Violence in the news: 38 reports in the week to Oct 20, 2026 · ×1.2 · against the three weeks before; GDELT, not verified
Protests in the news: 24 reports in the week to Oct 20, 2026 · ×5.1 · against the three weeks before; GDELT, not verified
Model estimate for October 2026: 81–511 deaths (UCDP, the month before: 242). An estimate from the news, not a count. How the model works →
Level, last 60 days
Deaths 30 d
242
UCDP up to 2026-09-30
Per million 90 d
14
last 90 days
Civilians
15%
last 90 days
Incidents 30 d
203
Population
53.4 M
World Bank
Plants near violence
1 / 3
near violence / total; 0 nuclear
Why this level5
- +3242 deaths in organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP dataUCDP GED Candidate
- +1203 incidents of organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP dataUCDP GED Candidate
- +115 extreme weather warnings in force from the national weather serviceWMO Severe Weather Information Centre
- +14.5 million people in crisis-level food insecurity or worse (IPC 3+)FEWS NET
- +1Compound crisis: organised violence, natural hazards, food insecurity at the same timeARMSMA situation watch
Source: ARMSMA situation watch
Every monitored signal
The last 60 days, each on its own scale.
Violence deaths, 30 days
242
Violence incidents, 30 days
203
Travel advice level (FCDO)
1
People in food crisis (IPC 3+)
4 500 000
Severe weather warnings in force
30
Refugees who fled
382 942
Extreme weather warnings in force
15
Confirmed outages, places, 24 h
1
Power plants near violence
1
Source: ARMSMA situation watch
Deaths in organised violence, per week
Colombia, UCDP best estimates. The red bar is the latest week.
The latest week may be incomplete.
Source: UCDP GED Candidate, Uppsala University (CC BY 4.0), data up to 2026-09-30
Who the violence is between
Deaths by kind of violence, last 90 days of data.
- State-based conflict · 13%
- Non-state conflict · 74%
- Against civilians · 13%
Source: UCDP GED Candidate (CC BY 4.0)
Food, displacement, sanctions
- People in food crisis (IPC 3+)
- 4.5 M
- 2026-09
- Share in food crisis
- 8%
- 2026-09
- Undernourishment
- 4.1%
- 2024
- Refugees who fled
- 382,942
- 2025
- Refugees hosted
- 18,885
- 2025
- Internally displaced
- 7,157,716
- 2025
- Sanctions designations
- 392
- 2026-10-21
- GDP per person
- $8,562
- 2025
FEWS NET · World Bank / FAO · UNHCR · OpenSanctions
People in crisis-level food insecurity
IPC Phase 3 or worse, month by month (FEWS NET current-situation estimates, midpoint of the published range).
FEWS NET – IPC-compatible analysis
Latest incidents of organised violence25
| Date | Place | Sides | Deaths | Civilians | Reported by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | El Plateado village, Argelia municipality, southern of Cauca. | Unidentified armed group (Colombia) – Civilians | 1 | 1 | Caracol Radio |
| 2026-09-30 | Martínez Martelo neighborhood, Cartagena. | Unidentified armed group (Colombia) – Unidentified armed group (Colombia) | 1 | 0 | Caracol Radio |
| 2026-09-30 | El Progreso neighborhood of La Virginia, Pereira. | Unidentified armed group (Colombia) – Unidentified armed group (Colombia) | 1 | 0 | Q'hubo Pereira |
| 2026-09-30 | Samaria 2 neighborhood, Pereira. | Unidentified armed group (Colombia) – Unidentified armed group (Colombia) | 1 | 0 | Q'hubo Pereira |
| 2026-09-30 | specifically in the Ciudad Verde sector near the Sándalo residential complex on Transversal 24B | Unidentified armed group (Colombia) – Unidentified armed group (Colombia) | 1 | 0 | El TIempo |
| 2026-09-29 | settlement of Las Chispas | EGC – Civilians | 1 | 1 | El Heraldo |
| 2026-09-29 | rea known as El Curval, a rural zone within the Bonda district of Santa Marta | Unidentified armed group (Colombia) – Unidentified armed group (Colombia) | 1 | 0 | Seguimiento.co, Seguimiento.co |
| 2026-09-29 | Villa María neighborhood in the municipality of Soledad | Unidentified armed group (Colombia) – Unidentified armed group (Colombia) | 1 | 0 | El Heraldo |
| 2026-09-29 | beside the road connecting the municipality to the settlement of El Paraíso | Unidentified armed group (Colombia) – Unidentified armed group (Colombia) | 1 | 0 | La Nacion |
