Violence in the news: 9 reports in the week to Oct 18, 2026 · ×0.7 · against the three weeks before; GDELT, not verified
Model estimate for September 2026: 92–584 deaths (UCDP, the month before: 172). An estimate from the news, not a count. How the model works →
Level, last 60 days
Deaths 30 d
176
UCDP up to 2026-08-31
Per million 90 d
5.6
last 90 days
Civilians
78%
last 90 days
Incidents 30 d
45
Population
112.8 M
World Bank
Plants near violence
0 / 1
near violence / total; 0 nuclear
Why this level6
- +3176 deaths in organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP dataUCDP GED Candidate
- +2UK FCDO advises against all travel to parts of the countryUK FCDO travel advice
- +217.5 million people in crisis-level food insecurity or worse (IPC 3+)FEWS NET
- +11 WHO disease-outbreak notice in the last 90 daysWHO Disease Outbreak News
- +11.3 million refugees and asylum-seekers have fled the countryUNHCR
- +1Compound crisis: organised violence, disease outbreaks, food insecurity, mass displacement at the same timeARMSMA situation watch
Source: ARMSMA situation watch
Every monitored signal
The last 60 days, each on its own scale.
Violence deaths, 30 days
176
Travel advice level (FCDO)
3
Confirmed outages, places, 24 h
2
Violence incidents, 30 days
45
Outbreak notices, 90 days
1
People in food crisis (IPC 3+)
17 500 000
Refugees who fled
1 344 910
Source: ARMSMA situation watch
Deaths in organised violence, per week
Democratic Republic of the Congo, UCDP best estimates. The red bar is the latest week.
The latest week may be incomplete.
Source: UCDP GED Candidate, Uppsala University (CC BY 4.0), data up to 2026-08-31
Who the violence is between
Deaths by kind of violence, last 90 days of data.
- State-based conflict · 26%
- Non-state conflict · 17%
- Against civilians · 57%
161
109
361
Source: UCDP GED Candidate (CC BY 4.0)
Food, displacement, sanctions
- People in food crisis (IPC 3+)
- 17.5 M
- 2026-09
- Share in food crisis
- 16%
- 2026-09
- Undernourishment
- 39.5%
- 2024
- Refugees who fled
- 1,344,910
- 2025
- Refugees hosted
- 603,844
- 2025
- Internally displaced
- 5,669,479
- 2025
- Sanctions designations
- 132
- 2026-10-19
- GDP per person
- $807
- 2025
FEWS NET · World Bank / FAO · UNHCR · OpenSanctions
People in crisis-level food insecurity
IPC Phase 3 or worse, month by month (FEWS NET current-situation estimates, midpoint of the published range).
FEWS NET – IPC-compatible analysis
Latest incidents of organised violence25
| Date | Place | Sides | Deaths | Civilians | Reported by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | in Mulala, about 20 kilometres from Vitsumbi, in Rutshuru, North Kivu in the area of Ndwali, on the west coast of Lake Edward, North Kivu. Within Virunga National Park,near Vitsumbi | FDLR-FOCA – Civilians | 4 | 4 | The New Times, Actualite.cd, Kivu Morning Post |
| 2026-08-30 – 2026-08-31 | the village of Kitagoma, in the town of Nyamagana, in Busanza grouping in Rutshuru territory | Unidentified armed group (DR Congo (Zaire)) – Civilians | 2 | 2 | Kivu Morning Post |
| 2026-08-29 | in the village of Amani in the Mambasa territory / Amani, located more than 30 kilometers west of Biakato-Centre, in the Babila-Teturi group, chiefdom of Babila-Babombi, territory of Mambasa | IS – Civilians | 7 | 7 | Radio Okapi, International Crisis Group, CE NoticiasFinancieras |
| 2026-08-28 | Seseo, a few hours walk from Teturi, the administrative center of the Babila Teturi grouping within the Babila Babombi chiefdom, Mambasa Territory | IS – Civilians | 7 | 7 | Radio Okapi, Radio Okapi, Bunia Actualité |
| 2026-08-28 | in locality of Mabakuwa, in the Babila-Teturi group, about thirty kilometers west of Biakato, in the south of the territory of Mambasa | IS – Civilians | 10 | 10 | Radio Okapi, Radio Okapi, Bunia Actualité |
| 2026-08-27 | Muriki village, in the Bambo groupement, Rutshuru Territory in North Kivu | AFC – FDLR-FOCA | 0 | 0 | @LawrenceKanyuka on X |
| 2026-08-27 – 2026-09-02 | in the highlands of Uvira/Fizi | Government of DR Congo (Zaire) – AFC | 23 | 0 | Radio Okapi, 7SUR7.cd, Tazama RDC |
| 2026-08-27 | over Gahwela near Minembwe | Government of DR Congo (Zaire) – AFC | 0 | 0 | AllAfrica, @michombero on X, Critical Threats Project |
