Violence in the news: 102 reports in the week to Oct 19, 2026 · ×1.5 · against the three weeks before; GDELT, not verified
Protests in the news: 15 reports in the week to Oct 19, 2026 · against the three weeks before; GDELT, not verified
Model estimate for September 2026: 2–57 deaths (UCDP, the month before: 14). An estimate from the news, not a count. How the model works →
Level, last 60 days
Deaths 30 d
14
UCDP up to 2026-08-31
Per million 90 d
0.1
last 90 days
Civilians
67%
last 90 days
Incidents 30 d
5
Population
285.7 M
World Bank
Plants near violence
1 / 10
near violence / total; 0 nuclear
Why this level1
- +114 deaths in organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP dataUCDP GED Candidate
Source: ARMSMA situation watch
Every monitored signal
The last 60 days, each on its own scale.
Violence deaths, 30 days
14
Confirmed outages, places, 24 h
11
Violence incidents, 30 days
5
Refugees who fled
17 420
Power plants near violence
1
Natural hazards, 7 days
1
Source: ARMSMA situation watch
Deaths in organised violence, per week
Indonesia, UCDP best estimates. The red bar is the latest week.
The latest week may be incomplete.
Source: UCDP GED Candidate, Uppsala University (CC BY 4.0), data up to 2026-08-31
Who the violence is between
Deaths by kind of violence, last 90 days of data.
- State-based conflict · 50%
- Non-state conflict · 0%
- Against civilians · 50%
Source: UCDP GED Candidate (CC BY 4.0)
Food, displacement, sanctions
- People in food crisis (IPC 3+)
- –
- 2026-09
- Share in food crisis
- –
- 2026-09
- Undernourishment
- 6.3%
- 2024
- Refugees who fled
- 17,420
- 2025
- Refugees hosted
- 12,071
- 2025
- Internally displaced
- –
- 2025
- Sanctions designations
- 130
- 2026-10-20
- GDP per person
- $5,060
- 2025
FEWS NET · World Bank / FAO · UNHCR · OpenSanctions
People in crisis-level food insecurity
FEWS NET does not cover this country.
Latest incidents of organised violence25
| Date | Place | Sides | Deaths | Civilians | Reported by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 – 2026-08-28 | in Slipi, West Jakarta | Unidentified armed group (Indonesia) – Civilians | 1 | 1 | The Jakarta Post, Tempo.co |
| 2026-08-17 | in Central Papua, post in Jila district, Mimika regency | Government of Indonesia – OPM | 2 | 1 | The Jakarta Post, The Jakarta Post |
| 2026-08-16 | a forest area in Eral Makawia district, Puncak regency in Central Papua province | Government of Indonesia – OPM | 3 | 0 | The Jakarta Post |
| 2026-08-13 | in Muara Aifam, Maybrat regency (Southwest Papua province) | Government of Indonesia – Civilians | 3 | 3 | Crisiswatch |
| 2026-08-02 | WonikiSub-district, Tolikara District, Highland Papua | OPM – Civilians | 5 | 5 | LKBN ANTARA, LKBN ANTARA |
| 2026-07-24 – 2026-07-30 | Korowai region, between the regencies Yahukimo, Highlands Papua Province, and Boven Digoel, South Papua Province | Government of Indonesia – Civilians | 3 | 3 | Human Rights Monitor |
| 2026-07-22 – 2026-07-24 | Kalo Fis Village, Awingbon District, Pegunungan Bintang Regency, Papua Mountains | Government of Indonesia – OPM | 1 | 0 | Antara |
| 2026-07-20 | Yahukimo Regency | OPM – Civilians | 3 | 3 | Antara |
| 2026-07-20 | Halabok Paradiso Belakang Agricultural Road Complex area, Dekai District, Yahukimo Regency | Unidentified armed group (Indonesia) – Unidentified armed group (Indonesia) | 1 | 0 | Tempo.co |
| 2026-07-17 | KM 4 Logpon area, Dekai District, Yahukimo Regency | Government of Indonesia – OPM | 3 | 0 | Tempo.co, Human Rights Montior |
| 2026-07-02 | Ipdeheik Airstrip in Balinggama Village, Sobaham District, Yahukimo Regency, Papua Pegunungan province | Government of Indonesia – OPM | 1 | 1 | Agence France Presse, Crisis Watch, Tempo.co |
