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Back to ARMSMACountry levels of Oct 19 · source times vary

Ecuador

Nothing unusualScore 0-1 in 7 daysOpen the map

Violence in the news: 12 reports in the week to Oct 18, 2026 · ×1.8 · against the three weeks before; GDELT, not verified

Protests in the news: 1 reports in the week to Oct 18, 2026 · against the three weeks before; GDELT, not verified

Level, last 60 days

  • Deaths 30 d

    0

    UCDP up to 2026-08-31

  • Per million 90 d

    0.2

    last 90 days

  • Civilians

    50%

    last 90 days

  • Incidents 30 d

    0

  • Population

    18.3 M

    World Bank

  • Plants near violence

    0 / 2

    near violence / total; 0 nuclear

Why this level0

Nothing in the open sources stands out.

Source: ARMSMA situation watch

Every monitored signal

The last 60 days, each on its own scale.

  • Travel advice level (FCDO)

    1

  • Severe weather warnings in force

    5

  • Refugees who fled

    127 783

  • Confirmed outages, places, 24 h

    1

  • Extreme weather warnings in force

    1

  • Natural hazards, 7 days

    1

Source: ARMSMA situation watch

Deaths in organised violence, per week

Ecuador, UCDP best estimates. The red bar is the latest week.

The latest week may be incomplete.

Source: UCDP GED Candidate, Uppsala University (CC BY 4.0), data up to 2026-08-31

Who the violence is between

Deaths by kind of violence, last 90 days of data.

  • State-based conflict · 0%
  • Non-state conflict · 50%
  • Against civilians · 50%

Source: UCDP GED Candidate (CC BY 4.0)

Food, displacement, sanctions

People in food crisis (IPC 3+)
–
2026-09
Share in food crisis
–
2026-09
Undernourishment
10.8%
2024
Refugees who fled
127,783
2025
Refugees hosted
34,999
2025
Internally displaced
–
2025
Sanctions designations
45
2026-10-19
GDP per person
$7,125
2025

FEWS NET · World Bank / FAO · UNHCR · OpenSanctions

People in crisis-level food insecurity

FEWS NET does not cover this country.

Latest incidents of organised violence25

DatePlaceSidesDeathsCiviliansReported by
2026-07-12Santa Elena provinceLos Choneros – Los Lobos10International Crisis Group
2026-06-17entrance to José Joaquín de Olmedo International Airport in GuayaquilUnidentified armed group (Ecuador) – Unidentified armed group (Ecuador)10EFE News Service
2026-06-14port city of Manta, Manabí provinceUnidentified armed group (Ecuador) – Civilians22International Crisis Group
2026-04-25Machala Puerto BolivarLos Lobos – Los Saobox50Radio Pichincha
2026-04-24Eloy Alfaro parish of Manta, Manabí provinceUnidentified armed group (Ecuador) – Unidentified armed group (Ecuador)10Radio Pichincha
2026-04-24Isla Trinitaria sector, south of Guayaquil.Unidentified armed group (Ecuador) – Unidentified armed group (Ecuador)10Radio Pichincha
2026-04-23canton of Buena Fe, in the province of Los RíosUnidentified armed group (Ecuador) – Unidentified armed group (Ecuador)40Ecuavisa
2026-04-23Samanes 2 neighborhood, in northern Guayaquil.Unidentified armed group (Ecuador) – Unidentified armed group (Ecuador)10Ecuavisa
2026-04-23Machala, El Oro provinceUnidentified armed group (Ecuador) – Unidentified armed group (Ecuador)30Radio Pichincha
2026-04-21Jocay Stadium MantaUnidentified armed group (Ecuador) – Unidentified armed group (Ecuador)10Ecuavisa
2026-04-21Manta northern part of the city.Unidentified armed group (Ecuador) – Unidentified armed group (Ecuador)20Ecuavisa
2026-04-21south-central Guayaquil.Unidentified armed group (Ecuador) – Unidentified armed group (Ecuador)10Ecuavisa
2026-04-21Bahía de Caráquez Detention CenterUnidentified armed group (Ecuador) – Unidentified armed group (Ecuador)10Ecuavisa
2026-04-20National Unity Bridge, in the Samborondón-Durán directionUnidentified armed group (Ecuador) – Civilians11Ecuavisa
2026-04-19GuayaquilUnidentified armed group (Ecuador) – Unidentified armed group (Ecuador)60Ecuavisa
2026-04-18Charapotó parish, in the Sucre canton of Manabí provinceUnidentified armed group (Ecuador) – Civilians11Radio Pichincha
2026-04-18GuayaquilUnidentified armed group (Ecuador) – Unidentified armed group (Ecuador)51Radio Pichincha
2026-04-11northern QuitoUnidentified armed group (Ecuador) – Unidentified armed group (Ecuador)10Ecuavisa
2026-04-11northern Quito Caspigasí sectorUnidentified armed group (Ecuador) – Unidentified armed group (Ecuador)10Ecuavisa
2026-04-10canton of El Guabo, El Oro provinceLos Lobos – Los Saobox30Radio Pichincha
2026-04-10Grito de Libertad sector of the Venus del Río parish in Quevedo, Los Ríos province.Los Lobos – Civilians33Radio Pichincha
2026-04-10GuayaquilUnidentified armed group (Ecuador) – Unidentified armed group (Ecuador)20Radio Pichincha
2026-04-08Simón Bolívar–Jujan road in Guayas province, a few meters from the area known as Tanque Amarillo.Unidentified armed group (Ecuador) – Unidentified armed group (Ecuador)50Radio Pichincha
2026-03-31coastal canton of Santa Lucía, in the province of Guayas Cabuyal areaLos Aguilas – Los Tiguerones10Radio Pichincha
2026-03-31coastal canton of Santa Lucía, in the province of Guayas. San Pedro Espinal areaUnidentified armed group (Ecuador) – Unidentified armed group (Ecuador)20Radio Pichincha