| 2026-08-27 – 2026-09-01 | in 15 localities of the chiefdom of Babila-Babombi /Among the localities mentioned are Biamu, Mabakufa, Amani, Mahihi, Pangoite, Lelesi and Kalongo | IS – Civilians | 19 | 19 | Radio Okapi, Radio Okapi, Bunia Actualité |
| 2026-08-24 | Nyaruhinga village near Minembwe | Government of DR Congo (Zaire) – AFC | 0 | 0 | Critical Threats Project, @M23_ARC on X |
| 2026-08-24 | In Katale, a village near Rumangabo on the Goma-Rutshuru road, Kisigari group | VDP – Civilians | 1 | 1 | Radio Okapi, Actualite.cd |
| 2026-08-24 – 2026-08-30 | in the territories of Watsa and Wamba in Haut-Uele province. The chiefdoms of Andobi, Kebo, and Mahaa are among the hardest hit. | IS – Civilians | 10 | 10 | Radio Okapi |
| 2026-08-22 | Mukoko and Nyamabuguma villages near Minembwe | Government of DR Congo (Zaire) – AFC | 0 | 0 | @LawrenceKanyuka on X, Critical Threats Project |
| 2026-08-22 | in Makoma in the Babila-Teturi grouping, located in the Mambasa territory of Ituri province The distance between Kiki and Makoma is estimated at a 30-minute walk, while the journey from Makoma to Kabu | IS – Civilians | 1 | 1 | Radio Okapi, Radio Okapi, Bunia Actualité |
| 2026-08-21 – 2026-08-23 | In Walugu territory. /toward Nzibira and Luntukulu. Nzibira is a major M23-controlled mineral trading hub roughly 20 miles southwest of Walungu town, whereas Luntukulu is about 10 miles south of Nzibi | Government of DR Congo (Zaire) – AFC | 0 | 0 | @ClmentMuya2 on x, Critical Threats Project |
| 2026-08-21 – 2026-08-23 | along a corridor stretching from Ngumbari/Ngombari to Cicio, passing through the town of Kalunga , in the Mupanda B block , and near Teturi along the RN44 , and in the areas of Linjanza and Maibo / in | IS – Civilians | 15 | 15 | Radio Okapi, Radio Okapi, Bunia Actualité |
| 2026-08-20 | in M23-controlled Luntukulu | Government of DR Congo (Zaire) – AFC | 1 | 0 | Kivu Morning Post, Critical Threats Project, @michombero on X |
| 2026-08-20 – 2026-08-21 | around Minembwe, Along the Minembwe axis | Government of DR Congo (Zaire) – AFC | 0 | 0 | Critical Threats Project |
| 2026-08-19 – 2026-08-20 | In Malemo, in the Bashali Mokoto grouping, in the territory of Masisi, North Kivu | AFC – VDP | 2 | 0 | Actualite.cd, Critical Threats Project, Critical Threats Project |
| 2026-08-19 | in Kanune, in the grouping Ikobo, in the territory of Walikale , near the border between Walikale and Lubero districts , Kanune is around 15 miles northeast of Mpeti in a remote forested area in the I | AFC – VDP | 1 | 1 | Actualite.cd, Kivu Morning Post, Kivu Morning Post |
| 2026-08-19 – 2026-08-20 | Nkingwe in the Bashali Mokoto group and in Malemo , near the Mindjendje Bridge | AFC – VDP | 2 | 0 | Actualite.cd, Critical Threats Project |
| 2026-08-17 | in the localities of Musimbira and Nyamiri, in the Ufamandu 1st group, in the Bahunde chiefdom. Nyamiri is around 10 miles southwest of Ngungu, and Remeka is around 13 miles southwest of Rubaya on a l | Government of DR Congo (Zaire) – AFC | 2 | 2 | Actualite.cd, Critical Threats Project, @michombero on X |
| 2026-08-17 | Ziralo group (Katare, Tushunguti, Nyamugari, and Kivoka, Kashobo, Katenderi, Kivocat, Matutira, Mutale) | Government of DR Congo (Zaire) – AFC | 1 | 1 | Actualite.cd, Critical Threats Project |
| 2026-08-15 | Ziralo group (Chambombo, Bukumba, Kalungu, Ngeramana, and Runengenge, Lumbishi, Katale, "Lumbishi, Chambombo, and other nearby villages") | AFC – VDP | 11 | 11 | Critical Threats Project, @etiennemulindwa on X, @TazamaRDC_Info on X |
| 2026-08-15 | in the locality of Bandisende, chiefdom of Babila-Babombi, Mambasa territory, / Kilibo village in the Babila-Babombi chiefdom | IS – Civilians | 0 | 0 | BBC Monitoring News Alert, @HeritierBarak on X |
Source: UCDP GED Candidate, Uppsala University (CC BY 4.0), data up to 2026-08-31
Conflicts, 90 days8
- IS - Civilians274
- DR Congo (Zaire): Government134
- AFC - VDP89
- AFC - Civilians47
- DR Congo (Zaire): Islamic State15
- DR Congo (Zaire): Katanga12
- Government of DR Congo (Zaire) - Civilians10
- FDLR-FOCA - Civilians10
Source: UCDP GED Candidate (CC BY 4.0)
Natural hazards, 30 days0
None in the last 30 days.