| 2026-07-02 | J2 area of Wandoga Village, Sugapa District, Intan Jaya Regency | Government of Indonesia – OPM | 1 | 1 | The Jakarta Post, Tempo.co, Human Rights Monitor |
| 2026-06-29 – 2026-07-01 | Mamba Village, Sugapa District, Intan Jaya Regency, Central Papua Province | Government of Indonesia – OPM | 1 | 1 | The Jakarta Post, Tempo.co, Human Rights Monitor |
| 2026-06-17 – 2026-06-18 | near Elit Road, Dekai, Yahukimo Regency. | Government of Indonesia – OPM | 1 | 0 | Human Rights Monitor |
| 2026-06-06 | Wunapunggu Village, Melagi District, Lanny Jaya Regency / Wunabunggu Village, Melagi District CHECK GEO: Village not found, district found in geonames but it does not align with district in google ear | Government of Indonesia – OPM | 1 | 1 | Human Rights Monitor, Judi |
| 2026-05-21 | Yahukimo region (Highland Papua province) /// Awimbon district of Bintang Mountains regency [previous location was reporting mistake, according to one source + one Tempo article also states this locat | Government of Indonesia – OPM | 10 | 8 | Xinhua News Agency, Crisis Watch, The Jakarta Post |
| 2026-05-18 | the Nduga area, Mountainous Papua | Government of Indonesia – OPM | 1 | 0 | Tempo.co |
| 2026-05-17 | St Paul’s Catholic Church in Mbamogo Village, Agisiga District, Intan Jaya Regency | Government of Indonesia – OPM | 2 | 2 | Crisis Watch, Human Rights Monitor |
| 2026-05-17 | Dekai, the capital of Yahukimo Regency in Papua Highland | Government of Indonesia – OPM | 2 | 0 | Xinhua News Agency, Jubi |
| 2026-05-15 – 2026-05-16 | Wamena, capital of Jayawijaya Regency (Highland Papua) | Lany Jaya – Wouma Kurima | 13 | 0 | Crisis Watch, Union of Catholic Asian News |
| 2026-05-10 | near a football pitch beside the Dogiyai District Office Dogimani and Idadagi villages, Dogiyai District, Dogyai Regency, Central Papua Province | Government of Indonesia – OPM | 1 | 1 | Antara, Human Rights Monitor, Detik News |
| 2026-05-07 – 2026-05-08 | Kali Kabur (Kabur River) area of Tembagapura District, Mimika Regency, in the Central Papua province | Government of Indonesia – Civilians | 1 | 1 | Human Rights Monitor, Nabire news, Tomei |
| 2026-05-03 | Omukia District, Puncak Regency | Government of Indonesia – Civilians | 1 | 1 | Human Rights Monitor |
| 2026-05-01 | Eronggobak Village, Omukia District, Puncak Regency | Government of Indonesia – Civilians | 1 | 1 | Human Rights Monitor |
| 2026-05-01 – 2026-05-06 | Omukia District, Puncak Regency | Government of Indonesia – Civilians | 2 | 2 | Human Rights Monitor |
Source: UCDP GED Candidate, Uppsala University (CC BY 4.0), data up to 2026-08-31
Conflicts, 90 days5
- Indonesia: West Papua14
- OPM - Civilians8
- Government of Indonesia - Civilians6
- Unidentified armed group (Indonesia)1
- Unidentified armed group (Indonesia) - Civilians1
Source: UCDP GED Candidate (CC BY 4.0)
Natural hazards, 30 days25
- WildfireForest fires in Indonesia · Oct 15, 2026
- WildfireForest fires in Indonesia · Oct 13, 2026
- WildfireForest fires in Indonesia · Oct 12, 2026
- FloodFlood in Indonesia · Oct 9, 2026
- WildfireForest fires in Indonesia · Oct 7, 2026
- WildfireForest fires in Indonesia · Oct 5, 2026
- WildfireForest fires in Indonesia · Oct 4, 2026
- WildfireForest fires in Indonesia · Oct 4, 2026
- WildfireForest fires in Indonesia · Oct 3, 2026
- WildfireForest fires in Indonesia · Oct 3, 2026
- WildfireForest fires in Indonesia · Oct 2, 2026
- WildfireForest fires in Indonesia · Oct 1, 2026
GDACS · USGS · NASA EONET
Warnings and notices
UK FCDO · WMO · WHO · Copernicus EMS
Power plants near danger1
PLTGU Priok Block 1 2 · Gas · 1,180 MW
1 incidents within 50 km in 90 days, nearest 11 km
Distance only: this does not mean a plant was affected.
