Violence in the news: 5 reports in the week to Oct 19, 2026 · ×0.4 · against the three weeks before; GDELT, not verified
Protests in the news: 1 reports in the week to Oct 19, 2026 · against the three weeks before; GDELT, not verified
Model estimate for October 2026: 1–32 deaths (UCDP, the month before: 8). An estimate from the news, not a count. How the model works →
Level, last 60 days
Deaths 30 d
8
UCDP up to 2026-09-30
Per million 90 d
4.7
last 90 days
Civilians
34%
last 90 days
Incidents 30 d
5
Population
5.5 M
World Bank
Plants near violence
0 / 0
near violence / total; 0 nuclear
Why this level2
- +2UK FCDO advises against all travel to parts of the countryUK FCDO travel advice
- +111 deaths in organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP dataUCDP GED Candidate
Source: ARMSMA situation watch
Every monitored signal
The last 60 days, each on its own scale.
Travel advice level (FCDO)
3
People in food crisis (IPC 3+)
875 000
Refugees who fled
756 822
Confirmed outages, places, 24 h
2
Violence deaths, 30 days
11
Violence incidents, 30 days
5
Source: ARMSMA situation watch
Deaths in organised violence, per week
Central African Republic, UCDP best estimates. The red bar is the latest week.
The latest week may be incomplete.
Source: UCDP GED Candidate, Uppsala University (CC BY 4.0), data up to 2026-09-30
Who the violence is between
Deaths by kind of violence, last 90 days of data.
- State-based conflict · 58%
- Non-state conflict · 0%
- Against civilians · 42%
Source: UCDP GED Candidate (CC BY 4.0)
Food, displacement, sanctions
- People in food crisis (IPC 3+)
- 0.9 M
- 2026-09
- Share in food crisis
- 16%
- 2026-09
- Undernourishment
- 29.8%
- 2024
- Refugees who fled
- 756,822
- 2025
- Refugees hosted
- 63,761
- 2025
- Internally displaced
- 427,479
- 2025
- Sanctions designations
- 35
- 2026-10-20
- GDP per person
- $556
- 2025
FEWS NET · World Bank / FAO · UNHCR · OpenSanctions
People in crisis-level food insecurity
IPC Phase 3 or worse, month by month (FEWS NET current-situation estimates, midpoint of the published range).
FEWS NET – IPC-compatible analysis
Latest incidents of organised violence25
| Date | Place | Sides | Deaths | Civilians | Reported by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | approximately 20 kilometers northeast of the village of Mada-Bazouma | Government of Central African Republic – LRA | 2 | 0 | Radio Ndeke Luka |
| 2026-09-20 – 2026-09-22 | near the village of Béré | Government of Central African Republic – Civilians | 1 | 1 | Corbeau News |
| 2026-09-18 | Madaba-Zouma | Government of Central African Republic – LRA | 2 | 1 | Radio Ndeke Luka |
| 2026-09-17 | approximately 20 kilometers from Yenga | Government of Russia (Soviet Union) – Civilians | 1 | 1 | Corbeau News |
| 2026-09-08 | – | Unidentified armed group (Central African Republic) – Civilians | 2 | 2 | Radio Ndeke Luka |
| 2026-08-20 | – | Unidentified armed group (Central African Republic) – Unidentified armed group (Central African Republic) | 1 | 0 | Corbeau News |
| 2026-08-17 – 2026-08-23 | a gold mining site, 85 kilometers from Sam Ouandja | Government of Russia (Soviet Union) – Civilians | 1 | 1 | Corbeau News |
| 2026-08-09 | near Angara village | Government of Central African Republic – CPC | 6 | 0 | International Crisis Group |
| 2026-08-05 | along Matala-Tissi road | Government of Central African Republic – PRNC | 2 | 0 | International Crisis Group, Radio Ndeke Luka, China Internet Information Center. |
