

Food, displacement, sanctions

People in food crisis (IPC 3+)
1.3 M
2026-09
Share in food crisis
21%
2026-09
Undernourishment
11.1%
2024
Refugees who fled
18,366
2025
Refugees hosted
542,785
2025
Internally displaced
64,417
2025
Sanctions designations
500
2026-10-20
GDP per person
$4,473
2025

FEWS NET · World Bank / FAO · UNHCR · OpenSanctions

People in crisis-level food insecurity

IPC Phase 3 or worse, month by month (FEWS NET current-situation estimates, midpoint of the published range).

FEWS NET – IPC-compatible analysis

Latest incidents of organised violence25

DatePlaceSidesDeathsCiviliansReported by
2026-09-15Ain al-Samahiyeh area between Nabatieh al-Fawqa and Zawtar al-SharqiyahGovernment of Israel – Hezbollah20elnashra
2026-09-14BarashitGovernment of Israel – Hezbollah10elnashra
2026-09-12Burj Abi Haidar- BeirutUnidentified armed group (Lebanon) – Unidentified armed group (Lebanon)10elnashra
2026-09-09area between Al- Mansouri and Al-Haniyah, south of TyreGovernment of Israel – Hezbollah10elnashra
2026-09-09Marj Harouf- Zebdine public roadGovernment of Israel – Hezbollah10elnashra
2026-09-07Kfar Rumman, Nabatieh districtGovernment of Israel – Hezbollah127elnashra, elnashra
2026-09-07Shaqif Heights area of ​​southern LebanonGovernment of Israel – Hezbollah10elnashra
2026-09-07Al-Rayhan, Jezzine DistrictGovernment of Israel – Hezbollah10elnashra
2026-09-06Arab SalimGovernment of Israel – Hezbollah22Agence France Presse, elnashra
2026-09-06Nabatieh al-FouqaGovernment of Israel – Hezbollah92elnashra
2026-09-05Mefdoun,Nabatieh DistrictGovernment of Israel – Hezbollah10Xinhua News Agency, elnashra
2026-09-05Kfar Rumman, Nabatieh DistrictGovernment of Israel – Hezbollah20elnashra
2026-09-05NabatiehGovernment of Israel – Hezbollah10elnashra
2026-09-04Al- Ruwaiss neighborhood of NabatiehGovernment of Israel – Hezbollah20elnashra
2026-09-04Kfar Rumman, Nabatieh districtGovernment of Israel – Hezbollah20elnashra
2026-09-04Ramadiyah, Tyre districtGovernment of Israel – Hezbollah10elnashra
2026-09-02NabatiehGovernment of Israel – Hezbollah10Agence France Presse
2026-08-27Arab SalimGovernment of Israel – Hezbollah11elnashra
2026-08-23Doha Kafr RummanGovernment of Israel – Hezbollah20elnashra
2026-08-19between the towns of Mayfadoun and Zawtar Al-SharqiyahGovernment of Israel – Hezbollah30elnashra
2026-08-15Ansar in the Nabatieh districtGovernment of Israel – Hezbollah76Agence France Presse, elnashra, elnashra
2026-08-15Deir ZahraniGovernment of Israel – Hezbollah40elnashra, elnashra
2026-08-13NabatiehGovernment of Israel – Hezbollah10elnashra
2026-08-11Doha Kafr RummanGovernment of Israel – Hezbollah10elnashra
2026-08-05Majdal Zoun area of ​​southern LebanonGovernment of Israel – Hezbollah20elnashra

Source: UCDP GED Candidate, Uppsala University (CC BY 4.0), data up to 2026-09-30

Conflicts, 90 days2

  • Israel: Southern Lebanon534
  • Unidentified armed groups (Lebanon)1

Source: UCDP GED Candidate (CC BY 4.0)

Natural hazards, 30 days0

None in the last 30 days.

GDACS · USGS · NASA EONET

Warnings and notices

UK FCDO: Lebanon: Avoid all travel to parts

No severe weather warning in force.

UK FCDO · WMO · WHO · Copernicus EMS

Next 7 days in Beirut

Day°CRainGustsWatch
Wed, Oct 2122…260.0 mm17 km/h
Thu, Oct 2221…270.0 mm20 km/h
Fri, Oct 2323…290.0 mm24 km/h
Sat, Oct 2423…280.0 mm23 km/h
Sun, Oct 2522…260.0 mm20 km/h
Mon, Oct 2622…250.3 mm16 km/h
Tue, Oct 2722…260.0 mm16 km/h

Forecast for the capital only; marks: heat ≥38 °C, frost ≤−20 °C, rain ≥50 mm, gusts ≥75 km/h, thunderstorms. Official warnings are above.

Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0)

Food prices in markets20

ItemPriceUSDYear
Oil (sunflower) / 5 L1,012,333.26 LBP11.31+21%
Eggs / 30 pcs348,070.59 LBP3.89+1%
Fish (sardine, canned) / 125 G84,491.2 LBP0.94+17%
Cabbage / KG37,074.35 LBP0.41-38%
Bread (pita) / 800 G86,031.06 LBP0.96+21%
Bulgur (brown) / 900 G96,510.75 LBP1.08+6%
Pasta (spaghetti) / 500 G99,497.17 LBP1.12+9%
Rice (imported, Egyptian) / 900 G94,627.32 LBP1.06+4%
Milk (powder) / 750 G558,601.43 LBP6.25+5%
Salt / 700 G26,422.31 LBP0.30+6%
Sugar (white) / 5 KG420,563.59 LBP4.700%
Tomatoes (paste) / 660 G167,208.04 LBP1.87+5%
Beans (white) / 900 G185,091.34 LBP2.060%
Chickpeas / 900 G196,155.1 LBP2.20+6%
Tea / 160 G190,822.29 LBP2.13+4%
Lentils / 900 G161,433.62 LBP1.81+2%
Potatoes / KG59,721.25 LBP0.67+22%
Apples / KG202,941.43 LBP2.27+38%
Carrots / KG81,633.13 LBP0.92+7%
Exchange rate (unofficial) / USD/LCU89,700 LBP1.000%

Median retail price across markets in the latest month reported (2026-08); change against the same month a year before.

WFP · HDX (CC BY-IGO)