Violence dans l’actualité : 42 articles la semaine jusqu’au 20 oct. 2026 · ×1 · face aux trois semaines précédentes ; GDELT, non vérifié
Manifestations dans l’actualité : 20 signalements dans la semaine au 20 oct. 2026 · ×2,3 · face aux trois semaines précédentes ; GDELT, non vérifié
Estimation du modèle pour octobre 2026 : 12–78 morts (UCDP, mois précédent : 29). Une estimation tirée de la presse, pas un décompte. Fonctionnement du modèle →
Niveau, 60 derniers jours
Décès 30 j
35
UCDP jusqu’au 2026-09-30
Par million 90 j
0.6
90 derniers jours
Civils
16%
90 derniers jours
Incidents 30 j
27
Population
212.8 M
World Bank
Centrales près de violences
3 / 32
près de violences / total ; 2 nucléaires
Pourquoi ce niveau1
- +122 décès dans la violence organisée sur les 30 derniers jours des données UCDPUCDP GED Candidate
Source : veille de situation ARMSMA
Tous les signaux suivis
Les 60 derniers jours, chacun à sa propre échelle.
Morts de la violence, 30 jours
22
Niveau des conseils aux voyageurs (FCDO)
1
Incidents violents, 30 jours
20
Aléas naturels, 7 jours
1
Réfugiés partis
72 978
Pannes confirmées, lieux, 24 h
14
Centrales proches de violences
1
Source : veille de situation ARMSMA
Décès dans la violence organisée, par semaine
Brésil, meilleures estimations de l’UCDP. La barre rouge est la dernière semaine.
La dernière semaine peut être incomplète.
Source : UCDP GED Candidate, Université d’Uppsala (CC BY 4.0), données jusqu’au 2026-09-30
Entre qui, la violence
Décès par type de violence, 90 derniers jours de données.
- Conflit impliquant un État · 1%
- Conflit non étatique · 87%
- Contre des civils · 13%
Source : UCDP GED Candidate (CC BY 4.0)
Alimentation, déplacements, sanctions
- Personnes en crise alimentaire (IPC 3+)
- –
- 2026-09
- Part en crise alimentaire
- –
- 2026-09
- Sous-alimentation
- 2.5%
- 2024
- Réfugiés partis
- 72 978
- 2025
- Réfugiés accueillis
- 398 617
- 2025
- Déplacés internes
- –
- 2025
- Désignations de sanctions
- 47
- 2026-10-20
- PIB par habitant
- $10 713
- 2025
FEWS NET · Banque mondiale / FAO · HCR · OpenSanctions
Personnes en insécurité alimentaire de crise
FEWS NET ne couvre pas ce pays.
Derniers incidents de violence organisée25
| Date | Lieu | Parties | Décès | Civils | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | Rua Vinte e Um, in Itaipuaçu, Maricá. | Terceiro Comando Puro – Civilians | 1 | 1 | o sao goncalo |
| 2026-09-30 | passing near the system's Ventura station in Jacarepaguá, in Rio's Southwest Zone | Unidentified armed group (Brazil) – Unidentified armed group (Brazil) | 1 | 1 | extra , extra |
| 2026-09-30 | Colônia Oliveira Machado neighborhood | Unidentified armed group (Brazil) – Unidentified armed group (Brazil) | 1 | 0 | Portal Tucumã |
| 2026-09-28 | São Judas Tadeu Condominium, Barão de Rio Branco Street, Flores neighborhood | Unidentified armed group (Brazil) – Unidentified armed group (Brazil) | 1 | 0 | Portal Tucumã |
| 2026-09-27 | bar in Marechal Hermes, in Rio's North Zone. | Unidentified armed group (Brazil) – Civilians | 1 | 1 | extra |
