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Violence in the news: 1,174 reports in the week to Oct 18, 2026 · ×1.1 · against the three weeks before; GDELT, not verified

Protests in the news: 1,136 reports in the week to Oct 18, 2026 · ×1.2 · against the three weeks before; GDELT, not verified

Model estimate for September 2026: 3–70 deaths (UCDP, the month before: 16). An estimate from the news, not a count. How the model works →

Level, last 60 days

  • Deaths 30 d

    16

    UCDP up to 2026-08-31

  • Per million 90 d

    0.0

    last 90 days

  • Civilians

    44%

    last 90 days

  • Incidents 30 d

    11

  • Population

    1463.9 M

    World Bank

  • Plants near violence

    1 / 117

    near violence / total; 9 nuclear

Why this level3

  • +2UK FCDO advises against all travel to parts of the countryUK FCDO travel advice
  • +116 deaths in organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP dataUCDP GED Candidate
  • +1Violence deaths, 30 days: 16, 2.0× the 30 days of UCDP data beforeUCDP GED Candidate

Source: ARMSMA situation watch

Every monitored signal

The last 60 days, each on its own scale.

  • Violence deaths, 30 days

    16

  • Natural hazards, 7 days

    1

  • Travel advice level (FCDO)

    3

  • Confirmed outages, places, 24 h

    9

  • Violence incidents, 30 days

    11

  • Power plants near violence

    1

  • Refugees who fled

    223 731

Source: ARMSMA situation watch

Deaths in organised violence, per week

India, UCDP best estimates. The red bar is the latest week.

The latest week may be incomplete.

Source: UCDP GED Candidate, Uppsala University (CC BY 4.0), data up to 2026-08-31

Who the violence is between

Deaths by kind of violence, last 90 days of data.

  • State-based conflict · 23%
  • Non-state conflict · 28%
  • Against civilians · 49%

Source: UCDP GED Candidate (CC BY 4.0)

Food, displacement, sanctions

People in food crisis (IPC 3+)
–
2026-09
Share in food crisis
–
2026-09
Undernourishment
9.8%
2024
Refugees who fled
223,731
2025
Refugees hosted
253,718
2025
Internally displaced
–
2025
Sanctions designations
344
2026-10-19
GDP per person
$2,702
2025

FEWS NET · World Bank / FAO · UNHCR · OpenSanctions

People in crisis-level food insecurity

FEWS NET does not cover this country.