WRI Global Power Plant Database; UCDP; GDACS · USGS
Next 7 days in Jakarta
| Day | °C | Rain | Gusts | Watch |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, Oct 20 | 27…33 | 0.1 mm | 41 km/h | |
| Wed, Oct 21 | 27…33 | 0.6 mm | 45 km/h | |
| Thu, Oct 22 | 27…32 | 3.6 mm | 45 km/h | |
| Fri, Oct 23 | 24…32 | 8.0 mm | 41 km/h | |
| Sat, Oct 24 | 25…31 | 5.7 mm | 36 km/h | |
| Sun, Oct 25 | 25…30 | 4.4 mm | 36 km/h | |
| Mon, Oct 26 | 25…31 | 4.8 mm | 37 km/h |
Forecast for the capital only; marks: heat ≥38 °C, frost ≤−20 °C, rain ≥50 mm, gusts ≥75 km/h, thunderstorms. Official warnings are above.
Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0)
Food prices in markets4
| Item | Price | USD | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oil (vegetable) / KG | 23,500 IDR | 1.33 | +7% |
| Garlic (medium) / KG | 37,500 IDR | 2.12 | +1% |
| Sugar (local) / KG | 19,000 IDR | 1.07 | +6% |
| Rice (medium quality) / KG | 16,000 IDR | 0.91 | +2% |
Median retail price across markets in the latest month reported (2026-09); change against the same month a year before.
WFP · HDX (CC BY-IGO)
Disasters since 200027
VolcanoesEarthquakesFloodsDroughts
- Eruption Krakatau · Sep 4, 2026
- Earthquake in Indonesia · Aug 14, 2026 · Magnitude 7.7M, Depth:10km
- Earthquake in Indonesia · Jun 16, 2026 · Magnitude 6.7M, Depth:10km
- Eruption Dukono · May 8, 2026
- Flood in Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand · Dec 3, 2025 · Magnitude 0
- Eruption Semeru · Nov 19, 2025
- Flood in Indonesia · Nov 17, 2025 · Magnitude 0
- Eruption Lewotobi · Oct 14, 2025
- Earthquake in Indonesia · Aug 16, 2025 · Magnitude 5.8M, Depth:10km
- Eruption Lewotobi · Jun 17, 2025
- Eruption Lewotobi · Feb 13, 2025
- Eruption Ibu · Jan 14, 2025
- Eruption Lewotobi · Oct 14, 2024
- Earthquake in Indonesia · Mar 22, 2024 · Magnitude 6.4M, Depth:8.498km
- Flood in Indonesia · Feb 3, 2024 · Magnitude 0
- Earthquake in Indonesia · Apr 24, 2023 · Magnitude 7.1M, Depth:34km
GDACS (orange and red alerts since 2000)