Violence in the news: 1 reports in the week to Oct 19, 2026 · against the three weeks before; GDELT, not verified
Model estimate for September 2026: 0–18 deaths (UCDP, the month before: 4). An estimate from the news, not a count. How the model works →
Level, last 60 days
Deaths 30 d
4
UCDP up to 2026-08-31
Per million 90 d
0.7
last 90 days
Civilians
90%
last 90 days
Incidents 30 d
4
Population
14.4 M
World Bank
Plants near violence
0 / 0
near violence / total; 0 nuclear
Why this level3
- +2UK FCDO advises against all travel to parts of the countryUK FCDO travel advice
- +2Nationwide internet connectivity drop, confirmed by two signalsIODA, Georgia Tech
- +14 deaths in organised violence in the latest 30 days of UCDP dataUCDP GED Candidate
Source: ARMSMA situation watch
Every monitored signal
The last 60 days, each on its own scale.
Travel advice level (FCDO)
3
People in food crisis (IPC 3+)
875 000
Refugees who fled
383 190
Confirmed outages, places, 24 h
2
Violence deaths, 30 days
4
Violence incidents, 30 days
4
Nationwide outage
1
Source: ARMSMA situation watch
Deaths in organised violence, per week
Burundi, UCDP best estimates. The red bar is the latest week.
The latest week may be incomplete.
Source: UCDP GED Candidate, Uppsala University (CC BY 4.0), data up to 2026-08-31
Who the violence is between
Deaths by kind of violence, last 90 days of data.
- State-based conflict · 0%
- Non-state conflict · 0%
- Against civilians · 100%
Source: UCDP GED Candidate (CC BY 4.0)
Food, displacement, sanctions
- People in food crisis (IPC 3+)
- 0.9 M
- 2026-09
- Share in food crisis
- 6%
- 2026-09
- Undernourishment
- –
- 2024
- Refugees who fled
- 383,190
- 2025
- Refugees hosted
- 112,266
- 2025
- Internally displaced
- 6,815
- 2025
- Sanctions designations
- 5
- 2026-10-20
- GDP per person
- $234
- 2025
FEWS NET · World Bank / FAO · UNHCR · OpenSanctions
People in crisis-level food insecurity
IPC Phase 3 or worse, month by month (FEWS NET current-situation estimates, midpoint of the published range).
FEWS NET – IPC-compatible analysis
Latest incidents of organised violence25
| Date | Place | Sides | Deaths | Civilians | Reported by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Gaterama hill | Government of Burundi – Civilians | 1 | 1 | SOS Torture Burundi |
| 2026-08-18 | Busonga Hill | Government of Burundi – Civilians | 1 | 1 | Ligue Iteka |
| 2026-08-09 – 2026-08-11 | Nyakibere hill, Kinyinya are | Unidentified armed group (Burundi) – Civilians | 1 | 1 | Ligue Iteka |
| 2026-08-08 | Kanyaru River valley, on Gatare Hill, in the Birambi area of Kiremba commune | Government of Burundi – Civilians | 1 | 1 | Radio Publique Africaine |
| 2026-07-09 | Nyamikoma, Buhoro area, Mugina commune, Bujumbura province | Unidentified armed group (Burundi) – Civilians | 1 | 1 | Ligue Iteka |
| 2026-07-04 | Gitanga hill, Muramba area, Bubanza commune, Bujumbura province | Government of Burundi – Civilians | 1 | 1 | Ligue Iteka |
| 2026-07-01 – 2026-07-08 | near the town of Marura, on the edge of the Kibira forest Mugina commune, Bujumbura province | FDLR-FOCA – Civilians | 1 | 0 | Ligue Iteka |
| 2026-06-30 | Mwanzari hill, Makebuko area, Gitega commune and province | Government of Burundi – Civilians | 1 | 1 | Ligue Iteka |
| 2026-06-28 | Mwanda Hill, Muramba area, Bubanza commune, Bujumbura province | Government of Burundi – Civilians | 1 | 1 | Ligue Iteka |
| 2026-06-10 | Ngara Hill, Butihinda area and commune | Unidentified armed group (Burundi) – Civilians | 1 | 1 | Radio Publique Africaine |
| 2026-05-28 | on 4th Avenue in the Muyinga neighborhood, Kinama zone, Ntahangwa commune, Bujumbura province | Government of Burundi – Civilians | 1 | 1 | Ligue Iteka |
| 2026-05-27 | Buterere area of Ntahangwa commune, in Bujumbura province | Government of Burundi – Civilians | 1 | 1 | Ligue Iteka |