Latest incidents of organised violence25

DatePlaceSidesDeathsCiviliansReported by
2026-08-31N Teikhang village under T Waichong sub-division in the Kangpokpi districtNSCN-IM – Civilians33Press Trust of India, Press Trust of India, International Crisis Group
2026-08-29at Nungtek village / between Nungtek Part II and Haochong, about 5 km northeast of the Noney district headquartersZUF – ZUF-K10Deccan Chronicle, South Asia Terrorism Portal (SATP)
2026-08-28at Oktan village under Haochong sub-divisionZUF – ZUF-K10Deccan Chronicle, South Asia Terrorism Portal (SATP)
2026-08-27in Manipur's Kangpokpi district , in an isolated area between Makui Ashang and Thabamba Naga along the Imphal-Tamenglong (IT) Road between Makui Ashang and Thanamba Naga villagesUPF – Civilians55Press Trust of India, Press Trust of India, Press Trust of India
2026-08-23Baruipur/ in the area under Hardah gram panchayat, in Uttar Tangebedia areaSupporters of BJP – Supporters of TMC10The Telegraph, The Telegraph
2026-08-14 – 2026-08-15Langka Naga village in Manipur's Kangpokpi districtKuki – Naga20Press Trust of India, Press Trust of India, The Pioneer
2026-08-14Assam Rifles camp at Longvi under Nampong Police Station, Changlang District, Arunachal Pradesh / at Tikhak Taipi village near LongviGovernment of India – NSCN-K00South Asia Terrorism Portal (SATP)
2026-08-08 – 2026-08-09the Alinagar border area of Prithimpasha union , beyond border pillar 1845/63-S in Maguruli / in Tripura’s Ukakoti district (along the Indo-Bangla border at Maguruli )Government of India – Civilians10Press Trust of India, Press Trust of India, The New Nation (Bangladesh)
2026-08-08in the Daoke area along the India-Pakistan border in Amritsar DistrictGovernment of India – Kashmir insurgents10South Asia Terrorism Portal (SATP)
2026-08-07in Ludhiana DistrictUnidentified armed group (India) – Unidentified armed group (India)10South Asia Terrorism Portal (SATP)
2026-07-31in the Kelam area of south Kashmir's Kulgam districtKashmir insurgents – Civilians22Press Trust of India, Press Trust of India, Press Trust of India
2026-07-22in Anantnag town of Jammu and Kashmir (Lal Chowk area)Government of India – Kashmir insurgents10Press Trust of India, Press Trust of India, Press Trust of India
2026-07-13near Shokhuvi area in Nagaland's Chumoukedima district / near Khopanala, Sukhovi,Government of India – NSCN-IM-E10Press Trust of India, Press Trust of India, SATP
2026-07-11Govajang village in the Kangpokpi districtNSCN-IM – Civilians11Press Trust of India, International Crisis Group
2026-07-08in Saidapora, Shopian district / in the Saidapora-Chanapora area of ShopianGovernment of India – Kashmir insurgents10Press Trust of India, Press Trust of India, Press Trust of India
2026-07-06in the Nungshang Khong area of Manipur's Ukhrul district / near Nungsangkhong, about 16 km east of the Ukhrul Police Station / on National Highway 202 near Noungshong Kong village under Ukhrul police Government of India – NSCN-IM-E20Press Trust of India, Press Trust of India, Press Trust of India
2026-06-27near the Line of Control (LoC), / near Asha Post, Sumli Wali Dhok, in GulmargGovernment of India – Kashmir insurgents11SATP, Daily Excelsior
2026-06-16at North Songkong Village under Henglep Subdivision in Churachandpur District of ManipurGovernment of India – UKNA10Press Trust of India, Deccan Chronicle, SATP
2026-06-13near Lasan Kuki-Zo village in the Sadar Hills region of Kangpokpi District in Manipur,Kuki – Naga10SATP
2026-06-11at Kultuh village under Chassad Police Station in Kamjong District of Manipur / Kultuh Kuki villageNSCN-IM-E – Civilians22Press Trust of India, SATP, International Crisis Group
2026-06-09at Lalloi village, near Lasan Kuki village and Makui village along the Imphal-Tamenglong (IT) Road under Chalwa Police Station in Kangpokpi District of ManipurKuki – Naga10SATP
2026-06-08in a forested area above Tupul village in Kangpokpi District, ManipurKuki – Naga10SATP, Nagaland Post
2026-06-05at Loibol Khullen village in Kangpokpi DistrictNSCN-IM – Civilians33The Telegraph, The Telegraph, The Pioneer
2026-06-01in the busy Makhu market area of Ferozepur districtBishnoi gang – Civilians11SATP
2026-06-01 – 2026-06-25in the Companiganj border area of ​​Sylhet / at the Kulaura border in MoulvibazarGovernment of India – Civilians20HRSS

Source: UCDP GED Candidate, Uppsala University (CC BY 4.0), data up to 2026-08-31

Conflicts, 90 days8

  • NSCN-IM - Civilians7
  • Kuki - Naga7
  • UPF - Civilians5
  • India: Kashmir4
  • Government of India - Civilians3
  • India: Nagaland3
  • NSCN-IM-E - Civilians2
  • Kashmir insurgents - Civilians2

Source: UCDP GED Candidate (CC BY 4.0)

Natural hazards, 30 days1

  • Tropical cycloneONE-26 · Sep 22, 2026

GDACS · USGS · NASA EONET

Warnings and notices

UK FCDO: India: Avoid all travel to parts

No severe weather warning in force.

UK FCDO · WMO · WHO · Copernicus EMS

Power plants near danger1

  • KOLAGHAT · Coal · 1,260 MW

    1 incidents within 50 km in 90 days, nearest 49 km

Distance only: this does not mean a plant was affected.