| 2026-09-29 | Los Fundadores neighborhood of Valledupar | Unidentified armed group (Colombia) – Unidentified armed group (Colombia) | 1 | 0 | El Pilon |
| 2026-09-29 | city's rural area | Unidentified armed group (Colombia) – Unidentified armed group (Colombia) | 1 | 1 | El Colombiano |
| 2026-09-29 | Area connecting the La Diamantina village with the town of Ansermanuevo, northern of Valle del Cauca. | Unidentified armed group (Colombia) – Unidentified armed group (Colombia) | 1 | 0 | Q'hubo Pereira |
| 2026-09-29 | Rozo, Valle del Cauca. | Unidentified armed group (Colombia) – Unidentified armed group (Colombia) | 1 | 0 | Caracol Radio |
| 2026-09-28 | rural settlement of El Charcón, located about 20 minutes from the Montería urban center | EGC – Civilians | 1 | 1 | El Heraldo |
| 2026-09-28 | La Merced neighborhood of Cali | Unidentified armed group (Colombia) – Civilians | 1 | 1 | El TIempo |
| 2026-09-28 | Main avenue of Los Patios, Norte of santander. | Unidentified armed group (Colombia) – Civilians | 2 | 1 | La Opinión, La Opinión, Caracol Radio |
| 2026-09-28 – 2026-10-04 | Rural area of Pelaya, Cesar. | ELN – Civilians | 1 | 1 | La Opinión |
| 2026-09-28 | Pivijay town Magdalena | Unidentified armed group (Colombia) – Unidentified armed group (Colombia) | 1 | 0 | Seguimiento.co |
| 2026-09-28 | kilometer 13, rural area of San Pablo, on the road connecting with Simití. | Unidentified armed group (Colombia) – Unidentified armed group (Colombia) | 1 | 0 | Caracol Radio |
| 2026-09-28 | Jorge Chuzo area, southern Bolívar. | Unidentified armed group (Colombia) – Unidentified armed group (Colombia) | 1 | 0 | Caracol Radio |
| 2026-09-28 | Bridge in the El Cortés neighborhood, in the Cuba sector. | Unidentified armed group (Colombia) – Unidentified armed group (Colombia) | 1 | 0 | Q'hubo Pereira |
| 2026-09-28 | rural area of the Laboyos Valley municipality of Pitalito | Unidentified armed group (Colombia) – Unidentified armed group (Colombia) | 1 | 0 | La Nacion |
| 2026-09-28 | Villa Carmen II neighborhood. | Unidentified armed group (Colombia) – Unidentified armed group (Colombia) | 1 | 0 | El Heraldo |
| 2026-09-27 | south-central department of Huila rural area of Tello | Government of Colombia – FARC - Segunda Marquetalia | 1 | 0 | Infobae, El Colombiano |
| 2026-09-27 | El Cadillo, rural area of the municipality of Tello, Huila department. | Government of Colombia – FARC - Segunda Marquetalia | 1 | 0 | Q'hubo Medellin |
Source: UCDP GED Candidate, Uppsala University (CC BY 4.0), data up to 2026-09-30
Conflicts, 90 days8
- Unidentified armed groups (Colombia)502
- Unidentified armed group (Colombia) - Civilians79
- Colombia: Government53
- Unidentified armed group (Colombia)41
- La Nueva Generación del Freseo - Los Costenos19
- EGC - ELN14
- Los Costenos - Los Pepes8
- ELN - Civilians3
Source: UCDP GED Candidate (CC BY 4.0)
Natural hazards, 30 days1
- FloodFlood in Colombia · Sep 26, 2026
GDACS · USGS · NASA EONET
Warnings and notices
UK FCDO · WMO · WHO · Copernicus EMS
Power plants near danger1
San Carlos · Hydro · 1,246 MW
1 incidents within 50 km in 90 days, nearest 47 km
Distance only: this does not mean a plant was affected.
WRI Global Power Plant Database; UCDP; GDACS · USGS
Next 7 days in Bogotá
| Day | °C | Rain | Gusts | Watch |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, Oct 20 | 10…22 | 0.6 mm | 37 km/h | |
| Wed, Oct 21 | 12…20 | 0.4 mm | 39 km/h | |
| Thu, Oct 22 | 10…21 | 2.0 mm | 39 km/h | |
| Fri, Oct 23 | 10…21 | 0.6 mm | 40 km/h | |
| Sat, Oct 24 | 10…22 | 2.4 mm | 39 km/h | |
| Sun, Oct 25 | 9…22 | 0.9 mm | 35 km/h | |
| Mon, Oct 26 | 11…22 | 16.2 mm | 26 km/h |
Forecast for the capital only; marks: heat ≥38 °C, frost ≤−20 °C, rain ≥50 mm, gusts ≥75 km/h, thunderstorms. Official warnings are above.
Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0)
Food prices in markets1
| Item | Price | USD | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wage (non-qualified labour, non-agricultural) / Month | 877,803 COP | 232.70 | +6% |
Median retail price across markets in the latest month reported (2020-06); change against the same month a year before.
WFP · HDX (CC BY-IGO)
Disasters since 20004
EarthquakesTropical cyclones
GDACS (orange and red alerts since 2000)