| 2026-05-23 – 2026-05-24 | in the main town of the Mugera Zone, Gisagara Commune, Buhumuza Province | Government of Burundi – Supporters of CNL | 1 | 0 | Ligue Iteka |
| 2026-05-14 | Samwe Hill, Rugombo area, Cibitoke commune, Bujumbura province, | Government of Burundi – Civilians | 1 | 1 | Ligue Iteka |
| 2026-05-14 | Samwe Hill, Rugombo area, Cibitoke commune, in Bujumbura province. | Government of Burundi – Civilians | 1 | 1 | SOS Torture Burundi |
| 2026-04-29 | Mparamirundi hill and area of Kayanza commune, in Butanyerera province. | Government of Burundi – Civilians | 4 | 4 | SOS Torture Burundi |
| 2026-04-20 | Murago Hill, in the Gihogazi area, Karusi commune, Gitega province | Government of Burundi – Civilians | 1 | 1 | Ligue Iteka |
| 2026-04-15 | Musumba Hill, in the Ruyigi area and commune, Buhumuza province | Government of Burundi – Civilians | 1 | 1 | SOS Torture Burundi |
| 2026-04-04 | bar called "Kwihuriro" on Kibungere Hill in Nyabihanga Commune, Gitega Province | Government of Burundi – Civilians | 1 | 1 | Ligue Iteka |
| 2026-03-27 | Kukarukona trading center, on Nkanda hill, Bugendana commune, Gitega province | Government of Burundi – Civilians | 1 | 1 | Ligue Iteka |
| 2026-02-18 | Muhanga commune | Unidentified armed group (Burundi) – Civilians | 1 | 1 | Ligue Iteka |
| 2026-02-18 | Nyempundu Hill, in the Nyamakarabo area of Mugina commune, in Bujumbura province. | Government of Burundi – Civilians | 1 | 1 | Ligue Iteka, SOS Torture Burundi |
| 2026-02-05 | hill of Munege, Kabarore area, Kayanza commune (formerly Kabarore commune), in Butanyerera province | Government of Burundi – Civilians | 1 | 1 | SOS Torture Burundi |
| 2026-02-05 | Sororezo neighborhood, Muyira area, Mukaza commune, in Bujumbura province | Government of Burundi – Civilians | 1 | 1 | Ligue Iteka, Radio Publique Africaine |
| 2026-02-03 | Ruhanza, Giheta area, Gitega commune and province | Unidentified armed group (Burundi) – Civilians | 1 | 1 | Ligue Iteka |
Source: UCDP GED Candidate, Uppsala University (CC BY 4.0), data up to 2026-08-31
Conflicts, 90 days3
- Government of Burundi - Civilians6
- Unidentified armed group (Burundi) - Civilians3
- FDLR-FOCA - Civilians1
Source: UCDP GED Candidate (CC BY 4.0)
Natural hazards, 30 days0
None in the last 30 days.
GDACS · USGS · NASA EONET
Warnings and notices
UK FCDO · WMO · WHO · Copernicus EMS
Next 7 days in Gitega
| Day | °C | Rain | Gusts | Watch |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, Oct 20 | 16…25 | 9.0 mm | 31 km/h | |
| Wed, Oct 21 | 15…27 | 9.6 mm | 28 km/h | |
| Thu, Oct 22 | 16…26 | 11.0 mm | 31 km/h | |
| Fri, Oct 23 | 16…25 | 2.4 mm | 27 km/h | |
| Sat, Oct 24 | 15…25 | 4.5 mm | 37 km/h | |
| Sun, Oct 25 | 14…25 | 1.8 mm | 39 km/h | |
| Mon, Oct 26 | 14…26 | 0.0 mm | 37 km/h |
Forecast for the capital only; marks: heat ≥38 °C, frost ≤−20 °C, rain ≥50 mm, gusts ≥75 km/h, thunderstorms. Official warnings are above.
Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0)
Food prices in markets13
| Item | Price | USD | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cassava flour / KG | 1,600 BIF | 0.53 | +6% |
| Sweet potatoes / KG | 1,500 BIF | 0.50 | +14% |
| Potatoes (Irish) / KG | 2,400 BIF | 0.80 | +22% |
| Bananas / KG | 2,325 BIF | 0.78 | +34% |
| Onions / KG | 4,550 BIF | 1.52 | +12% |
| Tomatoes / KG | 3,000 BIF | 1.00 | +18% |
| Salt / KG | 3,000 BIF | 1.00 | 0% |
| Oil (palm) / KG | 8,250 BIF | 2.75 | -23% |
| Oil (vegetable) / KG | 14,000 BIF | 4.67 | -20% |
| Maize (white) / KG | 1,700 BIF | 0.57 | +5% |
| Maize flour / KG | 2,000 BIF | 0.67 | 0% |
| Fuel (petrol-gasoline) / L | 14,000 BIF | 4.67 | -11% |
| Fuel (diesel) / L | 12,000 BIF | 4.01 | -22% |
Median retail price across markets in the latest month reported (2026-09); change against the same month a year before.
WFP · HDX (CC BY-IGO)
Disasters since 20001
GDACS (orange and red alerts since 2000)
Next elections1
- May 3, 2027 – President
Wikipedia – national electoral calendar (CC BY-SA)