WRI Global Power Plant Database; UCDP; GDACS · USGS

Next 7 days in New Delhi

Day°CRainGustsWatch
Tue, Oct 2019…300.0 mm23 km/h
Wed, Oct 2120…300.0 mm17 km/h
Thu, Oct 2220…310.0 mm25 km/h
Fri, Oct 2320…320.0 mm30 km/h
Sat, Oct 2420…321.2 mm37 km/h
Sun, Oct 2519…310.0 mm18 km/h
Mon, Oct 2619…320.0 mm28 km/h

Forecast for the capital only; marks: heat ≥38 °C, frost ≤−20 °C, rain ≥50 mm, gusts ≥75 km/h, thunderstorms. Official warnings are above.

Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0)

Food prices in markets14

ItemPriceUSDYear
Rice / KG41.3 INR0.43+1%
Wheat / KG31.89 INR0.33-1%
Sugar / KG49.5 INR0.52+9%
Oil (mustard) / KG196.22 INR2.05+3%
Potatoes / KG22.52 INR0.24-13%
Onions / KG32.59 INR0.34+21%
Wheat flour / KG38.2 INR0.400%
Milk (pasteurized) / L59.98 INR0.63+3%
Oil (groundnut) / KG207.98 INR2.17+9%
Oil (palm) / KG147.3 INR1.54+12%
Oil (sunflower) / KG189.16 INR1.98+16%
Lentils (masur) / KG89.84 INR0.94+2%
Tomatoes / KG39.17 INR0.41-31%
Salt (iodised) / KG21.21 INR0.22+5%

Median retail price across markets in the latest month reported (2026-08); change against the same month a year before.

WFP · HDX (CC BY-IGO)

Disasters since 200040

092000: 020002001: 02002: 02003: 02004: 02005: 020052006: 02007: 02008: 02009: 02010: 020102011: 02012: 02013: 02014: 02015: 020152016: 02017: 02018: Droughts 12019: Floods 3, Tropical cyclones 3, Droughts 12020: Floods 1, Tropical cyclones 420202021: Floods 6, Tropical cyclones 2, Earthquakes 12022: Tropical cyclones 4, Floods 12023: Tropical cyclones 5, Floods 32024: Tropical cyclones 4, Floods 22025: Tropical cyclones 3, Floods 1, Earthquakes 120252026: Floods 1, Tropical cyclones 12026

Tropical cyclonesFloodsEarthquakesDroughts

  • Tropical Cyclone ONE-26 · Sep 22, 2026 · Tropical Storm (maximum wind speed of 83 km/h)
  • Flood in India · Aug 9, 2026 · Magnitude 0
  • Tropical Cyclone DITWAH-25 · Nov 27, 2025 · Tropical Depression (maximum wind speed of 65 km/h)
  • Tropical Cyclone MONTHA-25 · Oct 26, 2025 · Tropical Storm (maximum wind speed of 83 km/h)
  • Tropical Cyclone ONE-25 · Oct 1, 2025 · Tropical Storm (maximum wind speed of 65 km/h)
  • Earthquake in India · Sep 14, 2025 · Magnitude 5.5M, Depth:29km
  • Flood in India · Aug 16, 2025 · Magnitude 0
  • Tropical Cyclone FENGAL-24 · Nov 29, 2024 · Tropical Storm (maximum wind speed of 93 km/h)
  • Tropical Cyclone DANA-24 · Oct 23, 2024 · Tropical Storm (maximum wind speed of 120 km/h)
  • Flood in India · Oct 20, 2024 · Magnitude 0
  • Tropical Cyclone ASNA-24 · Aug 30, 2024 · Tropical Storm (maximum wind speed of 83 km/h)
  • Flood in India · Jun 10, 2024 · Magnitude 0
  • Tropical Cyclone REMAL-24 · May 25, 2024 · Tropical Storm (maximum wind speed of 102 km/h)
  • Tropical Cyclone MICHAUNG-23 · Dec 3, 2023 · Tropical Storm (maximum wind speed of 111 km/h)
  • Tropical Cyclone MIDHILI-23 · Nov 16, 2023 · Tropical Storm (maximum wind speed of 74 km/h)
  • Tropical Cyclone HAMOON-23 · Oct 23, 2023 · Hurricane/Typhoon > 74 mph (maximum wind speed of 148 km/h)

GDACS (orange and red alerts since 2000)

Next elections1

  • July 2027 – President

Wikipedia – national electoral calendar (CC BY-SA)