| 2026-09-27 | Chico Mendes Branch Line, in Manaus | Unidentified armed group (Brazil) – Unidentified armed group (Brazil) | 1 | 0 | Portal Tucumã |
| 2026-09-27 | Caeté Street, in the João Paulo 2nd neighborhood | Unidentified armed group (Brazil) – Unidentified armed group (Brazil) | 1 | 0 | Portal Tucumã |
| 2026-09-26 | banks of a branch line in Laranjal do Jari | Comando Vermelho – Família Terror Amapá | 1 | 0 | Diário do Amapá |
| 2026-09-26 | Ramal do Sossego, on the banks of AM-010 | Unidentified armed group (Brazil) – Unidentified armed group (Brazil) | 1 | 0 | Portal Tucumã |
| 2026-09-24 | Arthur da Mota street, in the Caramujo neighborhood of Niterói. | Unidentified armed group (Brazil) – Unidentified armed group (Brazil) | 2 | 0 | a tribuna rj |
| 2026-09-24 | Avenida Torquato Tapajós, in Manaus | Unidentified armed group (Brazil) – Unidentified armed group (Brazil) | 1 | 0 | Portal Tucumã |
| 2026-09-23 | Cidade de Deus neighborhood | Unidentified armed group (Brazil) – Unidentified armed group (Brazil) | 1 | 0 | Portal Tucumã |
| 2026-09-23 | Alcedina Moura Emerich street | Unidentified armed group (Brazil) – Unidentified armed group (Brazil) | 1 | 0 | o sao goncalo |
| 2026-09-23 | Benedito Lino do Carmo Street, with 24th Avenue, in the Congós neighborhood | Unidentified armed group (Brazil) – Unidentified armed group (Brazil) | 1 | 0 | Diário do Amapá |
| 2026-09-21 | Rua Geraldo Luiz, formerly Rua D, in the Compensa neighborhood | Unidentified armed group (Brazil) – Unidentified armed group (Brazil) | 1 | 0 | Portal Tucumã |
| 2026-09-19 – 2026-09-20 | Trindade neighborhood of São Gonçalo, in the Rio de Janeiro metropolitan area. | Comando Vermelho – Civilians | 1 | 1 | meiahora |
| 2026-09-19 | wooded area of Parque Mosaico, in the Planalto neighborhood | Unidentified armed group (Brazil) – Unidentified armed group (Brazil) | 1 | 0 | Portal Tucumã |
| 2026-09-19 | Barro Vermelho neighborhood of São Gonçalo | Unidentified armed group (Brazil) – Unidentified armed group (Brazil) | 1 | 0 | o sao goncalo |
| 2026-09-16 | Mãe do Rio, in the northeast of Pará | Terceiro Comando Puro – Civilians | 1 | 1 | Portal Tucumã |
| 2026-09-14 | Rua Tangerina, near Pinhal, in the Brasil Novo neighborhood | Comando Vermelho – Família Terror Amapá | 1 | 0 | Diário do Amapá |
| 2026-09-13 | Avenida Brasil, near the Vila da Prata neighborhood | Unidentified armed group (Brazil) – Unidentified armed group (Brazil) | 1 | 0 | Portal Tucumã |
| 2026-09-13 | Avenida Max Teixeira, Cidade Nova neighborhood | Unidentified armed group (Brazil) – Unidentified armed group (Brazil) | 2 | 0 | Portal Tucumã |
| 2026-09-10 | Granito Street, in the Tancredo Neves neighborhood | Unidentified armed group (Brazil) – Unidentified armed group (Brazil) | 1 | 0 | Portal Tucumã |
| 2026-09-08 | Monte das Oliveiras neighborhood | Unidentified armed group (Brazil) – Unidentified armed group (Brazil) | 2 | 0 | Portal Tucumã |
| 2026-09-06 | Ponta Negra Beach, west of Manaus | Unidentified armed group (Brazil) – Unidentified armed group (Brazil) | 1 | 0 | Portal Tucumã |
Source : UCDP GED Candidate, Université d’Uppsala (CC BY 4.0), données jusqu’au 2026-09-30
