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Iraq

WatchScore 3Open the map

Violence in the news: 57 reports in the week to Oct 20, 2026 · ×1.1 · against the three weeks before; GDELT, not verified

Protests in the news: 1 reports in the week to Oct 20, 2026 · ×0.3 · against the three weeks before; GDELT, not verified

Model estimate for October 2026: 1–32 deaths (UCDP, the month before: 6). An estimate from the news, not a count. How the model works →

Level, last 60 days

  • Deaths 30 d

    6

    UCDP up to 2026-09-30

  • Per million 90 d

    1.1

    last 90 days

  • Civilians

    2%

    last 90 days

  • Incidents 30 d

    4

  • Population

    47.0 M

    World Bank

  • Plants near violence

    4 / 7

    near violence / total; 0 nuclear

Why this level2

  • +2UK FCDO advises against all travel to parts of the countryUK FCDO travel advice
  • +12 deaths in organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP dataUCDP GED Candidate

Source: ARMSMA situation watch

Every monitored signal

The last 60 days, each on its own scale.

  • Violence deaths, 30 days

    2

  • Violence incidents, 30 days

    1

  • Confirmed outages, places, 24 h

    1

  • Travel advice level (FCDO)

    3

  • Refugees who fled

    367 558

  • Power plants near violence

    3

Source: ARMSMA situation watch

Deaths in organised violence, per week

Iraq, UCDP best estimates. The red bar is the latest week.

The latest week may be incomplete.

Source: UCDP GED Candidate, Uppsala University (CC BY 4.0), data up to 2026-09-30

Who the violence is between

Deaths by kind of violence, last 90 days of data.

  • State-based conflict · 98%
  • Non-state conflict · 0%
  • Against civilians · 2%

Source: UCDP GED Candidate (CC BY 4.0)

Food, displacement, sanctions

People in food crisis (IPC 3+)
–
2026-09
Share in food crisis
–
2026-09
Undernourishment
13.4%
2024
Refugees who fled
367,558
2025
Refugees hosted
345,711
2025
Internally displaced
997,334
2025
Sanctions designations
549
2026-10-20
GDP per person
$5,410
2025

FEWS NET · World Bank / FAO · UNHCR · OpenSanctions

People in crisis-level food insecurity

FEWS NET does not cover this country.

Latest incidents of organised violence25

DatePlaceSidesDeathsCiviliansReported by
2026-09-27KirkukGovernment of Iraq – IS20Xinhua News Agency
2026-09-26KirkukGovernment of Iraq – IS11Xinhua News Agency
2026-09-11Wadi al-Shai in the southern part of Kirkuk provinceGovernment of Iraq – IS20BBC Monitoring News Alert
2026-09-03northern Kirkuk provinceUnidentified armed group (Iraq) – Unidentified armed group (Iraq)10Xinhua News Agency
2026-08-27Baghdad’s southern district of DoraUnidentified armed group (Iraq) – Unidentified armed group (Iraq)20Associated Press Newswires, Xinhua News Agency
2026-07-29Iraqi provinces of Basra, Diyala (6-7+ killed), Salahuddin, Nineveh (8+ killed), and KarbalaGovernment of Yemen (North Yemen) – Forces of the Presidential Leadership Council120Reuters News, Reuters News, Agence France Presse
2026-07-29Iraqi provinces of Basra, Diyala (6-7+ killed), Salahuddin, Nineveh (8+ killed), and Karbala /4th Battalion of the 30th Brigade and the Anti-Armor Directorate in the Nineveh Plain area, near northern Government of Yemen (North Yemen) – Forces of the Presidential Leadership Council80Reuters News, Reuters News, Agence France Presse
2026-07-29Iraqi provinces of Basra, Diyala (6-7+ killed), Salahuddin, Nineveh (8+ killed), and KarbalaGovernment of Yemen (North Yemen) – Forces of the Presidential Leadership Council70Reuters News, Reuters News, Agence France Presse
2026-07-18air base in Irbil.Government of Iran – Government of Israel, Government of United States of America10Reuters News, Associated Press Newswires
2026-07-17Zirgwezala area of Sulaymaniyah province / camps in Zargawila, Qaradagh, and QasardiGovernment of Iran – Komalah90Agence France Presse, Agence France Presse, ANF News
2026-07-11Khnera desert in the Bradost regionGovernment of Iran – Civilians10BBC Monitoring Round-up
2026-07-05villages of Chia Charmak and Darman on the small river in the district of Pardey in Kirkuk province, Pirde area (Altun Kupri), near the Dibis district in the northern province of Kirkuk.Government of Iraq – IS50Xinhua News Agency, Rudaw, BBC Monitoring Round-up
2026-07-05Pirde area (Altun Kupri), near the Dibis district in the northern province of Kirkuk.Government of Iraq – IS20Xinhua News Agency, BBC Monitoring Round-up
2026-06-27IrbilGovernment of Iran – PAK10BBC Monitoring Round-up
2026-06-11Bashir subdistrict, KirkukGovernment of Iraq – IS30epic
2026-06-11Buhruz subdistrict of Diyala provinceGovernment of Iraq – IS20Xinhua News Agency, epic
2026-06-04al-Yarmouk subdistrict near Ramadi, Anbar provinceGovernment of Iraq – IS11epic
2026-06-03al-Baaj desert in the western part of NinevehGovernment of Iraq – IS30Xinhua News Agency
2026-05-28in Maysan provinceUnidentified armed group (Iraq) – Unidentified armed group (Iraq)10BBC Monitoring News Alert
2026-05-27in the northern province of KirkukGovernment of Iraq – IS40Xinhua News Agency
2026-05-23 – 2026-05-24in the town of al-Hadar (Hatra), south-west of Mosul. province of Nineveh, desert areaGovernment of Iraq – IS30Xinhua News Agency, BBC Monitoring Report
2026-05-23Wadi al-Shay areaGovernment of Iraq – IS40Xinhua News Agency, Xinhua News Agency
2026-05-15SinjarGovernment of Iraq – IS10Hawar News
2026-05-14Wadi al-Shai area in Kirkuk ProvinceGovernment of Iraq – IS10BBC Monitoring Round-up
2026-05-06Himreen Mountains within Kirkuk provinceGovernment of Iraq – IS30Xinhua News Agency, Iraq Security and Humnaitarian Monitor