Source: UCDP GED Candidate, Uppsala University (CC BY 4.0), data up to 2026-08-31

Conflicts, 90 days3

  • Unidentified armed group (Ecuador) - Civilians2
  • Unidentified armed groups (Ecuador)1
  • Los Choneros - Los Lobos1

Source: UCDP GED Candidate (CC BY 4.0)

Natural hazards, 30 days1

  • FloodFlood in Ecuador · Sep 27, 2026

GDACS · USGS · NASA EONET

Warnings and notices

UK FCDO: Ecuador: Avoid all but essential travel to parts

Ecuador: 3 extreme weather warnings

• lluvia tormenta eléctrica – Extreme ×3

UK FCDO · WMO · WHO · Copernicus EMS

Next 7 days in Quito

Day°CRainGustsWatch
Mon, Oct 1910…216.6 mm45 km/h
Tue, Oct 2010…2027.5 mm40 km/h
Wed, Oct 2111…1715.9 mm39 km/h
Thu, Oct 229…213.7 mm35 km/h
Fri, Oct 2310…199.0 mm35 km/h
Sat, Oct 248…202.1 mm43 km/h
Sun, Oct 259…217.1 mm45 km/h

Forecast for the capital only; marks: heat ≥38 °C, frost ≤−20 °C, rain ≥50 mm, gusts ≥75 km/h, thunderstorms. Official warnings are above.

Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0)

Food prices in markets14

ItemPriceUSDYear
Bread / KG2.94 USD2.94+6%
Cassava / KG0.72 USD0.72-26%
Maize / KG1.64 USD1.64-11%
Noodles (short) / KG2.34 USD2.33-14%
Potatoes / KG0.82 USD0.81-10%
Rice / KG1.14 USD1.14-10%
Cheese (local) / KG5.96 USD5.96+12%
Milk / L1.05 USD1.040%
Salt / KG0.49 USD0.48+17%
Sugar / KG1.11 USD1.10-3%
Cooking fat / KG2.18 USD2.17-4%
Beans / KG3.95 USD3.95+16%
Beans (dry) / KG3.7 USD3.70+8%
Beans (fava) / KG2.78 USD2.78+7%

Median retail price across markets in the latest month reported (2026-08); change against the same month a year before.

WFP · HDX (CC BY-IGO)

Disasters since 20002

012000: 020002001: 02002: 02003: 02004: 02005: 020052006: 02007: 02008: 02009: 02010: 020102011: 02012: 02013: 02014: 02015: 020152016: 02017: 02018: 02019: 02020: 020202021: 02022: 02023: Earthquakes 12024: 02025: Earthquakes 120252026: 02026

Earthquakes

  • Earthquake in Ecuador · Apr 25, 2025 · Magnitude 6.3M, Depth:35km
  • Earthquake in Ecuador · Mar 18, 2023 · Magnitude 6.8M, Depth:66.421km

GDACS (orange and red alerts since 2000)