| 2026-08-05 | Arédéba village | PRNC – Civilians | 1 | 1 | Radio Ndeke Luka, Radio Ndeke Luka, China Internet Information Center. |
| 2026-07-30 – 2026-08-01 | 18 km from the town of Damara | Unidentified armed group (Central African Republic) – Civilians | 2 | 1 | Agence France Presse, Agence France Presse, Associated Press Newswires |
| 2026-07-13 | – | Unidentified armed group (Central African Republic) – Civilians | 1 | 1 | International Crisis Group, Radio Ndeke Luka, AllAfrica |
| 2026-07-08 | 20 kilometers from Zémio, on the road to Rafai, near the village of Tabane | Government of Central African Republic – AAKG | 2 | 0 | Radio Ndeke Luka, RJDH |
| 2026-07-01 – 2026-07-08 | – | Government of Russia (Soviet Union) – Civilians | 3 | 0 | BBC Monitoring Report |
| 2026-06-30 | Amdafouq area | Government of Central African Republic – ASP | 28 | 3 | Xinhua News Agency, RFI, International Crisis Group |
| 2026-06-29 | – | AAKG – Civilians | 1 | 1 | International Crisis Group, Radio Ndeke Luka, Radio Ndeke Luka |
| 2026-06-15 – 2026-06-17 | Tarfila area, located about 10 kilometers from the city of Braw | Government of Russia (Soviet Union) – Civilians | 2 | 2 | Darfur 24 |
| 2026-06-02 – 2026-06-03 | – | AAKG – Civilians | 1 | 1 | Corbeau News |
| 2026-05-27 | – | Government of Central African Republic – CPC | 1 | 0 | Radio Ndeke Luka |
| 2026-05-21 | Yoro village | Unidentified armed group (Central African Republic) – Civilians | 1 | 1 | Corbeau News |
| 2026-05-19 | Animogoli mining site | LRA – Civilians | 5 | 5 | Crisis Tracker |
| 2026-05-04 | Ndassima mining site | Government of Russia (Soviet Union) – Civilians | 4 | 4 | International Crisis Group |
| 2026-04-20 – 2026-04-22 | – | MPC, UPC – Civilians | 6 | 6 | Corbeau News, Corbeau News, BBC Monitoring News Alert |
| 2026-04-11 | village of Angotoy, about 40 kilometers from Amdafock | Unidentified armed group (Central African Republic) – Unidentified armed group (Central African Republic) | 4 | 4 | International Crisis Group, Radio Ndeke Luka |
| 2026-04-10 | along the Gbazara–Bekondja–Maimbara axis, north of the sub-prefecture of Kabo | Unidentified armed group (Central African Republic) – Civilians | 1 | 1 | RJDH |
Source: UCDP GED Candidate, Uppsala University (CC BY 4.0), data up to 2026-09-30
Conflicts, 90 days6
- Unidentified armed group (Central African Republic)9
- Central African Republic: Government6
- Unidentified armed group (Central African Republic) - Civilians5
- Government of Russia (Soviet Union) - Civilians4
- Government of Central African Republic - Civilians1
- PRNC - Civilians1
Source: UCDP GED Candidate (CC BY 4.0)
Natural hazards, 30 days0
None in the last 30 days.
GDACS · USGS · NASA EONET
Warnings and notices
UK FCDO · WMO · WHO · Copernicus EMS
Food prices in markets11
| Item | Price | USD | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cassava (cossette) / KG | 134 XAF | 0.23 | -13% |
| Rice / KG | 750 XAF | 1.30 | -6% |
| Meat (beef) / KG | 3,500 XAF | 6.07 | 0% |
| Groundnuts (shelled) / KG | 591 XAF | 1.02 | -19% |
| Salt / KG | 375 XAF | 0.65 | -10% |
| Sugar (white) / KG | 1,050 XAF | 1.82 | -12% |
| Oil (palm) / L | 850 XAF | 1.47 | -15% |
| Beans (white) / KG | 403 XAF | 0.70 | -32% |
| Maize / KG | 203 XAF | 0.35 | +7% |
| Sesame / KG | 500 XAF | 0.87 | -30% |
| Sorghum / KG | 216 XAF | 0.37 | +3% |
Median retail price across markets in the latest month reported (2026-09); change against the same month a year before.
WFP · HDX (CC BY-IGO)
Disasters since 20001
Droughts
GDACS (orange and red alerts since 2000)