Violence in the news: 8 reports in the week to Oct 19, 2026 · ×1.7 · against the three weeks before; GDELT, not verified
Protests in the news: 1 reports in the week to Oct 19, 2026 · against the three weeks before; GDELT, not verified
Model estimate for October 2026: 12–83 deaths (UCDP, the month before: 55). An estimate from the news, not a count. How the model works →
Level, last 60 days
Deaths 30 d
55
UCDP up to 2026-09-30
Per million 90 d
5.2
last 90 days
Civilians
51%
last 90 days
Incidents 30 d
28
Population
29.9 M
World Bank
Plants near violence
0 / 0
near violence / total; 0 nuclear
Why this level3
- +231 deaths in organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP dataUCDP GED Candidate
- +2UK FCDO advises against all travel to parts of the countryUK FCDO travel advice
- +11.3 million people in crisis-level food insecurity or worse (IPC 3+)FEWS NET
Source: ARMSMA situation watch
Every monitored signal
The last 60 days, each on its own scale.
Violence deaths, 30 days
31
Travel advice level (FCDO)
3
Violence incidents, 30 days
14
People in food crisis (IPC 3+)
1 250 000
Refugees who fled
178 357
Confirmed outages, places, 24 h
2
Source: ARMSMA situation watch
Deaths in organised violence, per week
Cameroon, UCDP best estimates. The red bar is the latest week.
The latest week may be incomplete.
Source: UCDP GED Candidate, Uppsala University (CC BY 4.0), data up to 2026-09-30
Who the violence is between
Deaths by kind of violence, last 90 days of data.
- State-based conflict · 39%
- Non-state conflict · 11%
- Against civilians · 50%
Source: UCDP GED Candidate (CC BY 4.0)
Food, displacement, sanctions
- People in food crisis (IPC 3+)
- 1.3 M
- 2026-09
- Share in food crisis
- 4%
- 2026-09
- Undernourishment
- 4.9%
- 2024
- Refugees who fled
- 178,357
- 2025
- Refugees hosted
- 427,166
- 2025
- Internally displaced
- 1,004,257
- 2025
- Sanctions designations
- 42
- 2026-10-20
- GDP per person
- $1,972
- 2025
FEWS NET · World Bank / FAO · UNHCR · OpenSanctions
People in crisis-level food insecurity
IPC Phase 3 or worse, month by month (FEWS NET current-situation estimates, midpoint of the published range).
FEWS NET – IPC-compatible analysis
Latest incidents of organised violence25
| Date | Place | Sides | Deaths | Civilians | Reported by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 – 2026-09-29 | Sagmé | Government of Cameroon – IS | 1 | 0 | Crisis Watch, @HumanityPurpose |
| 2026-09-27 | Bamenda | Ambazonia insurgents – Civilians | 0 | 0 | @MimiMefoInfo |
| 2026-09-27 | Bambui, North West Region | Government of Cameroon – Ambazonia insurgents | 2 | 0 | @MimiMefoInfo |
| 2026-09-26 | Sho, Belo Subdivision, Boyo Division, in Cameroon’s North West Region | Government of Cameroon – Ambazonia insurgents | 1 | 0 | @MimiMefoInfo, @MimiMefoInfo |
| 2026-09-25 | around the Las Vegas area, Molyko, Buea | Government of Cameroon – Ambazonia insurgents | 0 | 0 | @MimiMefoInfo |
| 2026-09-25 | military post in Mandoussa | Government of Cameroon – JAS | 1 | 0 | @HumanityPurpose |
| 2026-09-25 – 2026-09-26 | Pont Sava locality, located at the entrance to Mora, between the villages of Sava and Bourdala . | JAS – Civilians | 1 | 1 | @HumanityPurpose |
| 2026-09-25 | "not far from the village of #Mandoussa" | JAS – Civilians | 0 | 0 | @HumanityPurpose |
| 2026-09-24 | Small Mankon, Bamenda | Government of Cameroon – Ambazonia insurgents | 0 | 0 | @MimiMefoInfo |
| 2026-09-23 | New Layout area of Matouke, along the Matouke–Kotto road in Moungo Division, Littoral Region | Government of Cameroon – Ambazonia insurgents | 3 | 0 | Crisis Watch, Mimi Mefo Info, Mimi Mefo Info |
| 2026-09-21 | – | Unidentified armed group (Cameroon) – Unidentified armed group (Cameroon) | 2 | 0 | Mimi Mefo Info |
| 2026-09-19 – 2026-09-20 | Ekona, Southwest Region | Unidentified armed group (Cameroon) – Civilians | 3 | 3 | Crisis Watch, @MimiMefoInfo, @MimiMefoInfo |
| 2026-09-18 – 2026-09-21 | Abongphen | Unidentified armed group (Cameroon) – Unidentified armed group (Cameroon) | 1 | 0 | Mimi Mefo Info, @MimiMefoInfo, @MimiMefoInfo |