Conflits, 90 jours8
- Unidentified armed groups (Brazil)45
- Comando Vermelho - PCC29
- Comando Vermelho - Família Terror Amapá17
- Comando Vermelho - Terceiro Comando Puro11
- Unidentified armed group (Brazil) - Civilians6
- Comando Vermelho - Civilians5
- Terceiro Comando Puro - Civilians4
- Unidentified armed group (Brazil)1
Source : UCDP GED Candidate (CC BY 4.0)
Aléas naturels, 30 jours25
- Feu de forêtForest fires in Brazil · 14 oct. 2026
- Feu de forêtForest fires in Brazil · 13 oct. 2026
- Feu de forêtForest fires in Brazil · 12 oct. 2026
- Feu de forêtForest fires in Brazil · 10 oct. 2026
- Feu de forêtForest fires in Brazil · 9 oct. 2026
- Feu de forêtForest fires in Brazil · 9 oct. 2026
- Feu de forêtForest fires in Brazil · 9 oct. 2026
- Feu de forêtForest fires in Brazil · 8 oct. 2026
- Feu de forêtForest fires in Brazil · 8 oct. 2026
- Feu de forêtForest fires in Brazil · 8 oct. 2026
- Feu de forêtForest fires in Brazil · 8 oct. 2026
- Feu de forêtForest fires in Brazil · 8 oct. 2026
GDACS · USGS · NASA EONET
Alertes et avis
UK FCDO · OMM · OMS · Copernicus EMS
Centrales proches d’un danger3
Almirante Álvaro Alberto - Unidade I (Antiga Angra I) · Nuclear · 640 MW
1 incidents within 50 km in 90 days, nearest 35 km
Almirante Álvaro Alberto - Unidade II (Antiga Angra II) · Nuclear · 1 350 MW
1 incidents within 50 km in 90 days, nearest 35 km
Governador Leonel Brizola (Antiga TermoRio) · Gas · 1 058 MW
21 incidents within 50 km in 90 days, nearest 11 km
Distance seulement : cela ne signifie pas qu’une centrale a été touchée.
WRI Global Power Plant Database ; UCDP ; GDACS · USGS
Les 7 prochains jours à Brasília
| Jour | °C | Pluie | Rafales | Vigilance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| mar. 20 oct. | 20…32 | 0.0 mm | 31 km/h | |
| mer. 21 oct. | 21…32 | 1.4 mm | 44 km/h | |
| jeu. 22 oct. | 21…32 | 0.3 mm | 39 km/h | |
| ven. 23 oct. | 20…34 | 2.6 mm | 40 km/h | |
| sam. 24 oct. | 22…33 | 0.3 mm | 33 km/h | |
| dim. 25 oct. | 23…33 | 0.6 mm | 44 km/h | |
| lun. 26 oct. | 21…34 | 6.0 mm | 51 km/h |
Prévision pour la capitale seulement ; repères : chaleur ≥38 °C, gel ≤−20 °C, pluie ≥50 mm, rafales ≥75 km/h, orages. Les alertes officielles sont plus haut.
Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0)
Catastrophes depuis 20008
InondationsFeux de forêtSécheresses
- Flood in Brazil · 3 févr. 2026 · Magnitude 0
- Forest fires in Brazil · 21 août 2024 · Orange impact for forestfire in 42368 ha
- Forest fires in Bolivia, Brazil · 1 juil. 2024 · Green impact for forestfire in 950351 ha
- Flood in Brazil · 23 avr. 2024 · Magnitude 0
- Drought in Bolivia, Brazil, Peru, Paraguay · 21 août 2023 · Medium impact for agricultural drought in 319815 km2
- Flood in Brazil · 23 mai 2022 · Magnitude 0
- Flood in Brazil · 8 nov. 2021 · Magnitude 0
- Drought in Bolivia, Brazil · 21 déc. 2018 · Medium impact for agricultural drought in 133215 km2
GDACS (orange and red alerts since 2000)
Prochaines élections1
- 25 octobre 2026 – President (2nd round)
Wikipedia – national electoral calendar (CC BY-SA)