Source: UCDP GED Candidate, Uppsala University (CC BY 4.0), data up to 2026-09-30

Conflicts, 90 days6

  • Yemen (North Yemen): Government27
  • Iraq: Government12
  • Iran: Kurdistan9
  • Unidentified armed group (Iraq)3
  • Government of Iran - Civilians1
  • Iran - Israel, United States of America1

Source: UCDP GED Candidate (CC BY 4.0)

Natural hazards, 30 days0

None in the last 30 days.

GDACS · USGS · NASA EONET

Warnings and notices

UK FCDO: Iraq: Avoid all travel to parts

No severe weather warning in force.

UK FCDO · WMO · WHO · Copernicus EMS

Power plants near danger4

  • Al-Shemal · Oil · 2,100 MW

    1 incidents within 50 km in 90 days, nearest 35 km

  • Erbil · Gas · 1,500 MW

    3 incidents within 50 km in 90 days, nearest 22 km

  • Mosul Dam · Hydro · 1,052 MW

    1 incidents within 50 km in 90 days, nearest 42 km

  • Shatt Al-Basra · Gas · 1,250 MW

    2 incidents within 50 km in 90 days, nearest 40 km

Distance only: this does not mean a plant was affected.

WRI Global Power Plant Database; UCDP; GDACS · USGS

Next 7 days in Baghdad

Day°CRainGustsWatch
Wed, Oct 2121…320.0 mm21 km/h
Thu, Oct 2223…330.0 mm30 km/h
Fri, Oct 2321…310.0 mm22 km/h
Sat, Oct 2421…290.0 mm22 km/h
Sun, Oct 2519…290.0 mm25 km/h
Mon, Oct 2621…330.0 mm19 km/h
Tue, Oct 2723…330.0 mm40 km/h

Forecast for the capital only; marks: heat ≥38 °C, frost ≤−20 °C, rain ≥50 mm, gusts ≥75 km/h, thunderstorms. Official warnings are above.

Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0)

Food prices in markets24

ItemPriceUSDYear
Rice / KG2,500 IQD1.65+18%
Wheat flour / KG800 IQD0.53-20%
Sugar / KG1,500 IQD0.990%
Oil (vegetable) / L2,500 IQD1.65+11%
Potatoes / KG1,000 IQD0.66+33%
Fish / KG5,000 IQD3.30-9%
Meat (beef) / KG16,000 IQD10.550%
Meat (chicken) / KG4,000 IQD2.640%
Cheese (local) / KG10,000 IQD6.60+48%
Milk / L2,000 IQD1.32+14%
Salt (iodised) / KG750 IQD0.490%
Tea / KG9,000 IQD5.94+24%
Fuel (gas) / Cylinder7,500 IQD4.95+7%
Fuel (kerosene) / L400 IQD0.26-16%
Fuel (petrol-gasoline) / L460 IQD0.30+2%
Wage (non-qualified labour) / Day25,000 IQD16.490%
Beans (white) / KG2,900 IQD1.91+16%
Lentils / KG2,000 IQD1.320%
Dates / KG1,500 IQD0.99-25%
Tomatoes / KG1,000 IQD0.660%
Bulgur / KG1,750 IQD1.15+17%
Pasta / 250 G750 IQD0.49+50%
Eggs / 30 pcs7,500 IQD4.95+25%
Meat (lamb) / KG22,000 IQD14.51+10%

Median retail price across markets in the latest month reported (2026-10); change against the same month a year before.

WFP · HDX (CC BY-IGO)