| 2026-09-17 – 2026-09-20 | Kumbo | Ambazonia insurgents – Civilians | 1 | 1 | @MimiMefoInfo |
| 2026-09-17 | Madégoua town, located on the Makary/Ngouma road --- Madegwa village | IS – Civilians | 17 | 17 | Reuters News, @MimiMefoInfo, @MimiMefoInfo |
| 2026-09-15 | Petit Bobo transport agency in Bamenda --- round Mobile, Nkwen, Bamenda | Ambazonia insurgents – Civilians | 1 | 1 | @MimiMefoInfo, @MimiMefoInfo |
| 2026-09-15 | kidnapped from Ndu | Government of Cameroon – Ambazonia insurgents | 1 | 0 | Mimi Mefo Info |
| 2026-09-14 | Nkwen, Bamenda | Ambazonia insurgents – Civilians | 4 | 4 | Agence France Presse, Xinhua, @MimiMefoInfo |
| 2026-09-12 | Ekona | Ambazonia insurgents – Civilians | 3 | 3 | Crisis Watch, @MimiMefoInfo |
| 2026-09-12 | Mile 4 Nkwen in Bamenda | Ambazonia insurgents – Civilians | 1 | 0 | @MimiMefoInfo |
| 2026-09-11 – 2026-09-12 | Kotsrahé village, Mayo-Sava region of Cameroon | JAS – Civilians | 2 | 2 | Crisis Watch, @HumanityPurpose |
| 2026-09-09 | FDS outpost in Sagme town | Government of Cameroon – IS | 3 | 0 | Crisis Watch, @HumanityPurpose |
| 2026-09-08 | Wum, Menchum | Government of Cameroon – Ambazonia insurgents | 1 | 0 | Agence France Presse, Al Jazeera, @MimiMefoInfo |
| 2026-09-08 – 2026-09-09 | Kouyapé town | JAS – Civilians | 1 | 1 | @HumanityPurpose |
| 2026-09-07 – 2026-09-08 | Sava village, on the outskirts of Mora | JAS – Civilians | 1 | 1 | @HumanityPurpose |
Source: UCDP GED Candidate, Uppsala University (CC BY 4.0), data up to 2026-09-30
Conflicts, 90 days8
- Cameroon: Ambazonia37
- IS - Civilians25
- JAS - Civilians24
- Ambazonia insurgents - Civilians17
- Cameroon: Government16
- Comités locaux de vigilance - IS14
- Unidentified armed group (Cameroon) - Civilians9
- Cameroon: Islamic State8
Source: UCDP GED Candidate (CC BY 4.0)
Natural hazards, 30 days2
- WildfireForest fires in Chad, Nigeria, Cameroon · Oct 15, 2026
- WildfireForest fires in Nigeria, Cameroon · Oct 9, 2026
GDACS · USGS · NASA EONET
Warnings and notices
UK FCDO · WMO · WHO · Copernicus EMS
Next 7 days in Yaoundé
| Day | °C | Rain | Gusts | Watch |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed, Oct 21 | 20…28 | 3.1 mm | 25 km/h | |
| Thu, Oct 22 | 21…28 | 4.9 mm | 31 km/h | |
| Fri, Oct 23 | 21…28 | 9.7 mm | 22 km/h | thunderstorm |
| Sat, Oct 24 | 21…29 | 4.2 mm | 26 km/h | |
| Sun, Oct 25 | 21…27 | 1.5 mm | 26 km/h | |
| Mon, Oct 26 | 21…28 | 6.2 mm | 26 km/h | |
| Tue, Oct 27 | 20…27 | 4.9 mm | 24 km/h |
Forecast for the capital only; marks: heat ≥38 °C, frost ≤−20 °C, rain ≥50 mm, gusts ≥75 km/h, thunderstorms. Official warnings are above.
Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0)
Food prices in markets24
| Item | Price | USD | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rice (long grain, imported) / KG | 541.5 XAF | 0.95 | -10% |
| Maize (white) / KG | 164.5 XAF | 0.29 | -26% |
| Meat (beef) / KG | 2,500 XAF | 4.41 | 0% |
| Sugar / KG | 900 XAF | 1.59 | -8% |
| Onions / KG | 300 XAF | 0.53 | -39% |
| Fish (tilapia, salted, dried) / KG | 1,701 XAF | 3.00 | -2% |
| Groundnuts (shelled) / KG | 617 XAF | 1.08 | -36% |
| Salt / KG | 300 XAF | 0.53 | 0% |
| Tomatoes / KG | 484.5 XAF | 0.85 | -1% |
| Beans (niebe) / KG | 444 XAF | 0.78 | -45% |
| Sorghum (red) / KG | 154.37 XAF | 0.27 | -38% |
| Sorghum (white) / KG | 169.5 XAF | 0.30 | -34% |
| Cassava (fresh) / KG | 200 XAF | 0.35 | 0% |
| Wheat flour / KG | 500 XAF | 0.88 | -13% |
| Potatoes / KG | 316 XAF | 0.56 | +1% |
| Rice (local) / KG | 390.5 XAF | 0.69 | -20% |
| Oil (vegetable, local) / L | 1,222 XAF | 2.15 | -13% |
| Okra (dry) / KG | 1,045 XAF | 1.84 | -3% |
| Oil (palm) / L | 940 XAF | 1.66 | -6% |
| Oil (cotton) / L | 1,313.4 XAF | 2.32 | -12% |
| Beans (red) / KG | 462.5 XAF | 0.81 | -47% |
| Fish (mackerel, fresh) / KG | 2,200 XAF | 3.88 | +25% |
| Taro / KG | 267 XAF | 0.47 | -28% |
| Potatoes (Irish) / KG | 545 XAF | 0.96 | +24% |
Median retail price across markets in the latest month reported (2026-08); change against the same month a year before.
WFP · HDX (CC BY-IGO)
Disasters since 20001
Droughts
GDACS (orange and red alerts since 2000)