GDACS · USGS · NASA EONET
Warnings and notices
UK FCDO · WMO · WHO · Copernicus EMS
Next 7 days in Kinshasa
| Day | °C | Rain | Gusts | Watch |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon, Oct 19 | 24…32 | 0.8 mm | 26 km/h | |
| Tue, Oct 20 | 24…33 | 2.1 mm | 26 km/h | |
| Wed, Oct 21 | 24…31 | 9.5 mm | 26 km/h | |
| Thu, Oct 22 | 25…31 | 2.0 mm | 23 km/h | |
| Fri, Oct 23 | 24…32 | 0.0 mm | 22 km/h | |
| Sat, Oct 24 | 24…33 | 4.5 mm | 25 km/h | |
| Sun, Oct 25 | 23…31 | 3.3 mm | 23 km/h |
Forecast for the capital only; marks: heat ≥38 °C, frost ≤−20 °C, rain ≥50 mm, gusts ≥75 km/h, thunderstorms. Official warnings are above.
Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0)
Food prices in markets14
| Item | Price | USD | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cassava flour / KG | 1,477.5 CDF | 0.65 | +16% |
| Fuel (petrol-gasoline) / L | 4,500 CDF | 1.96 | +13% |
| Salt / KG | 1,653.25 CDF | 0.72 | -17% |
| Oil (palm) / L | 3,333 CDF | 1.45 | -16% |
| Maize flour / KG | 2,000 CDF | 0.87 | -21% |
| Beans / KG | 3,564 CDF | 1.55 | -27% |
| Rice (imported) / KG | 3,200 CDF | 1.39 | -5% |
| Exchange rate (unofficial) / USD/LCU | 2,250 CDF | 0.98 | -22% |
| Oil (vegetable) / L | 7,000 CDF | 3.05 | +5% |
| Sugar / KG | 3,426 CDF | 1.49 | -18% |
| Rice (local) / KG | 2,715 CDF | 1.19 | -4% |
| Beans (niebe) / KG | 2,500 CDF | 1.09 | +8% |
| Fuel (diesel) / L | 4,500 CDF | 1.96 | +9% |
| Cassava (cossette) / KG | 1,250.13 CDF | 0.55 | -48% |
Median retail price across markets in the latest month reported (2026-05); change against the same month a year before.
WFP · HDX (CC BY-IGO)
Disasters since 200010
DroughtsFloodsVolcanoes
- Drought in Democratic Republic of Congo, Central African Republic, Cameroon, Djibouti, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Kenya, Niger, Nigeria, Sudan, Somalia, South Sudan, Chad · Jun 21, 2026 · Medium impact for agricultural drought in 2649772 km2
- Drought in Democratic Republic of Congo, Kenya, Tanzania, Uganda · May 21, 2026 · Medium impact for agricultural drought in 270713 km2
- Flood in Democratic Republic of Congo · Feb 11, 2026 · Magnitude 0
- Flood in Democratic Republic of Congo · Jun 13, 2025 · Magnitude 0
- Flood in Democratic Republic of Congo · May 1, 2025 · Magnitude 0
- Flood in Democratic Republic of Congo · Mar 28, 2025 · Magnitude 0
- Flood in Democratic Republic of Congo · May 1, 2023 · Magnitude 0
- Flood in Democratic Republic of Congo · Apr 1, 2023 · Magnitude 0
- Flood in Democratic Republic of the Congo · Dec 13, 2022 · Magnitude 0
- Eruption Nyiragongo · May 23, 2021
GDACS (orange and red alerts since 2000)